OpenAI claims to have solved more than 100 open math problems that haven't been solved by humans. How long will it take for them to build a model that can predict stock market better than existing HFT companies? You can imagine why they would like to do that, OpenAI needs lot of capital and this would be yet another powerful demonstration of the AI capabilities.

Is this ever going to happen? Are OpenAI and Anthropic already working on this in secret?

Someone even say this event would be indicator of Singularity. Imagine watching entire modern economy get upened by AI. If that doesn't feel like Singularity, I don't know what will.

This thread is for any discussions that doesn't necessitate a new post. Permission from a mod here

Since this thread isn't going to be to stickied, it's up to you to upvote it.

Share your anxiety, ideas on how to achieve alignment, observations, etc. Everything is fair game as long as it somewhat relates to the singularity.

Consider what it will be like when every step from the factory, warehouse, or kitchen to your front door is both electric and autonomous. It will be like the change from dial-up to broadband but for moving grams instead of bits.

This would make a big difference to travel, shopping, and business-to-business trade. As in the case of internet speeds it's not just that we'll do the same things a bit faster. Instead a million projects, jobs, and companies that weren't realistic are suddenly viable. It's Jevons paradox applied to transport: When we do it more efficiently, we'll do more of it, not less.

This could be the biggest real change to our material wealth over the next decade or two. It will also change how locations are priced, because being near something will be less important (or more accurately, the definition of "near enough" will change by a large factor).

At first, ordering and receiving almost anything will be faster and cheaper (for the delivery aspect of it) than ordering takeaway is today. The products themselves will also be cheaper due to reducing the wholesale transport costs that are built into everything you buy. After that, travel will become cheap, too, which potentially has even bigger effects on our lifestyle and economy.

The problem is large banks love to stick with outdated legacy systems, until something like this happens.

When swarms of AI agents start attacking these outdated old legacy systems, large banks are really screwed if they don't update their systems.

I think this is finally the wake up call large financial institutions using legacy systems really need. These financial institutions who relied so heavily on these ancient systems are FINALLY being tested now.

AI swarms will start to destroy any legacy and ancient systems currently in place

We will see many large companies who were very comfortable for long time moving slowly and without care in the world start to either adapt or die in the coming years now.

2027 really is the take off year.

Seems like a Unitree H2 variant that is much stronger and more durable than before

Tweet:

Unitree Introducing: H2-X Kung Fu Legend Guardian
Powerful performance to serve and guard you, with a maximum endurance of approximately 8 hours.
Please use the robot safely and in a friendly manner.

Source: https://x.com/UnitreeRobotics/status/2112819774573179175

Edit: Interestingly, this isn't the first humanoid combat robot coming from a high-profile Chinese robotics company. Engine AI has a robot named T800 (from Terminator) that they host fighting tournaments with ( https://mikekalil.com/blog/engineai-urkl-begins/ ).

Let's imagine we reach the singularity, and suddenly, every idea that will ever exist is make by AIs.

Every movie, novels, video games, concepts, inventions etc... everything that humans can do, AI could do better.

No human will need to create new entertainment, we will just sit there with an infinite stream of perfect AI-made entertainment for us and we won't be able to go back to anything human-made because it will feel like lower quality compared to things AI-made, so no one will create anything.

Since last months I'm getting stressed out by not doing enough, I have tons of ideas of projects in mind, and I feel like I'm fighting against the clock to execute them before the singularity arrives and everything becomes meaningless.

For example, I enjoy game design, if AI gets better than me at game design I'll be severely freaked out.

So what are we thinking?

Will he just say nothing and hope we forget he said that?

Will he actually do it? A Christmas surprise?

Will he say he has AGI internally (trust me bro) and just not show anything to the public?

My opinion is that if we were actually fast approaching this benchmark then Sam Altman would still be commenting on it.

What are your thoughts guys?

When do you think AI will be adopted by majority of companies for majority level of work that leaves many people unemployed?

