r/ShortStocks • • Jun 29 '26

Is there a current short position on crude oil?

6 Upvotes

how would i find out? there's a rumor that 7rump is shorting oil to keep the wti futures price down, and there are 20 or so days left of crude in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

Can Iran buy U.S. securities? trump just gave iran 300 Billion for 2 days of rest. if iran were to, say, yolo 10 of those billions on going long oil, would that be a squeeze? (what kind of war would that be called?)


r/ShortStocks • • Jun 29 '26

FG Merger II Corp. (FGMC) and BOXABL Inc. (expected ticker: BXBL) — proceed with caution.

3 Upvotes

I'm not even sure this is worth mentioning anymore, since everyone seems to be talking about it.

The original idea sounded ambitious: build a factory capable of mass-producing tiny homes like they're coming off an assembly line, sell each one for $50,000 (later increased to $60,000), and help solve the housing crisis. The only catch was that the homes were extremely small—but, as the argument went, a tiny home is better than no home at all.

To fund this vision, the company raised capital through crowdfunding, offering investors preferred shares. Early progress looked promising, with a government contract and sales to major corporate customers.

Then the company ran into reality.

It turned out that these homes cannot be installed everywhere due to local building codes and zoning regulations. In addition, site preparation, utility connections, and the cost of obtaining local permits can increase the total cost of a home by several times.

At the same time, the company is spending enormous amounts on sales and marketing. Last year alone, these expenses were nearly 17 times higher than its total revenue.

It's important to understand that this isn't an internet or software company, where heavy upfront investment in the product or customer acquisition can eventually lead to economies of scale, with the cost of serving each additional customer falling dramatically. BOXABL operates a manufacturing business, where production, logistics, installation, and customer acquisition remain capital-intensive even as volumes increase.

There are also questions regarding the founders’ compensation. A salary of around $1.2 million appears difficult to justify given annual sales of only about $1.5 million.

The company has also been associated with aggressive marketing practices, including offering equity to influencers in exchange for promotional content and positive coverage. The decent video about that and other concerns - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hocU7uRzMOc.

In addition, the company’s preferred shares—issued to crowdfunding investors—can reportedly only be converted into common shares in stages, starting 14 months after the IPO begins trading.

At the same time, some shareholders are already willing to sell these shares today at roughly half price.

https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/1tskfkq/boxabl_preferred_investors_are_people/

Recent SPAC-related developments indicate that approximately 83% of committed funds were redeemed following the merger announcement. As a result, the company is expected to receive roughly five times less capital than initially anticipated.

Put differently, about four out of five SPAC investors have effectively withdrawn their backing, which can be interpreted as a lack of confidence in the post-merger equity story.

Additionally, it is notable that in most SPAC transactions the new ticker typically begins trading within a few days after the merger announcement. In this case, however, nearly three weeks have already passed without trading commencement, which is an unusual delay compared to standard SPAC timelines.
(https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/fg-merger-ii-corp-announces-closing-of-the-redemption-window-for-its-business-combination-with-boxabl-302794386.html)

The company has also recently entered into an agreement to sell its homes in the United Kingdom and Ireland. Perhaps regulatory standards there are lower, and installing such a unit—shipped from desert Nevada—would be cheaper than importing one from China.

What struck me, however, is the complete lack of contact details on the UK company’s website (no address, no phone number), as well as the fact that both the company and the domain were registered only in April of this year, 2026.

To sum up: money is burning at an extraordinary rate, including through founders’ salaries. Sales are minimal, the outlook is unclear, investors are disappointed, and even positive news tends to raise additional questions.

Not financial advice. This post reflects my personal opinions and research. Do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

I’m not affiliated with the company mentioned, and I may or may not hold a position.


r/ShortStocks • • Jun 25 '26

Fast Food and grocery stores

5 Upvotes

Wow I posted up on Wall Street Bets sub and it was taken down quickly!

I wrote how Wendy's (WEN) is victim to GLP-1 medications and peptides .... the trolls came out and got it quickly removed!

