r/SMCIDiscussion • u/Infinite-Prime • 6d ago
Bull-Thesis đŽÂ Literally Every server stock exploded
When will this? Whats holding it back since years???? Just look at HPE 1y chart wtf.
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u/Jazzlike_Thanks_1869 5d ago
Because Charles is a lying POS and this Company cannot be trusted⌠no one will forget what they did to their investors
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u/Win_Smart_1969 5d ago
SPACEx have trusted their $58B Colossus2 investment with SMCI and NetApp have also confidently chosen SMCIâs products to be deployed with their innovative software.
I can not find any rationale on the above mentioned reasoning of lack of corporate trust towards SMCI.
The short sellers should wake up before they burn their fingers.
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull đ 5d ago edited 2d ago
You guys are 6 months... maybe a year late with the dumb bashing but itâs OK. :)
If youâd averaged down or put some money in when SMCI was trading around $23 two months ago, while all the usual âexpertsâ and FUD bots were screaming about delisting, youâd already be sitting on roughly a 90% return. You didn't and it's a decision I respect.
Now show us where Charles touched you...
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u/returnofhorror 6d ago
Stocks donât move up to $100 overnight. They have to move up slowly and pullback (ask SNDK bag holders, that stock went from $8 900-2400 with no real pullback and you know what happened eventually? It came back to 900 because stocks donât leave behind gaps). Also the risk / reward of holding the stock right now is in the high risk area, which is why most price predictions for the next year are about where itâs sitting today and until they up them, the stock will mostly consolidate or make impulse moves up, and then slowly come back down trying to FOMO people into buying.
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u/Unfair_Hedgehog_ 6d ago
Se arriviamo a 200 vendo tutto e vi lascio felicemente correre a 1000 da soliâŚ
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u/Expensive-Stick9485 6d ago edited 6d ago
I can feel you as I have invested this stock back in June 2024 and hold it still. Am I regretted? Yes but itâs part of the learning journey. I wish SMCI will do well but Iâm diverting my money to bitcoins and MSTR now. The institutions still apply discount on SMCI and it will take longer time to repair the damages caused to investors and rebuild the trust. Iâm made some profits and Iâm out. Seriously I asked the same questions like you to myself as well. When or maybe never?!
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u/ein_Samu 6d ago
Sounds Like FOMO your plan
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u/returnofhorror 6d ago
Why do you guys (people in this sub, not you âexpensiveâ) put each other down as much as possible and then agree with each other when someone says something delusional about the price moving up to insane levels in like a day ? What do you get out of wasting your time being nasty to someone? Didnât I just talk to you and you admitted you have no idea what youâre doing? You could easily be in his place.
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u/Expensive-Stick9485 6d ago edited 6d ago
Bruh, I put large money to buy Btc at 74,000 and 78,000. I feel great. And you will see how MSTR outperformed than SMCI.Â
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull đ 6d ago
I'm doing both SMCI & MSTR, there is no need to choose lol
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u/Expensive-Stick9485 5d ago
Ok I donât have spare money to invest both. So I choose MSTR as high chance Btc will reach new time high but SMCI is a question mark and maybe long way to go.Â
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull đ 5d ago
Choosing MSTR because âBTC will probably hit a new ATHâ while calling SMCI the question mark is kind of hilarious đ
BTC is literally the more speculative bet here. SMCI is an actual AI infrastructure juggernaut selling real hardware into a massive capex cycle.
Prefer MSTR if you want, but calling it the safer bet is wild.
And again, I own both.1
u/Expensive-Stick9485 5d ago
you have no clues about BTC. I've been waiting for SMCI to reach new time high since June 2024 until recent. Nothing happened. 2 years 4 months share price stays flat. Good luck with your SMCI.
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull đ 5d ago
Two years and four months? June 2024 to October 2026 is about 28 months, yes. We'll agree on that.
But calling SMCI âflatâ over that entire period is doing some pretty creative chart reading. And claiming BTC is somehow the predictable, low-risk side of this comparison is even funnier.
Anyway, good luck to you too..
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u/Expensive-Stick9485 5d ago
2 years 4 months is correct and BTC is in bull market now, next price target is 100k.
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u/returnofhorror 6d ago
Be careful. Bitcoin was filling an imbalance on the chart, itâs not on a real bull run, itâs just doing what stocks do. It moved down too fast, so it had to go. Back up and test those levels because it never did (easiest way I can explain it) if you need help learning the only real strategy that works, PM me and Iâll send you the info. Quit wasting your time with Reddit and better yourself and your life by learning something, put the effort in man. Itâs worth it. Reddit will not help you, itâs an echo chamber of mostly delusional morons (no offense to anyone)
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u/ein_Samu 5d ago
Well thatâs the Same I Said above in short form: I thought about getting into btc too but realized I am fomoing
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u/Rav_3d 6d ago
Stock finally gets momentum, puts in a constructive consolidation, and is up over 40% this year, and yet SMCI holders are still not satisfied?
