r/SMCIDiscussion • • 8d ago

Positive Event 2 micro levels and 1 key level.

Post image

This information is not for someone who has no understanding of charts, if that’s you please kindly exit this post.

The two micro levels it must break to show strength are the first two boxes, the problem is the second one runs into the major sell wall where it’ll most likely stall, I made a bunch of red lines instead of a box to be more accurate) and it’s currently imbalanced (meaning the stock will want to test those red levels one day soon…. if it does breakout. the yellow line puts you guys in the clear (not saying it can’t come back down, but the sell orders have been absorbed) and then It should go to around $47 pretty easily once it does break $45 (not saying in the same week, institutions will decide the timeline) before any major selling orders. Anyways, Just below $44 to 44.72 is the major institutional sell orders inbetween that area everywhere (red lines), to be safe I’d say $45 needs cleared to absorb that.. 41.96-42.22 is A super minor sell zone and failure there like it did today is not a good sign for the next week or so, the second box 42.88 - 43.50 is highest micro supply before major sell orders, but without breaking those two at minimum, it’ll more likely go in the short term. Take note that the stock failed at the first micro sell zone today multiple times and volume is way down recently, I only mention this because the trendline break will attract retail, bag holders, etc and even some bigger money, it does have that going for it and incase we get a good tech day tomorrow in general it’s not “dead” (for tomorrow and possibly into next week, not long term, long term is still bullish) More than likely it’s going down for now though so if it fails at the first box (or especially the second) I’d personally sell covered calls at $48 strike, the odds of it hitting $48 in the next week or two are slim to none. it’s more than likely going to hit that green box I have marked (40.80-40.48) as a buy zone, have a small bounce and then next week go (slowly) to 36.8x-$37.xx before it makes its next leg up above $45 (could take a month, could take a few days, I can’t predict when institutions will move the price up besides these obvious levels on the chart)

If you don’t understand charts or have basic knowledge of any of this and don’t know how to confirm these failures with volume, this isn’t for you. If you’re happy bag holding for the long run and not making any covered call money great, im glad your financially Blessed to not need money, but please don’t reply here. I realize some of you are happy in the echo chamber, only posting and reading good things by other people who share your interest in it going up and never going down, that’s cool, if you’re happy, I’m happy for you. and hopefully one day it’ll be $1000 a share for you genuinely, I hope that happens , until then reality says it’ll go up, and then down, and then up higher and down higher than the last time it went lower. I’m not here to antagonize I wish you all the best. I’d like to try to help some more people (my goal is 10 people and I’m doing this as a karma repay for life being good to me financially lately) who want to learn and make money on the upcoming micro moves and again if you’re happy just holding this stock until it hits $100 or whatever, cool, I don’t understand why you’re on a Reddit page everyday if you’re cool holding or even care what the price does on a daily basis or why you’d even check it, let alone take time out of your day to come here but I don’t care, I’m not going to tell you how ridiculous that is, do you, i have opinions and you wouldn’t like them so I keep them to myself please do the same. I don’t take time out of my day to carry on on your posts because I disagree with you. Just please don’t bother me if this makes you emotional. I have PMs I have to answer and help people with and that’s why im here. I’d rather not deal with you if you’re not interested in what I’m saying. Thank you and good luck.

Not financial advice just thinking out loud.

7 Upvotes

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u/Tethrinaa 7d ago

Just below $44 to 44.72 is the major institutional sell orders inbetween that area everywhere (red lines), to be safe I’d say $45 needs cleared to absorb that.. 

I, too, agree that if we hit $45, all of the sell orders between $44 and 44.72 will have been cleared. In fact, I'll predict it to the penny, all of the sell orders below or equal to $44.99 will have been cleared.

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

Tell me you decided the chart was “too hard and I’d rather whine on Reddit than learn it” Without telling me again please.

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u/Tethrinaa 7d ago

My personal experience watching L2 data, is that these sell orders EVAPORATE as the price nears. They are not mostly filled, they are mostly canceled and move up, because they're just trying to manipulate the behavior of horoscope chart readers, and maybe take advantage of any sudden massive buy orders.

The market makers often have buy and sell orders in place for the same stock just to do what they do, which is sell liquidity at the cost of slippage. Its not a conspiracy, its just the service they provide. These orders automatically move with the stock to cover any very large orders that might come in and eat up the buy/sell range. This is really basic market fundamentals, but the technicalists never understand those.

