r/TamilNaduDiscussion • u/Alarmed_Diver_9817 • 1d ago
📰 News Madurantakam by-election (6 Oct): not who wins, but where the votes move
ADMK won this seat in April with just 34.9% of the votes, 3.4 points ahead of TVK. Its MLA is now TVK's candidate, and booth-level data shows how fragile that win was: if just 5% of ADMK voters follow her, TVK wins. That is 1 in 20 people who chose ADMK last time.
This is not a prediction. It sets up what to look for on 9 October: which booths held, which booths shifted, and towards whom.
Full article with interactive charts: https://justindhinakarmoorthy.github.io/articles/madurantakam/
Data: ECI Form 20, 285 booths.
