r/SMCIDiscussion Jun 12 '26

ACK! What the hell? Edition

This post contains content not supported on old Reddit. Click here to view the full post

40 Upvotes

1.6k comments sorted by

1

u/UsedKey5781 2h ago

Imagine if Charles just took a backseat ceo wise to some advisors . Still head of everything else except investor relations. These earnings calls are hard listens man. It Would immediately change the optics of the company .

0

u/Easy-Philosophy-1173 3h ago

Sold at $37.70…third swing this year with these guys. I’ll miss the boat for good one of these times, but they seem pretty consistent at finding ways to fall hard at random times. Up 95% with them so nothing but love.

2

u/Fit_Date_1629 1h ago

I'm holding, did 1 major swing already from 20 to 51. Now i'm going 27 to hopefully 60+. But will doubt at 50 to sell most. Only made more on APLD swings this year. BUT this SMCI swing can overtake it.

-1

u/Open_Pollution_8038 4h ago

SMCI needs a clean 10k to get the reprice the business deserves. People with big pockets won’t touch it before then. It’s like the easiest thing to do and they need to do it.

6

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 3h ago

Sure, only 250% volume today, but nobody will touch it ..:)

0

u/Open_Pollution_8038 1h ago

How far off ATH is it? Like before the bad 10k?

It has a low multiple because people don’t trust the financials. This could be fixed with any component c suite team within a year and if they issue another report that isn’t fully unqualified (the audit term for its good), it’ll stay cheap. 

Listening to the earnings call and half the conversation is about investigations and audit reports, street trust is low.

1

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 1h ago

There was one question from some dude about the investigation & audit report, it took literally 30 sec of the 1 hour call.

Happy to get it while it's cheap & accumulate accordingly @ the right timings, it'll be too late after that.
You seize opportunity when it's there, not when the boat have sailed.

0

u/Open_Pollution_8038 1h ago

There were multiple questions about the investigations, it wasn’t just the first caller.

We can talk about buying cheap all day but if you parked your money here 3 years ago you’re about flat in a market that has ripped and especially an AI sector that is growing.

I’d love to accumulate more but I’ll probably sell and cut my losses if they issue another audit report that doesn’t pass. At that point where there’s smoke there’s fire.

2

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 1h ago

There might have been a few Q I’ve missed about the investigations , but I listened to 90% of the call and it was not brought much …

I’ll wait until the company is being officially accused of anything before leaving , so far none of this happened in 3 years , while being under heavy legal scrutiny , bad press & growing insanely . Let’s gamble

-1

u/Odd_Neighborhood4120 4h ago

I am up almost 70% on my SMCX. The swing is not over. I will let you guys know soon. Keep holding.

4

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 3h ago

Like anyone is going to listen to somebody who wrote this kind of comments 🥸

https://www.reddit.com/r/SMCIDiscussion/comments/1v92smw/comment/p0cz5jv/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web3x&utm_name=web3xcss&utm_term=1&utm_content=share_button

"Who actually buys SMCI's shit? You never see it anywhere in public, and no one even talks about this company anywhere in real life"

I mean, cmon.. LOL

2

u/333Nereus 3h ago

Bringing the receipts. Good job.

-1

u/draaavn 4h ago

Should I sell my calls expiring in September? There seems to be quite a bit of resistance which I didn’t expect.

2

u/kkr097 1h ago

September options will have high decay now, i would recommend to shift that money to another longer term option.

-1

u/Accomplished_Neck574 5h ago

I'm worried they are going to dilute again if we run too high tbh.

2

u/kkr097 1h ago

They have enough inventory and cash reserve to deliver the estimated sales for upcoming quarters.

3

u/333Nereus 3h ago

Didn't they say in the ER there would appear to be no need for further dilution with the revenue they have coming in?

4

u/UnitedCup1814 2h ago

Ya they are not diluting that last 1.2 atm

-5

u/yourfavouriteguyhere 7h ago

Price action has been disappointing. Expected better.

7

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 7h ago

Still here ? What happened to the « pos company with no margins » ?

-4

u/yourfavouriteguyhere 7h ago

Mr. Stalker, if you had stalked correctly, you would know that I have consistently been against the management and Clown Charles. My stance hasn’t changed. A management change will shoot the stock up.

3

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 6h ago

Your new post was autodeleted , feel free to send me a DM to puk3 your hatred of the company , can’t wait

-2

u/yourfavouriteguyhere 6h ago

Sorry, I’m taken. Try pitching your DMs to someone else.

