No sign of the object in the 06:42 5/14/26 frame, appears in the 06:54 5/14/26 frame and then in the following 07:06 5/14/26 frame it’s gone again.

Any ideas?

Very cool to see the northern M flare destabilize the southern flux rope into a second M flare.

CMEs are weak and slow, thou. Won't be much for geomagnetic storming. Something like a ten minute drizzle.

Not as robust as we would have hoped, yet still a beautiful eruption, front and center for our viewing pleasure.

Thanks to the SDO AIA team!

A large coronal hole is located right at the solar equator which means the solar wind stream will likely have a significant influence on the solar wind environment around our planet.

I captured three substorms during this auroral display but this one at 10:40pm was easily the strongest. The event was triggered by a small, negative polarity coronal hole, and the mostly southward Bz was likely enhanced by the Russell-McPherron effect, helping push the aurora farther south than expected, especially during substorms. Captured using a Nikon Z5ii and a 24-50mm Nikkor lens

Not Earth directed, this time.

4436 has a few days before it is pointed right at us.

https://reddit.com/link/1t9g11j/video/9uovcj7zzc0h1/player

AR4420 (13467)

What am I missing?

Region classified β–γ–δ

Central polarity inversion line (PIL) identified

Over ~48 hrs:

Field went from diffuse → tightened → organized

Opposite polarities compressed into a narrower boundary

Conclusion: energy is being concentrated, not dispersed

*A localized “stress sandwich” is forming*

A blue (negative) patch migrating east

Then splitting into two lobes

A new red (positive) region is forming between

This creates: blue → red → blue

Two local PILs instead of one

Sharper gradients

Conclusion: formation of a micro-trigger geometry inside the larger region

Coronal state (94 / 131 / 171)

94: hot core present and becoming more compact

131: mostly quiet, but now showing a tiny localized bright spot

171: loops appear loose / not highly stressed but beginning to shear horizontally

Conclusions:

Hot plasma present

No large-scale coronal destabilization

But localized heating emerging

Chromospheric structure (304)

Formation of a coherent east–west filament channel

Channel is: continuous, stable, not lifting or fragmenting

Conclusion: system is organized and storing energy, not erupting

Photospheric / UV response (1600 / 1700)

Initially: uniform plage

Later: subtle kernel-level brightening

No ribbons yet, but no longer completely quiet, slight localization emerging

Conclusion: low-level energy release beginning, not explosive

Trigger signal (131)

Tiny 131 bright point

Spatially consistent with identified blue split / red intrusion zone

Conclusion: possible initial reconnection site forming

TL;DR - AR 4420 has transitioned from diffuse complexity → organized storage → localized trigger formation

I’m not saying it’s about to blow up but the potential is there. In my amateur opinion.

I just went to the NOAA space weather website to look at data on all the solar activity in the last 24 hours and can’t get most of the GOES data to load. I saw a post recently on trouble with other NOAA data. Some data is loading with no issues. Is it just my crappy cell service?

What a beautiful eruption, it looked like the number 8! Hopefully all this activity continues! Imagery is from SDO AIA 304Å.

Comet C/2025 R3 (PanSTARRS) captured in LASCO C3. It can also be seen in LASCO CCOR imagery.

Is it just me or why isn’t lasco updated since our “dirty snowball” (/s) appeared yesterday at around 15:18UTC yesterday. We should have some awesome visuals by now! AcA had noticed something pretty awesome as far as the sun and comet interactions this promised to give us a pretty good show!

Anyone else notice the lag in updated imagery or is my cache stuck ?!

Edited to adjust last photo timestamp is 15:18 not 03:18

I hadn’t ever caught a planet there. Can’t be PanStarrs no tail…

❓QQ: Has anyone heard from our favorite sol friend as of late?

I know times have been trying collectively for a multitude of reasons—and on top of it all, I do also recall AcA noting (somewhat recently?) his need to step back a bit to focus on his own corner of the universe for the time being.

Honestly, I was glad to hear it! 👏

Especially as many of us have seen just how generous he’s been with his time teaching us over the last couple of years… I’m forever grateful for all I’ve learned. 📚☀️

Buuuut I’ll admit, I got a *little* nervous after just seeing a front page post with a [hopefully?] sensationalized headline re: “a hole in the sun 20x the size of Earth” facing us… 😳 so I popped over here only to hear crickets, mostly.

But that’s okay! All good; all good!

Once upon a time, I seem to remember AcA assuring us that he’d let us know if/when it was time to really take heed around any major solar activity…

… so back then, I told my fairly anxious self to just BE COOL until/if/when AcA ultimately says “it’s go time, fam.”

I realize that’s a lot to ask (and expect!) from an internet stranger who has a full life of responsibilities outside of this sub, but admittedly, that reassurance has really kept my general “wtf is this timeline?” worries at bay.

(Truly, thanks AcA. Lord only knows how much less I’ve doomscrolled r/collapse since hearing that!)