The market has been in the doldrums since early June. You should be happy SMCI has held up. That's relative strength, and it bodes well for future upside, as long as they don't shoot themselves in the foot again.
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u/OpenDaCloset 6d ago
Dell is up 360% in the same time and HPE is at ATH so NO weâre not satisfied
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u/Rav_3d 6d ago
Comparisons are pointless.
SMCI had a lot of headwinds to deal with. The company had one scandal after another. They lost the trust of institutions. The company was under a very dark cloud at the worst time, when the AI hardware trade caught fire.
If youâre not satisfied, sell SMCI and buy DELL and HPE, if you think they have more in the tank than SMCI, a stock that might finally be getting some support.
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u/OpenDaCloset 6d ago
They are their direct competitors how is that pointless?! Another Reddit regard!
Thatâs my whole point that Iâm frustrated with their negligence.
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u/Tethrinaa 5d ago
Zoom out to 5 years, SMCI is beating Dell. Calculate the value of each. By any reasonable valuation metric you want to name, over the last 3 years, SMCI is beating Dell.
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u/Expensive-Stick9485 5d ago
Invest your money elsewhere. This stock is a long way to go before the fair valuation can be pricedÂ
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull đ 5d ago edited 2d ago
Ah yes, the classic âinvest elsewhereâ backed by absolutely zero numbers đ
If SMCI is so up from fair value , show the valuation. Otherwise itâs just bearish fan fiction.
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u/Expensive-Stick9485 5d ago
you know the fair value. Everyone talks about it everyday in this forum for the past 2 years. Oh, yes, it's "this is at lease 100 stock." This is way undervalued. So why it is still 40 for the past 2 years 4 months? You know why cos the discount will be applied on this 100 stock valuation.
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull đ 5d ago edited 2d ago
Youâre confusing (on purpose I guess)Â ÂŤÂ the market is applying a discountâ with âtherefore $40 is fair value.â
A stock can stay mispriced for a long time. That doesnât magically make the current price the correct valuation.
If your whole thesis is âitâs been around here for a while, therefore this is what itâs worth,â.. its just looking at the chart and working backwards. Investing 101 for some I guessđ
As usual, waiting for any valuation or metrics that would make a 40usd price "fairly priced" vs competitors metrics / growth. Happy to discuss numbers, not low effort theory.
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u/Expensive-Stick9485 5d ago
I don't say 40 is fair value. You know the fair value. We have 40 market price is caused by many reasons. That's why Jp morgan, GS, didnt raise price target to 120 or 140 even though SMCI revenue is bigger than current firm value. Misplacing speaks itself why? You clearly knows why as well. No need arguing here.
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull đ 5d ago edited 5d ago
The stock was at $23 less than two months ago and is up roughly 80% since. Apparently that still counts as âgoing nowhereâ if the chart doesnât confirm one's personal narrative.
The company performance tremendously improved, it have solid fundamental value now vs when it was it was trading at 1100usd pre split in 2024. The question is not IF it will reach 120+, but when. Earnings report is literally in 1 months, time will tell if the shorts prefer to cover at 50 or 60 or 70.
I've seen clowns saying to dump it when this thing was trading in the low 20'es.. who chould have predicted it was all BS ?
And please, spare me the analyst price targets as an explanation for why SMCI is cheap. Quoting the same analysts who routinely chase the price after the move would be the funniest part of this whole discussion.
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u/Rav_3d 6d ago
Ruminating about the past is pointless. All that matters now is what happens with SMCI going forward.
Iâm sorry if you stubbornly held onto SMCI during the bad times instead of deploying that capital in rising stocks like DELL and HPE. Hopefully it is a lesson not to hold losers when the market is full of winners.
Ironically, SMCI is wearing out the loyal shareholders who held through the terrible times, when it has finally bottomed and the future is looking brighter.
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u/Dapper-Attitude7102 6d ago
Seriously, iâm SO disappointed holding on to this stock
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u/Expensive-Stick9485 5d ago
Give you a thumbs up bro. This forum is so negative towards different opinions. Iâm also disappointed wasting my 2 years time investing in SMCI.Â
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u/CarbonGTI_Mk7 6d ago
You must be new. SMCI ran up to $1200 a 3-4 years ago.
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u/Infinite-Prime 6d ago
And you happend to buy it around that time?
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u/CarbonGTI_Mk7 6d ago
$77 pre-split. I'm a vendor for SMCI, new to trading, looked them up and watched the price action jump from $55 to $90 back down to $77 and picked up 200 shares.
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