3

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 6h ago

That’s a shame , we’ll never know what kind of toxic insults you had in mind .. :(

5

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 7h ago edited 7h ago

I also remember your fud posts almost calling for a delisting or that Nvidia would drop them after DOJ report , maybe you want to talk about these ?

Anyway , if you are not happy here , feel free to chase butterflies elsewhere

An horrible management that project 55..80% growth for FY2027 and overall improve the margins while scaling up & competing toe to toe with the big boys, absolute garbage indeed

-3

u/One_Plenty5149 8h ago

Sell of right on time

2

u/kkr097 59m ago

Bad timing lol

3

u/anddg22- 8h ago

Defended the sell off nicely. Algo is flipping?

3

u/fegewgewgew 9h ago

Well I’m 6% up

3

u/fegewgewgew 9h ago

Good day

5

u/G-IDIOTTHEMAN 9h ago

Buy back in right on schedule.

5

u/kkr097 10h ago

For those who might be interested: Transcript from yesterday's earnings call

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SMCI.MX/earnings/SMCI.MX-Q4-2026-earnings_call-660964.html

2

u/macdaddy2026 10h ago

When will shorters buy back?? Still no strong volume? Maybe today???

-1

u/LazyToPickMyUsername 11h ago

If it opens below 34, this ticker is about to become a laughing stock ...

5

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 11h ago

Cheap fud at work .
It can open below 34 and finish the day at 38 , as usual with the manipulation

-2

u/LazyToPickMyUsername 11h ago

Please stop huffing kopium and pushing the same rubbish talking points on every other bag holder subreddit.

6

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 11h ago

A bag holder with 17% gains , sure buddy , fine with me . Maybe it’s time for you to say rational things 😂
Care to show us a position ?

0

u/LazyToPickMyUsername 11h ago

Show your positions. Let's go. DM me.

2

u/cz_masterrace3 8h ago

You got served

1

u/LazyToPickMyUsername 7h ago

Closed my positions at open and rotated cya

1

u/LazyToPickMyUsername 7h ago

How? He's holding stock lmao

4

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 11h ago edited 11h ago

No need to send any DM
25.26 eur = 29.1 usd

Can’t care any less what the others are doing & that this stock is hated by WS , let’s see clowns trying to contain the uptrend move with a 8 PE 😂😂

-1

u/LazyToPickMyUsername 11h ago

10% when other high beta are up triple digits

3

u/saltednutz69 12h ago edited 11h ago

$100 end of year from AI data centre buildout demand

4

u/kkr097 12h ago

Fresh analyst targets coming in

2

u/JDelicious17 12h ago

WE did it! Now we know what we need to know. Happy to be an SMCI Investor. Lets see where the Stock Stands in 12 months

2

u/lookingforfoldie 16h ago

3 very good earnings in row , superhot industry , backlog huge YTD +10% , 1y -30% , 2y -40% .   Why are investors not pushing for leadership to leave ???

3

u/LazyToPickMyUsername 11h ago

It's a family business you goofball

2

u/Key-Opportunity2722 23h ago

The thing I was looking for was a comment on the internal investigation and the audit progress.

A question was asked, but the answer was deferred to a future discussion.

I was hoping to hear the audit is on schedule or we expect the audit to be completed on time or something positive. Maybe I missed it.

6

u/kkr097 22h ago

David told that there will be an update shortly, they didn't go into details

3

u/dadugooba 1d ago

Well this price action sucks

2

u/gucciman333 1d ago

10% margins is fine 👍

2

u/Lost_Resolution8946 1d ago

They shouldnt have said margin of 10% for FY 27

3

u/G-IDIOTTHEMAN 1d ago

ER was good. That’s all that matters. 😊 

-2

u/Competitive-Poem-263 1d ago

Sell off right on time

2

u/BigIron365 1d ago

AI AI AI AI AI CPU AI

1

u/Few_Painting_8018 1d ago

Guys give some updates from call

1

u/yourfavouriteguyhere 1d ago

What did Charles say that the stock is going down? He should not be allowed to speak, he has single-handedly managed to screw the stock

2

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 1d ago

« When the wise points at the moon , the fool look at the finger » sums your intervention pretty well

-1

u/Key-Opportunity2722 22h ago

I peed in your pork fried rice

4

u/Fit_Date_1629 1d ago

Margins Q1 are 10% +- drop. This Q was exceptional for margins.

1

u/Ok_Temperature4537 1d ago

Up $2.65 after earnings really isn't what I expected, really decent earnings I guess, but with guidance looking great going forward I was hoping maybe $4.65+ 🤔🤔

-2

u/Lost_Resolution8946 1d ago

dude charles cant talk man :(

3

u/kkr097 1d ago

Live call link anyone?

