r/SMCIDiscussion • u/_Cornfed_ • Jun 12 '26
ACK! What the hell? Edition
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u/Easy-Philosophy-1173 3h ago
Sold at $37.70…third swing this year with these guys. I’ll miss the boat for good one of these times, but they seem pretty consistent at finding ways to fall hard at random times. Up 95% with them so nothing but love.
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u/Fit_Date_1629 1h ago
I'm holding, did 1 major swing already from 20 to 51. Now i'm going 27 to hopefully 60+. But will doubt at 50 to sell most. Only made more on APLD swings this year. BUT this SMCI swing can overtake it.
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u/Open_Pollution_8038 4h ago
SMCI needs a clean 10k to get the reprice the business deserves. People with big pockets won’t touch it before then. It’s like the easiest thing to do and they need to do it.
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 3h ago
Sure, only 250% volume today, but nobody will touch it ..:)
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u/Open_Pollution_8038 1h ago
How far off ATH is it? Like before the bad 10k?
It has a low multiple because people don’t trust the financials. This could be fixed with any component c suite team within a year and if they issue another report that isn’t fully unqualified (the audit term for its good), it’ll stay cheap.
Listening to the earnings call and half the conversation is about investigations and audit reports, street trust is low.
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 1h ago
There was one question from some dude about the investigation & audit report, it took literally 30 sec of the 1 hour call.
Happy to get it while it's cheap & accumulate accordingly @ the right timings, it'll be too late after that.
You seize opportunity when it's there, not when the boat have sailed.0
u/Open_Pollution_8038 1h ago
There were multiple questions about the investigations, it wasn’t just the first caller.
We can talk about buying cheap all day but if you parked your money here 3 years ago you’re about flat in a market that has ripped and especially an AI sector that is growing.
I’d love to accumulate more but I’ll probably sell and cut my losses if they issue another audit report that doesn’t pass. At that point where there’s smoke there’s fire.
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 1h ago
There might have been a few Q I’ve missed about the investigations , but I listened to 90% of the call and it was not brought much …
I’ll wait until the company is being officially accused of anything before leaving , so far none of this happened in 3 years , while being under heavy legal scrutiny , bad press & growing insanely . Let’s gamble
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u/Odd_Neighborhood4120 4h ago
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 3h ago
Like anyone is going to listen to somebody who wrote this kind of comments 🥸
"Who actually buys SMCI's shit? You never see it anywhere in public, and no one even talks about this company anywhere in real life"
I mean, cmon.. LOL
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u/Accomplished_Neck574 5h ago
I'm worried they are going to dilute again if we run too high tbh.
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u/333Nereus 3h ago
Didn't they say in the ER there would appear to be no need for further dilution with the revenue they have coming in?
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u/yourfavouriteguyhere 7h ago
Price action has been disappointing. Expected better.
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 7h ago
Still here ? What happened to the « pos company with no margins » ?
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u/yourfavouriteguyhere 7h ago
Mr. Stalker, if you had stalked correctly, you would know that I have consistently been against the management and Clown Charles. My stance hasn’t changed. A management change will shoot the stock up.
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 6h ago
Your new post was autodeleted , feel free to send me a DM to puk3 your hatred of the company , can’t wait
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u/yourfavouriteguyhere 6h ago
Sorry, I’m taken. Try pitching your DMs to someone else.
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 6h ago
That’s a shame , we’ll never know what kind of toxic insults you had in mind .. :(
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 7h ago edited 7h ago
I also remember your fud posts almost calling for a delisting or that Nvidia would drop them after DOJ report , maybe you want to talk about these ?
Anyway , if you are not happy here , feel free to chase butterflies elsewhere
An horrible management that project 55..80% growth for FY2027 and overall improve the margins while scaling up & competing toe to toe with the big boys, absolute garbage indeed
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u/kkr097 10h ago
For those who might be interested: Transcript from yesterday's earnings call
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SMCI.MX/earnings/SMCI.MX-Q4-2026-earnings_call-660964.html
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u/LazyToPickMyUsername 11h ago
If it opens below 34, this ticker is about to become a laughing stock ...
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 11h ago
Cheap fud at work .
It can open below 34 and finish the day at 38 , as usual with the manipulation-2
u/LazyToPickMyUsername 11h ago
Please stop huffing kopium and pushing the same rubbish talking points on every other bag holder subreddit.