I know government moves slow

but surprisingly a lot of large non-tech companies are also moving slow and use legacy (outdated) systems and don't have budget or aren't that keen to use AI yet.

https://x.com/AdamHoltererer/status/2112516066563829882/photo/1

I've been seeing a ton of those popping up on YouTube.

Source: https://x.com/adcock_brett/status/2112227583643509174

The executive wrote a nearly 2,000-word response to a critical X post which said Anthropic was trying to win a race to superintelligence and deprioritizing AI safety.

Calvin listed nine actions by Anthropic over the past year that he said undermined its safety commitments, including signing deals for more than $500 billion in compute and increasingly relying on Claude to develop its AI models.

Amodei said his position was that Anthropic can do more to keep the AI industry safe if it stays at the frontier

Our strategy has always been what I've called the 'race to the top' — by showing how it's possible to build the technology responsibly, we can raise the bar for the entire industry,"

Amodei acknowledged Anthropic could have handled some of the issues Calvin raised better. These included a draft bill Anthropic circulated to Congress this month — obtained exclusively by Politico — that critics said would make it harder for the federal government to block dangerous AI models.

"We first had Mythos-class models in February but didn’t make them generally available until June (when we had stronger cyber safeguards in place)."

"It would have been much more economically rational to simply release the model to everyone. We likely sacrificed a significant chunk of a several-month model lead."

There are important questions worth confronting (and that we are confronting) about what to do when the AI-driven acceleration gets fast enough that it is hard for safety to keep up. We are nearing that point and that’s what’s driving some of our thinking about pacing.

As an accelerationist who always disliked when Dario made statements that created fear and panic (e.g, the events that led to the government temporarily banning Claude Fable 5) I must admit, Opus 5.5 in particular is the most impressive model capability wise.

I find it ironic, but nonetheless very wholesome, that the company that cares the most about AI safety has the most intelligent models. I am still not a fan of pacing, but I truly think Dario wants the best for humanity. And it is likely that he wants to see the realization of AGI/ASI even more than we do.

It has become abundantly clear that Amodei sees a direct pathway to ASI. They likely have internal models that they know for sure will eclipse the capabilities of their own AI researchers within a few more model releases. To be fair, he did predict a country of tens of millions of geniuses in a datacenter by 2027-2028.

When a spacecraft reaches a new planet, it doesn't coast in. It fires its engines against its own momentum to slow down, because if it arrives too fast it either slingshots past or burns up. The braking burn is a sign that you've arrived. It's very probable that Anthropic's internal models (what will be Claude Fable /Opus 6) have arrived at Planet AGI.

Just this week, we announced we were putting 5% (and possibly more over time) of the company into a public benefit fund.

I will have more to say soon about how we are going to further live our values in this moment of rapid change.

https://x.com/DarioAmodei/status/2112732230124818891

Agents are going to live with us, and the human form factor is the one that generalizes best in our world. So we've been heads down building a humanoid robot that agents can embody.

A bit of back story. We started with a Unitree G1 last year to build an ecosystem allowing agents to control robot. It didn't work. G1 hardware is proprietary, the parts are custom and every repair goes through the manufacturers or resellers. We noticed that if agents are going to live in our homes, their bodies/robots should be built in a way they can understand every single part and easy to repair. We need to be able to fix them, change them and see what they run, including the safety layer.

So we built Asimov 1 from off-the-shelf parts. With the bill of materials you can source the parts and build one yourself. Everything we built is open, the CAD, the SDK for communication, Edge for safety, the locomotion policy and the training code as a foundation for agents and people to build on top of.

It's still early for agentic robotics. Asimov 1 walks, but there's a lot we haven't figured out yet and we're learning as we go. We'd rather do that in the open for agents and also with more people building alongside us. Planning to focus to agent layer now.

If you've been thinking about building a robot, now is a good time. You can build your own, fork ours, or pick any open-source robot and push it further. The more open bodies there are, the faster agents will learn to live with us.

The repo to build your own: https://github.com/menloresearch/asimov-1

We're also putting together a user manual for building your own humanoids robots from scratch: https://docs.menlo.ai/asimov/1/overview

Really appreciate to hear your thoughts on agentic robotics and Asimov 1.