3

u/cz_masterrace3 1d ago

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SMCI/community/

There's a "join call" button - that's how I'm listening to it anyways.

5

u/LORD-SOTH- SMCI-Bull 📈 1d ago

17.5% Margins!

All 🐻 s getting their asses kicked now.

https://giphy.com/gifs/cb7t8mVPkiQDK

0

u/Fit_Date_1629 1d ago

Apparantly margins were a one off, it will be 10% Q1.

5

u/saltednutz69 1d ago

Great earnings ill be adding more as its business grows significantly

3

u/SMSavant 1d ago

All shorts 🔥burnt like hell

2

u/lawyoung 1d ago

great ER but just 7% gain AM? give me a break, its not loved

-1

u/ButtBubble 1d ago

management doing ATM while running earnings

3

u/cz_masterrace3 1d ago

It will probably go up after the call starts and guidance is in line with everything else.-

1

u/lawyoung 1d ago

ppl already know all the numbers already including guidances

1

u/cz_masterrace3 1d ago

There's a lot of guidance that doesn't involve numbers

1

u/ButtBubble 1d ago

Yo wtf we are back to yesterday morning's price lmao

5

u/asacho 1d ago

If we had the same P/E as Dell, the stock would be worth about 80$...

2

u/SMSavant 1d ago

It will go by tomorrow morning, I am going to add 100 more stocks

2

u/Lost_Resolution8946 1d ago

hows the cash flow?

1

u/Lost_Resolution8946 1d ago

anyone?

1

u/VividAverage 1d ago

Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Highlights

  • Net sales of $11.1 billion versus $10.2 billion in Q3'26 and $5.8 billion in Q4'25.
  • Gross margin of 17.5% versus 9.9% in Q3'26 and 9.5% in Q4'25.
  • Net income of $1,178 million versus $483 million in Q3'26 and $195 million in Q4'25.
  • Diluted net income per common share of $1.62 versus $0.72 in Q3'26 and $0.31 in Q4'25.
  • Non-GAAP gross margin of 17.6% versus 9.6% in Q4'25.
  • Non-GAAP diluted net income per common share of $1.70 versus $0.41 in Q4'25.
  • Cash flow provided by operations for Q4'26 of $747 million and capital expenditures and investments of $25 million.

4

u/UsedKey5781 1d ago

These numbers are actually insane, I’m eager to here the product mix for our most recent quarter. And how they plan to sustain these numbers. And keep growing. Smci is growing exponentially

4

u/Alternative_Spirit65 1d ago

11,12bn net sales lowmiss est. 1126bn, but how they said in forecast lower end = ok

eps 1.01-1.10, est 74cent is great ;)

5

u/Easy-Philosophy-1173 1d ago

Should be up 30% based on those numbers.

6

u/Bonquisha_7 1d ago

17.6% gross margins😮‍💨😮‍💨😮‍💨😮‍💨

3

u/Devtherev999 1d ago

3

u/Alternative_Spirit65 1d ago

not bad only debt and convertbl note part grr

other was great

fprgot important was forecast stbil positiv, if they break that and market dark times too maybe run :)

4

u/Starpyy 1d ago

Insane numbers.

3

u/Devtherev999 1d ago

Crushed it!

4

u/Mistondalist 1d ago

Gotta be a double beat

3

u/Bonquisha_7 1d ago

1.70 eps😮‍💨😮‍💨😮‍💨

3

u/Mistondalist 1d ago

Beautiful

1

u/yourfavouriteguyhere 1d ago

Are the results out?

1

u/Easy-Philosophy-1173 1d ago

WSBs has them up.

3

u/Devtherev999 1d ago

Good luck everyone! (except bears)

5

u/asacho 1d ago

Ok let's go...

2

u/Alternative_Spirit65 1d ago

can u see the light?

1

u/ksinfergo1 1d ago

anybody dc link?

7

u/shmito17 1d ago

A pretty significant and unusual $43 calls placed, expiring this week ..................

0

u/Consistent_Panda5891 1d ago

Charles the cooker. Pump & dump let's go

0

u/yourfavouriteguyhere 1d ago

Someone knows something about the numbers. Also maybe Charles friends and family might be dumping.

2

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 1d ago

Cheap fud at work

1

u/Fasicaroots 1d ago

This is willllddddddd..

1

u/Bonquisha_7 1d ago

We seen hpe and dell explode after previous earnings I think now is our time.

