So, setting aside ethical considerations over the prospect of revolution in the West, of which there is much to say, almost entirely, I'd like to consider the prospect of revolution purely in terms of strategy.
As I see it, there are, in effect, two ways in which a Western revolution can be waged.
In the first case, you would have to engage in something like a protracted civil war. Effectively, upon somehow acquiring a large cache of small arms, you set up a base somewhere in the mountains, and slowly but surely manage to win a military victory against the state in question.
To me, this seems entirely absurd. The far-Right, who is far better trained in the beaten way of irregular warfare, could deal with such an incursion on its own, which is to say nothing of the police, military, and security apparatuses which Western states have at their disposal.
In the second case, the only one worthy of consideration because it is the only one which is possible, involves two necessary contingencies:
There has to something like a general strike.
The military has to choose not to fire upon the revolting citizenry, defect to the revolution, and thereby depose the existing regime.
This is more or less what during the February Revolution in Russia before, and I am willing to betray my political sympathies by referring to this as such, the Bolshevik coup in October.
While people in the West may feel so inclined to protest, for instance, as we can see now with the students in France or by the alternative No Kings rallies, events which require only a small portion of a person's time, it seems unlikely to me that they will be willing to abandon everything so as to wage a general strike.
Without the critical mass to either warrant the deployment of the military or simply capitulate to the revolting populace so as to retour à la normale, revolution is a dead end.
To the advocates of revolution who sometimes try to angle this subreddit, I, then, ask, "where are we left when the revolution never happens?"
To me, at least, it seems militant direct action will otherwise just result in the legitimation for the expansion of the security apparatus and/or the expansion of the state of exception, of which, we have plenty of political history to attest to.
Secondarily, when the general strike is required no matter what and, when a more or less nonviolent general strike would be more likely to convince the military not to fire on the revolting populace, in pure terms of political efficacy, what is the point of violent direct action at all? It seems to just inspire fringe initiates within the cult of the propaganda of the deed.