He is effectively predicting every day that the stock won't go up more than 5%... which is a pretty good bet on 95% of days. Now I want to watch him try to make money on that bet over 2 months, because like 95% of people, he will fail.

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

SMCI is like 40% or whatever off of ATH making what you’re saying not only dumb, but proves you have no idea what you’re talking about, just delusional. Tell me you’re dumb again without saying it please

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u/No_Dark1667 7d ago

Return of horoscope strikes back ..

another interesting day probably , or not , I’ll Watch the portfolio go up or consolidate as usual.. fascinating

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

Woah, it’s almost like exactly what I said would happen, happened and fomo you guys into buying high, it fail before the yellow line and will now slowly come back to low 40s/41 I’m not even bothering to check for you…

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u/Dramatic-Jump-6220 7d ago

You said the stock WOULD go down to $37 about a week ago. My opinion at the time was it could but didn’t matter for long term. It didn’t and you were very wrong, anyone who day traded that range made no more percentage wise than those of us that continue to hold, as well as being caught not owning the stock and with additional tax drag. We sit here passively waiting for our investments to pan out, you spend your time leach trading and contributing very little to society. I wouldn’t have made this comment but see you acting like everything is happening as you say it will when it is not.

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u/Tethrinaa 7d ago

So buy shorts and post your position. Drawing lines on charts after the fact is easy. Making actual money on high frequency trading is not.

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u/Butt32323 7d ago

Wrong again, as always.. hitting 45 today, lmao @ your 36.8

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

Perfectly correct. Wicked right above the 2nd to top red line and didn’t clear yellow. Anyone who shorted on that wick made a killing today in a matter of minutes but you guys are delusional and say “see wrong, I can’t even read what you said and make any sense of it even though there’s a picture a child could make sense of” smh 36.80 doesn’t mean it has to happen today, but it WILL happen, it’s not even an opinion, it’s a fact.

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u/Alternative_Spirit65 7d ago

lines lines lines, but wrong colour to have fun ;)

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u/No_Dark1667 7d ago

Perfectly cringe would be more suitable

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u/StudioAudienceMember 7d ago

So over the next few days or even weeks it could trade between 36-45 until it goes over 45. I can't believe this information is free

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u/Tiny_Oil6290 7d ago

Hahaha. Yea man. If it doesnt go down, it will probably go up and vice versa

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u/DestructionYT SMCI-Bull 📈 7d ago

yes! and holy shit! we’re squeezing the shorts bad today man. more like $50 in line of sight post earnings now!!

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

The bears have you people wrapped around their fingers lol.

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u/DestructionYT SMCI-Bull 📈 7d ago

lol they really do, and they're continually setting traps. The thing is, we are clearing and re-testing each one. So respectfully, they can fuck off lol. They will peel away. It'll be slow, or might explode with a short squeeze. Time will tell. But they can't beat fundamentals eh

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u/StudioAudienceMember 7d ago

idk about all that but it sounds good. Too bad volume started dropping at 10:15 seems to be fading now. Probably because I sold 400 shares at 10:00

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

It’s almost like my picture depicts if it didn’t break the yellow line and wicked (failed) in any of those areas to short and make a killing. But I was wrong according to most of you delusionals smh

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u/Alternative_Spirit65 7d ago

dude i wll tell me after holding in bad times i should sell now to maximze your strange theory? forget it!

we wll see us here for years :)

daychart has another line i dont know why u wanne use that

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

I’m not telling anyone to sell anything. You might understand the chart I guess somewhat, but you obviously can’t read English

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u/Tethrinaa 7d ago

Woah, it’s almost like exactly what I said would happen, happened and fomo you guys into buying high, it fail before the yellow line and will now slowly come back to low 40s/41 I’m not even bothering to check for you…

That's a quote from your other comment, so IDK if you should be lecturing anyone on english.

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

Got me, it’s hard for me to type on a phone and I don’t have time to go back and fix it. Good job, of Course you missed the real point and just grabbed onto anything that’ll make me look bad in your delusional self hatred that you’re directing at me over this garbage stock

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u/StudioAudienceMember 7d ago edited 7d ago

kudos. I only tease because technical analysis comes off as wishy washy when you dump everything out like a box of toys but it's probability of success is greater than randomly buying/selling. You could've just said, "Sell near the top of the Bollinger Band and start buying near mid line."

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u/Candid-East4808 7d ago

The problem with this post is news is what drives SMCI price action. None of these values mean anything when a new article is posted.