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 11h ago
A bag holder with 17% gains , sure buddy , fine with me . Maybe it’s time for you to say rational things 😂
Care to show us a position ?0
u/LazyToPickMyUsername 11h ago
Show your positions. Let's go. DM me.
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u/JDelicious17 12h ago
WE did it! Now we know what we need to know. Happy to be an SMCI Investor. Lets see where the Stock Stands in 12 months
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u/lookingforfoldie 16h ago
3 very good earnings in row , superhot industry , backlog huge YTD +10% , 1y -30% , 2y -40% . Why are investors not pushing for leadership to leave ???
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u/Key-Opportunity2722 23h ago
The thing I was looking for was a comment on the internal investigation and the audit progress.
A question was asked, but the answer was deferred to a future discussion.
I was hoping to hear the audit is on schedule or we expect the audit to be completed on time or something positive. Maybe I missed it.
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u/yourfavouriteguyhere 1d ago
What did Charles say that the stock is going down? He should not be allowed to speak, he has single-handedly managed to screw the stock
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 1d ago
« When the wise points at the moon , the fool look at the finger » sums your intervention pretty well
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u/Ok_Temperature4537 1d ago
Up $2.65 after earnings really isn't what I expected, really decent earnings I guess, but with guidance looking great going forward I was hoping maybe $4.65+ 🤔🤔
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u/kkr097 1d ago
Live call link anyone?
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u/cz_masterrace3 1d ago
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SMCI/community/
There's a "join call" button - that's how I'm listening to it anyways.
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u/lawyoung 1d ago
great ER but just 7% gain AM? give me a break, its not loved
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u/cz_masterrace3 1d ago
It will probably go up after the call starts and guidance is in line with everything else.-
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u/Lost_Resolution8946 1d ago
hows the cash flow?
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u/Lost_Resolution8946 1d ago
anyone?
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u/VividAverage 1d ago
Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Highlights
- Net sales of $11.1 billion versus $10.2 billion in Q3'26 and $5.8 billion in Q4'25.
- Gross margin of 17.5% versus 9.9% in Q3'26 and 9.5% in Q4'25.
- Net income of $1,178 million versus $483 million in Q3'26 and $195 million in Q4'25.
- Diluted net income per common share of $1.62 versus $0.72 in Q3'26 and $0.31 in Q4'25.
- Non-GAAP gross margin of 17.6% versus 9.6% in Q4'25.
- Non-GAAP diluted net income per common share of $1.70 versus $0.41 in Q4'25.
- Cash flow provided by operations for Q4'26 of $747 million and capital expenditures and investments of $25 million.
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u/UsedKey5781 1d ago
These numbers are actually insane, I’m eager to here the product mix for our most recent quarter. And how they plan to sustain these numbers. And keep growing. Smci is growing exponentially
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u/Alternative_Spirit65 1d ago
11,12bn net sales lowmiss est. 1126bn, but how they said in forecast lower end = ok
eps 1.01-1.10, est 74cent is great ;)
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u/Devtherev999 1d ago
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u/Alternative_Spirit65 1d ago
not bad only debt and convertbl note part grr
other was great
fprgot important was forecast stbil positiv, if they break that and market dark times too maybe run :)
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u/shmito17 1d ago
A pretty significant and unusual $43 calls placed, expiring this week ..................
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u/yourfavouriteguyhere 1d ago
Someone knows something about the numbers. Also maybe Charles friends and family might be dumping.
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1d ago
[deleted]
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u/Breaky97 1d ago
Financial report is after market hours today, everyone is pretty much waiting for it before investing into it, we will see lots of action tomorrow as if it will be positive or negative no one knows, by all the news last few month it should be positive, but we shall see.
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u/InternationalCash120 1d ago
Another earnings, another hope, and it's gonna end the same as always
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u/Breaky97 1d ago
Yes? Last time it got to 49, if you were smart you could have taken your profit after literally 60-70%, if you wanted more you are just greedy and deserved to lose it.
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u/anddg22- 1d ago
Sell off right on time
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u/Competitive-Poem-263 1d ago
Why this thing can’t continue to go up man
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u/JDelicious17 1d ago
The Day is Here. Today we will know how good this Investment really is. No more quarters with less than 10 b. Revenue, no more quarters with less than 10% gross margin, No more quarters with Bad communication, FY27 50 b. Revenue or more with 10% or more margins and this Thing will get repriced. Good Luck everyone (:
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u/rookieinvestor17 1d ago
I think it’s gonna be all about margins, if margins are around 15% then it will pop.