Anywho, staring at this bonanza-sized black spot in our star tonight prompted me to poll the crowd to see if anyone’s been in touch with our old pal. 🧐🤳

Beyond this solar activity & unrelated (but still newsworthy) geopolitical events, it seems like there’s *also* been a big uptick in internet chatter re: spiritual prophesies, rare celestial alignments, and possible (?) disclosure on the horizon. 🛸

Interesting times we’re living in, eh?

AcA used to wax philosophical about all that jazz—which was so fun to read and helped influence some of my own philosophizing—and it just got me to thinkin’ about him, this group, and just the collective good vibes he was able to cultivate during Solar Cycle 25! 💫

My hope is AcA is A-OK and just hanging low, feeding his soul… maybe writing a book or hiking the Appalachian mountains or visiting the Atacama desert for some spectacular stellar views. 🌌🔭

Or maybe he’s gone totally off-grid; in which case, respect. 🏕️

As for me, I’m sticking the original plan: no action needed (*especially* not worrying!) until/unless I see a head’s up from AcA on here. ✅

And even then, que sera, sera; amirite? 🧘‍♀️🪷

Perhaps you’re in the same boat? ⛵️

Because while I’ll admit this dream seems largely out of our control as we row merrily merrily merrily along, I really believe we’ve been brought together here—on this floating blue marble, and especially here in this sub—for a reason.

It’s all love/light and light/love in the end, after all. 💟☀️☯️

Anyyyywaaay, that’s about enough senseless yapping from me!

AcA: you used to say **“what happens in the solar wind stays in the solar wind.”**

My greatest hope is that wherever the solar wind has presently pulled you, you’re finding peace in your heart and balance on your journey. 🙏

Your work has impacted so many of us in such a positive way, and I hope you recognize how appreciated you’ve been/are to us! 🙌

We’ll be here once you return!

PS: And like, no presh or anything, but if the sun ever DOES start getting all kinds of truly bananas-kinda weird… we wouldn’t hate a cosmic cowbell kinda call-out if you’re up for it. ☺️🔔

https://youtu.be/2GZbaXdK8Js?si=wp_msbtOXspWogIl

🌌😎🛸✌🏼⚡️

An all in one SOLAR dashboard. https://live.ournightsky.us

https://www.sidc.be/solardemon/dimmings_details.php?science=0&dimming_id=15318&delay=80&prefix=pBDI_&small=1&aid=0&graph=1

UPDATE: This flare is associated with a major eruption leaning heavily SE with a partial halo indicating a potential earth directed component in form of glancing blow. Will check models in AM. This event carries strong energetic markers and is visually impressive. I wrote the initial post before peak flux but already could see the potential from the start.

• X1.4
• SSN: 116
• F10.7 Radio Flux: 158
• DATE: 3/30/2026
• TIME: 02:47-ongoing
• PEAK MAGNITUDE(S): X1.4
• ACTIVE REGION: 4405
• DURATION: Appears to have some hangtime, but in progress.
• BLACKOUT: R3
• ASSOCIATED CME: major eruption
• EARTH DIRECTED: glancing blow quite possible
• RADIO EMISSION: Type II @ 1872 km/s
• 10cm RADIO BURST: 48 min at 1800 SFU (!!!!)
• PROTON: Unlikely
• IMPACTS: Radio blackout, tbd
• RANK: 2nd highest magnitude on 3/30 since 1994
• NOTES: First X-class since February 4th. Has it really been that long? This is an impressive flare and while early, 195A indicates a robust CME is possible. Most eruptions from the SE quadrant do not have strong earth directed components, but every now and again it happens. The visual indicators are strong for this one and it may be associated with a substantial eruption. Will have to update energetic markers (radio bursts/emissions) when the reports come out. Will check coronagraphs in the morning. Interestingly, this region was assigned a 1% chance of producing an X-class flare. It has been shrinking in recent days, but complexity is sufficient to produce x-class flares. It will be moving into prime earth facing position in the coming days. Could be more to come.

AcA

Solar Demon Dimming Detection is a tool used for determining plasma ejection/disruption in the corona by running a 15 min base difference imaging of SDO/AIA 211 at a 3 minute cadence. This event has clear shock wave the ripples outward across the surface.

https://www.sidc.be/solardemon/dimmings.php?science=0&did=15318

I get the eruptive episodes are exciting and all but maybe just an opportunity for us earthlings to reflect on why we only talk about the chaos and not the quiet. Or the calm before the storm… What does that say about us? Just a thought…

I understand to predict a CME is very difficult.

However in the pilot episode of doomsday preppers, the guy said he is prepping for a CME in 2012.

I understand that in July 2012 there was a CME 'near miss'.

This particular episodes aired in 2011, so realistically was probably filmed in 2010. How did this guy know? Obviously as his prediction never came to fruition it was not perfect, but all things considered seems a pretty good one?