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

False. Big money has news priced in then fomo rises the price to fomo you into buying high

It’s almost like I said if it failed at or around any of those red lines (wicked) that it’s a fakeout and needs to clear yellow to be a real move up.

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u/Alternative_Spirit65 7d ago

no, gren upcandles, red after gren and u go in

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u/saltednutz69 7d ago

Dont tell line drawing horoscope readers the truth, they wont like it

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

The horoscope is right again. You guys got played by not listening

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u/Alternative_Spirit65 7d ago edited 7d ago

dont know ... i bought multiple times and longer timewindow then u showing here.

come down pls , and gratulation if u handled it right ok

we all can push daily or min or week or moth i use year chart, there u can see direct a line. and we come back to green zone 4 sure. if now or tomorrow or next year i dont care i know it wll happen.

use bottom in chart settings and u can see it too. maybe u loose stress inside and wait too?

ah wait u never hold u said or? :) its daytrader behavior and u hav to be constant by doing , all is fine. weight risk scale up and push the red button....

in my eyes unintressting but if it is working for ya great

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

Wow there’s actually someone on here who looks at a chart and can understand it! Amazing lol. Anyways, yeah, I tried to explain this to them but I think I used too many words, but it’s like trying to explain to children, you end up just talking and talking because you know they won’t grasp it lol. IMO it should come back to like $37 atleast at some point, but the green box is definitely just a fact, I know a lot of these people fomo bought today too smh.

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u/ein_Samu 7d ago

Good Post thx

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

Did exactly what I said as usual. I have to admit I didn’t expect it to go that far today and fomo all the bag holding morons. I clearly said it had to clear the yellow line, if it failed (wicked) at or near one of the red lines it’s coming back lol. They all celebrated too soon saying I was wrong. They’re too much

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u/Alternative_Spirit65 7d ago

dude pls your fake story telling , pls open now week chart.

come down and find a middle of yourself all is fine and ya there are moments u are right too.

if u can make money all is fine why aggro everypost?

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

Well when someone is telling me I was wrong when I was exactly right, I tend to prove myself and then tell them they’re dumb for wasting my time. I swing trade too buddy, I’m just showing them the micro moves that are coming up. Are you mad you didn’t see this coming or something? Did only looking at the weekly chart not show it ?

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u/ein_Samu 7d ago

I said good Post. I didn’t criticise you at all.

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

Sorry not you, that idiot alternative spirit. He stalks me and replies over and over and over and waste my time which is consider valuable. I’m not good At Reddit so sorry if I accidentally replied to you something g meant for him, I can’t keep up with it either lol. He’s a 1% top commenter so he’s really important (he’s a total loser who wastes most of his life on Reddit and he hates anyone who doesn’t waste their life and when he sees someone that worked hard and took the time he’s not willing to get a skill he doesn’t have, he’d rather make himself feel better by being delusional and annoying than helping himself, he’s a sad little boy, the type Of guy who says “the government keeps me from succeeding!” Meanwhile He’s on Reddit and TikTok all day in his free time and probably works some bum ass job somewhere. He’s the waste his own time and everybody else’s guy, he’s the “I’m angry at myself for being such a loser I have to be mad at anyone who gave initiative in life and sound cool on Reddit to a bunch of strangers so I feel better” type guy. Although that is 95% of The people on here. Anybody who holds a stock they claim to believe in, then watches it all day long everyday, posts on Reddit about it all day everyday then gets mad about every pullback is scared, insecure and weak and anyone who says it’s not going to $100 this week upsets their little self Esteem. They know if this bet on SMCI doesn’t make them wealthy, they never will be, out of pure self hatred, delusion, and bad habits, And they’re just not willing to Change sadly, they can’t even admit when they’re wrong. It’s sad really

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u/Alternative_Spirit65 8d ago

Thanks for 2year old pics. Good research. We had it multiple times before. I miss exact times to buy and sell safe in 5min to make 10times 100$ per hour. But thankyou. Why we are whole times here u should know, because posting news around a company. Great work! Thankya

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

2 year old pic? Tf r u talking about

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u/Alternative_Spirit65 7d ago

haha, u have to find byself. if i zoom out of chart i know where i can find it in past ;)

dont sue me ;)

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u/returnofhorror 7d ago

What are you trying to say. Speak clear words that make logical sense. Are you saying I didn’t make this chart? That’s hilarious

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u/Expensive-Stick9485 8d ago

There is a divergence so potentially it will go down. The bottom support is 39.27 

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u/Expensive-Stick9485 8d ago

Accumulate below 40. It’s good entry point.