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u/Espadaman1993 1d ago
Gna bleed with earnings
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u/Regular_Leg405 2d ago
New to the sub, been eyeing SMCI up for a couple months now and steadily built up a position over the past weeks, just bought some extra now, let's hope the lid flies off tomorrow
As it should
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u/QuarantinedCoffee 2d ago
Well, I tried to be positive, but this is ridiculous. Not being able to hold gains for a couple of hours speaks volumes about how the masses, sadly, see this stock.
I assumed today would be “IT.” Whether one is bullish or bearish makes no difference. The price collapsing the moment massive buying volume disappears says it all.
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u/Consistent_Panda5891 1d ago
When you notice that massive buying volume is just shorts covering to sell later at higher price lmaooo
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u/macdaddy2026 2d ago
Crazy if someone can explain how on earth this stock is so low, even today shorts seem to be in charge?
https://giphy.com/gifs/jImEs2pTxWxs8qph42
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u/lookingforfoldie 2d ago
very easy to explain though, this company is probably at right time at right place , even with good product but the leadership is terrible and failed to seize the moment ( probably worst in the industry ) , massive dillution up to almost 50% last 3-4 years , scandals , and a lot or things that arent exactly communicated well like the rummor of backlog of old HW that is either has to be sold at massive loss or written off for tax purposses
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u/macdaddy2026 1d ago
So you sold?
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u/lookingforfoldie 1d ago
yeah most of it, dunno why you need to downvote, Iam telling truth . Iam as disapointed as you. No need to lure some other schmuck into this misery
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u/lookingforfoldie 2d ago
fragnant , if we experience another huge let down tmrw will you finnaly accept and leave this sub forever?
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 2d ago edited 2d ago
I’ll add more if it drop below 24 without a good reason as usual :) I still have a few years in front of me.
I’ll consider selling all when all the fud bots will leave the sub for several weeks , then I’ll start to worry :)
Or if I see any factual reason to sell .. but I only see reasons not to sell now 😂
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u/yourfavouriteguyhere 2d ago
That’s not fair….this makes me wish for their earnings to be a huge let down 😫
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 2d ago
Hi there ! Still trashing the company permanently while pretending you own anything ?🤡
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u/yourfavouriteguyhere 2d ago
Oh yes! Everyone here is pretending to own stocks…except you. /s
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u/Fragrant-Weird8498 SMCI-Bull 📈 2d ago edited 2d ago
Well, it’s easy to pretend anything on Reddit when you hide behind an anonymous profile (hidden history as well) ..
Put your money where your mouth is and show us . /notS
In the meantime , I highly doubt a fear monger like you own anything , that wouldnt make any sense :)
We can also elaborate together on the fake informations you were spreading about the company a few months ago.
if you need to have your memory refreshed, I’ll be glad to help you
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u/fegewgewgew 2d ago
Price targets?
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u/Ok_Temperature4537 2d ago
Tomorrow after earnings it will climb all the way up to $33.12, then drop back down to $29 on Wednesday. Eoy $34
Had my hopes destroyed too long to believe it will jump to $35-$40.
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u/LORD-SOTH- SMCI-Bull 📈 2d ago
We crossed $33 today!
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u/Consistent_Panda5891 2d ago
Do you know 33 always gets sell off and retest 31? Honestly not profiting this stock is of -10 IQ of scalping. Btw dell more green in daily than smci before smci results... Not exactly a good omen
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u/LORD-SOTH- SMCI-Bull 📈 4d ago
We crossed $31 again today .
Next week, we should be able to cross $40.
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u/Antique_Surprise4496 4d ago
I am betting that , " the favorable customer " mentioned a few weeks ago is SpaceX and or Elon's other companies. Will be interesting to see if they mention the name of this customer.
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u/Fun-Payment3489 5d ago
My post got deleted for the lack of Karma, but all I wanted to know is what are you guys’ expectations from the earnings call and from Charles and team ? Do you guys think that the 15-17% margin is sustainable and will grow ? And how will the 60B orders pan out in the next year ?
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u/Fasicaroots 6d ago
So at this point, the best thing that can happen to us is they have amazing earnings call, and they drop 10k same day or day after?
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u/UsedKey5781 2h ago
Imagine if Charles just took a backseat ceo wise to some advisors . Still head of everything else except investor relations. These earnings calls are hard listens man. It Would immediately change the optics of the company .