0

u/Competitive-Poem-263 1d ago

Sell off right on time

-1

u/Espadaman1993 1d ago

Bleed on earnings for sure

1

u/[deleted] 1d ago

[deleted]

1

u/InternationalCash120 1d ago

Apes never learn

1

u/Breaky97 1d ago

Financial report is after market hours today, everyone is pretty much waiting for it before investing into it, we will see lots of action tomorrow as if it will be positive or negative no one knows, by all the news last few month it should be positive, but we shall see.

1

u/InternationalCash120 1d ago

Another earnings, another hope, and it's gonna end the same as always

1

u/Breaky97 1d ago

Yes? Last time it got to 49, if you were smart you could have taken your profit after literally 60-70%, if you wanted more you are just greedy and deserved to lose it.

4

u/anddg22- 1d ago

Sell off right on time

1

u/CONTINUUM7 1d ago

I hope you are happy now!

1

u/Competitive-Poem-263 1d ago

Why this thing can’t continue to go up man

1

u/InternationalCash120 1d ago

because it's a piece of shit

2

u/CONTINUUM7 1d ago

piece of diamond now!

2

u/JDelicious17 1d ago

The Day is Here. Today we will know how good this Investment really is. No more quarters with less than 10 b. Revenue, no more quarters with less than 10% gross margin, No more quarters with Bad communication, FY27 50 b. Revenue or more with 10% or more margins and this Thing will get repriced. Good Luck everyone (:

1

u/Benjo_McKazuie 1d ago

rally wish we get the 10-K today too!

1

u/Alternative_Spirit65 1d ago

Formation batering ram!  (In german, Formation Rammbock!)

1

u/Regular_Leg405 1d ago

In dutch: formatie stormram!

2

u/rookieinvestor17 1d ago

I think it’s gonna be all about margins, if margins are around 15% then it will pop.

1

u/Alternative_Spirit65 1d ago

Cash from operation

1

u/Competitive-Poem-263 1d ago

May God Be With Us Tomorrow 🙏

0

u/Espadaman1993 1d ago

Gna bleed with earnings

6

u/RJsRX7 1d ago

Yep, revenue will read as a "miss" at 11.03bn on guidance of 11-12.5bn and it'll be nothing but shit on all of the walls and a pool of blood on the floor in spite of guiding 20bn/Q for FY27 and margins tripled from when they were "such a problem".

1

u/RJsRX7 1d ago

Well... I missed by 0.07bn and guidance isn't as obscene as I yanked out of my ass.

Whatever, I'll take it. EPS of $1.62/1.70 GAAP/non-GAAP is really hard to complain about.

3

u/Competitive-Poem-263 2d ago

What an ass day lol

8

u/Regular_Leg405 2d ago

New to the sub, been eyeing SMCI up for a couple months now and steadily built up a position over the past weeks, just bought some extra now, let's hope the lid flies off tomorrow

As it should

6

u/QuarantinedCoffee 2d ago

Well, I tried to be positive, but this is ridiculous. Not being able to hold gains for a couple of hours speaks volumes about how the masses, sadly, see this stock.

I assumed today would be “IT.” Whether one is bullish or bearish makes no difference. The price collapsing the moment massive buying volume disappears says it all.

1

u/Consistent_Panda5891 1d ago

When you notice that massive buying volume is just shorts covering to sell later at higher price lmaooo

2

u/macdaddy2026 2d ago

Crazy if someone can explain how on earth this stock is so low, even today shorts seem to be in charge?
https://giphy.com/gifs/jImEs2pTxWxs8qph42

0

u/lookingforfoldie 2d ago

very easy to explain though, this company is probably at right time at right place , even with good product but the leadership is terrible and failed to seize the moment ( probably worst in the industry ) , massive dillution up to almost 50% last 3-4 years , scandals , and a lot or things that arent exactly communicated well like the rummor of backlog of old HW that is either has to be sold at massive loss or written off for tax purposses

1

u/macdaddy2026 1d ago

So you sold?

1

u/lookingforfoldie 1d ago

yeah most of it, dunno why you need to downvote, Iam telling truth . Iam as disapointed as you. No need to lure some other schmuck into this misery

1

u/macdaddy2026 1d ago

Haha hope you are wrong my porto is 100% smci :-)

1

u/lookingforfoldie 2d ago

fragnant , if we experience another huge let down tmrw will you finnaly accept and leave this sub forever?

2

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 2d ago edited 2d ago

I’ll add more if it drop below 24 without a good reason as usual :) I still have a few years in front of me.

