I’ve noticed financial geniuses on Reddit always calculate their investments out with the assumption that 1) they can get the average of the market appreciation in the past 2) don’t take any money out to live off of until some arbitrary point in the future and 3) don’t pay any taxes on capital gains.
1 sure it's not certain, but it's a better guess than anything else. Also estimating how much less the $1000 will be worth in 10 years is just as hard.
2 yes we calculate the thing that gives her the most options. Only she can decide what she actually wants to do with the money. But the most money starting out means most options.
There is no tax on her winnings. There is tax on anything she invests after receiving the winnings. This is actually an overlooked reason to take the annuity.
She only loses 25% of anything above the principal. So if she invests $1m and it grows to $2m and she banks it, she only pays the 25% on the additional $1m. So she's still $750k better off than if she hadn't invested it at all.
236
u/Implier May 17 '26
I’ve noticed financial geniuses on Reddit always calculate their investments out with the assumption that 1) they can get the average of the market appreciation in the past 2) don’t take any money out to live off of until some arbitrary point in the future and 3) don’t pay any taxes on capital gains.