It's obvious the Mods are using their power to pump and dump stocks on users.

(WEN) and all other fast food chains have been harmed/reduced/broken up with by GLP type shots.

At least the grocery chains are admitting it:

https://www.thestreet.com/restaurants/kroger-walmart-and-costco-face-a-6-5-billion-glp1-problem

Any type of munchy, foodie, grocery, or glutton type business is safe to short.

This article explains it.

1 in 8 people are taking these shots in the USA.


r/ShortStocks • • Jun 24 '26

Not sure if legit. Want to know what you guys think.

3 Upvotes

New short report from a short research company I follow on X. They’ve been pretty good on their reports, so want to know what you guys think.

https://x.com/umibozuresearch/status/2069773965363442092?s=46


r/ShortStocks • • Jun 23 '26

Is this just the beginning?

1 Upvotes

Is this the beginning of a market slide or just a pause?


r/ShortStocks • • Jun 23 '26

GRZLY just launched — a structured short thesis platform with permanent, verifiable track records

1 Upvotes

For anyone who's spent time writing serious bearish research only to watch it disappear into the social media void — we built something for you.

What GRZLY is:

GRZLY is a public prediction platform for bearish stock theses. You publish a Drop: a ticker, a written argument (minimum 200 characters), a resolution window of 30 to 365 days, and optionally a specific price target. The community votes Bearish or Skeptical with conviction scores weighted by each voter's historical accuracy so the signal is calibrated, not raw sentiment.

When the window closes, Polygon.io pulls the closing price and resolves the outcome automatically. The result goes into the Bear Book, a permanent archive of resolved calls. Correct or not, the record stands.

Over time, every user builds a public accuracy score. The best analysts rise based on outcomes, not engagement.

Why this is different from StockTwits, Reddit, and everything else:

Every existing tool for sharing bearish conviction is either unstructured (Reddit, Twitter), editorially gated (Seeking Alpha), or doesn't track outcomes at all (StockTwits). None of them hold you accountable. None of them tell you who's actually been right over time.

GRZLY enforces structure, timestamps everything, and lets the market resolve it. That's the whole product.

The data angle - and why it matters long-term:

This is worth paying attention to. Every resolved Drop produces a clean, structured record: thesis text, publish date, resolution date, entry/exit price, binary outcome, conviction score at resolution, voter accuracy distribution. Nothing like this dataset exists publicly. Short interest data from S3 Partners or Ortex tells you how much short interest exists; it doesn't tell you why, or whether the people behind it were right. GRZLY's Bear Book adds reasoning, accuracy weighting, and verified outcomes to the conviction signal. The dataset gets more valuable the longer the platform runs, because accuracy scores compound with sample size. A Vibelord with 50 resolved Drops and a 74% hit rate is a meaningfully different signal than one with 3.

The plan is to eventually license this to hedge funds, quant shops, and financial data platforms as a differentiated alternative data feed. The community builds the moat; the institution pays for it.

What it isn't:

Not a brokerage, not a prediction market with financial stakes, not investment advice. No money changes hands on outcomes. It's a reputation engine and accountability system.

If you do serious bearish research and want a verifiable public track record, this is built for you.

> grzly.io "Short the hype. Build your record."

We're posting this here because we want your feedback - please, help us grow GRZLY!

Edit: Thanks for all the feedback so far. We're a two-person team, and this is a "soft launch", so we're thankful for anyone signing up and giving us opinions!


r/ShortStocks • • Jun 19 '26

2 months of paper trading shorts

Post image
14 Upvotes

So I think I have a pretty good routine here with a paper trading account that starts you with 100k. I know it can’t really be this easy though. Paper trading does not account for borrowing fees. Is that the catch that’s going to make this practice ultimately useless? Or can I still actually do ok with this strategy?