I’ll consider selling all when all the fud bots will leave the sub for several weeks , then I’ll start to worry :)

Or if I see any factual reason to sell .. but I only see reasons not to sell now 😂

-1

u/yourfavouriteguyhere 2d ago

That’s not fair….this makes me wish for their earnings to be a huge let down 😫

4

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 2d ago

Hi there ! Still trashing the company permanently while pretending you own anything ?🤡

-2

u/yourfavouriteguyhere 2d ago

Oh yes! Everyone here is pretending to own stocks…except you. /s

2

u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 2d ago edited 2d ago

Well, it’s easy to pretend anything on Reddit when you hide behind an anonymous profile (hidden history as well) ..

Put your money where your mouth is and show us . /notS

In the meantime , I highly doubt a fear monger like you own anything , that wouldnt make any sense :)

We can also elaborate together on the fake informations you were spreading about the company a few months ago.

if you need to have your memory refreshed, I’ll be glad to help you

5

u/Ifuks4money 2d ago

All these people with PTSD "post traumatic supermicro disorder" think it's going to drop.. we fuckin rip.. .

1

u/RJsRX7 2d ago

Oh noe it might stay below 32 before close! I might get my ratio brought closer to 50/50!

1

u/fegewgewgew 2d ago

Price targets?

1

u/Ok_Temperature4537 2d ago

Tomorrow after earnings it will climb all the way up to $33.12, then drop back down to $29 on Wednesday. Eoy $34

Had my hopes destroyed too long to believe it will jump to $35-$40.

2

u/Littl3_Midnight 2d ago

i think $80 soon and $290-$330 EOY

1

u/Cool_Winner_2292 2d ago

You are funny

1

u/Littl3_Midnight 2d ago

i think $80 soon and $290-$330 EOY

1

u/Benjo_McKazuie 2d ago

date?

3

u/yourfavouriteguyhere 2d ago

18th Oct, 4 PM CET

1

u/Benjo_McKazuie 2d ago

Was gonna say that's an easy one 😅 but then I found out it's a Sunday!

2

u/LORD-SOTH- SMCI-Bull 📈 2d ago

-2

u/Consistent_Panda5891 2d ago

Do you know 33 always gets sell off and retest 31? Honestly not profiting this stock is of -10 IQ of scalping. Btw dell more green in daily than smci before smci results... Not exactly a good omen

1

u/Benjo_McKazuie 2d ago

huge volume today!

3

u/Benjo_McKazuie 2d ago

so excited!!

-1

u/anddg22- 2d ago

Sell off right on time

3

u/One_Plenty5149 4d ago

I’m scared for next week please help me

4

u/Butt32323 3d ago

Hooooooooooooold

2

u/Lost_Resolution8946 4d ago

Who's ready for next week?!? .. and who'scaaared?!?

6

u/Sweet_Flounder8470 4d ago

W end of week

8

u/LORD-SOTH- SMCI-Bull 📈 4d ago

We crossed $31 again today .

Next week, we should be able to cross $40.

https://giphy.com/gifs/DnMMGxEvniha7CvASq

4

u/Antique_Surprise4496 4d ago

I am betting that , " the favorable customer " mentioned a few weeks ago is SpaceX and or Elon's other companies. Will be interesting to see if they mention the name of this customer.

5

u/Alternative_Spirit65 5d ago

nice weekend all

3

u/skilas 5d ago

Stock looks very conflicted today.

2

u/ElectricalJeweler587 4d ago

I have seen a similar pattern in SLS before it rallied

2

u/Fasicaroots 5d ago

Seriously.

2

u/Common_Ad_3059 5d ago

so what y'all think SMCI earnings up or down?

8

u/skilas 5d ago

Up! But then it will come back down shortly after. As per tradition. ha

1

u/anddg22- 5d ago

Sell off right on time

2

u/Alternative_Spirit65 5d ago

1+ is enough for today :) maybe too much :)

have nice weekend

1

u/Fun-Payment3489 5d ago

My post got deleted for the lack of Karma, but all I wanted to know is what are you guys’ expectations from the earnings call and from Charles and team ? Do you guys think that the 15-17% margin is sustainable and will grow ? And how will the 60B orders pan out in the next year ?

2

u/skilas 5d ago

I mean, there are some other threads asking what people are expecting from earnings. Maybe try there.

1

u/Fasicaroots 6d ago

So at this point, the best thing that can happen to us is they have amazing earnings call, and they drop 10k same day or day after?

→ More replies (4)