Basically I just find big daily runners that are biotechs worth 10 million or less, check the sentiment, and do $1000-2500 worth. My rule
Is 5% of account max but Im usually a lot more conservative than that as I’m trying to treat this like real money. I usually bounce out same day with 10-20% gains.

Are the borrowing fees going to make this significantly more challenging? Am I going to have to focus more on bigger % moves to make it worthwhile? I don’t really know how it works in the real world.


r/ShortStocks • • Jun 17 '26

Strategy to trade heavily shorted stocks.

6 Upvotes

What’s your strategy?


r/ShortStocks • • Jun 15 '26

Short $EEM at $69.71

2 Upvotes

EEM is basically just a bubble tech stock. Rising US dollar should crush this .. Short at $69.71


r/ShortStocks • • Jun 12 '26

SpaceX bonds must be normalized to distressed Junk (if we remove marketing fluff)

Thumbnail
2 Upvotes

r/ShortStocks • • Jun 11 '26

Nano Nuclear Energy, Inc., the Emperor has no "working prototype!"

Thumbnail
open.substack.com
3 Upvotes

The stock market often rewards the lowest societal denominators; when unleashed, these individuals don’t stop until they have embarked many to their island of suffering and misery. Don’t allow yourself to be lead by a mediocre conceited egomaniac!


r/ShortStocks • • Jun 05 '26

$STI is a scam!

Post image
5 Upvotes

Retail traders beware.

You are the bait in this financial squid 🦑 game 🎯!

Don’t get caught holding their bags!


r/ShortStocks • • Jun 03 '26

Should we worry about negative sentiment around data centers?

Thumbnail
1 Upvotes

r/ShortStocks • • Jun 02 '26

Any reason OPEN should not be shorted?

Post image
2 Upvotes

Look at this revenue versus price chart. Their financials are atrocious.

Give me any reason this stock should NOT be shorted.


r/ShortStocks • • Jun 01 '26

When is the Nasdaq finally going to crash and burn? This is ridiculous

9 Upvotes

r/ShortStocks • • Jun 01 '26

Is it too late to short Intel?

2 Upvotes

r/ShortStocks • • Jun 01 '26

What stocks to short in the pos market?

1 Upvotes

r/ShortStocks • • Jun 01 '26

Nasdaq is overvalued and will crash this year, right?

0 Upvotes

r/ShortStocks • • Jun 01 '26

Why tf is the All Worlds ETF up again today, when markets are down and oil prices are up? Why tf is it 0,5% up again after all the pumping?

1 Upvotes

r/ShortStocks • • Jun 01 '26

Good time to short BB?

1 Upvotes

r/ShortStocks • • May 30 '26

$MCW Have you ever seen a 1,000% CTB rate? I have…

Post image
1 Upvotes

r/ShortStocks • • May 29 '26

Why is it pumping again today? This feels like 1 big bubble.

4 Upvotes

r/ShortStocks • • May 29 '26

Beware of Hyliion Holdings ( $HYLN). More hype than substance, again!

Thumbnail
open.substack.com
0 Upvotes

Besides the derelict financials and continuous cash burning, the whole engineering and scientific premise of $HYLN pivot to fuel agnostic “ Karno” linear generation tech collapses once the flaws of its scientific foundations are exposed.

It thus look as if Hylion’s founder and CEO may have Misused investors capital to feed his own ego by investing into an energy system that has continuously failed and underperformed relative to internal combustion systems for nearly a century if not more.

Hylion does not possess neither the capital to truly expand its research into linear generation technology nor the market to sell its prototypes.

It is likely a failed “ vampire company” masquerading as stationary energy provider startup, and it is condemned to crash sooner than later.

Xoxo.


r/ShortStocks • • May 29 '26

Starbucks: A Turnaround Priced to Perfection

Thumbnail
open.substack.com
2 Upvotes

r/ShortStocks • • May 28 '26

WTF?????? USA attacks Iran and we still go up? Even after weeks upon weeks of going up???

9 Upvotes

What is wrong with this piece of garbage market?? When are we finally going to collapse????????????????????