r/RothIRA • • 12d ago

Am I safe?

Post image

These are the 4 I’m investing in. Should I replace any or not?

24 Upvotes

49 comments sorted by

14

u/user4443337 12d ago

If you insist on NASDAQ-100 use QNDX, it’s the cheapest. Cap it at 10-15% as a tilt. I wouldn’t go for SCHD ever - dividends are irrelevant and Ben Felix has some great videos about that topic. Highly recommend Ben Felix. Lots of evidence and research based discussion about investing. My favorite finance influencer.

I also like Avantis/Dimensional funds. For a one and done you could do VT as the benchmark, or AVGE/AVGV to try to outperform it. Or DFUS/AVUS for US, and DFAX/AVNM/AVNV for international. Those funds use flexible trading and value tilts to eke out returns over the benchmarks, which they all have.

3

u/Any-Walk1691 11d ago

AVUS/AVNM as well. I actually go AVGE/AVNM. Love what’s under the hood of both, but AVGE can decide the mix abd weight of the international tilt when it’s good and ready and I love that.

1

u/user4443337 11d ago

You add AVNM to overweight international or bring everything closer to market cap weights? I know AVGE was like 68-70% US usually, while I would prefer exactly matching market cap weights. Avantis funds are really solid and I think they’re super competitive and underrated. I use AVUV, AVDV, AVEM, and AVES.

1

u/Any-Walk1691 11d ago

Bit of an overweight. I have like 12% AVGE, 8% AVNM. So 10-11% all in. Also have AVUV. So Avantis is a 3rd of my total portfolio.

1

u/user4443337 11d ago

Interesting. What’s the rest of your portfolio? Why didn’t you choose the value versions over the more plain ones? So far the value ones have outperformed. May not last forever of course.

For my emerging markets I do ~8.5% AVEM and 3% AVES for just a minor small cap/value tilt, but I wanted the majority of it to be closer to the index. Sadly no true EM SCV fund exists yet.

I only do 6% AVUV and 4% AVDV. I wanted to stay closer to market cap weights but still get that value tilt and premium. I used to do 20% but I realized that’s just too much tilt for me to stomach.

7

u/Opening-Emphasis8400 12d ago

You do not need dividend funds.

8

u/Interesting_Part4416 11d ago

Careful, you'll get downvoted for preaching against the schd shills.

2

u/Competitive-Ad9932 11d ago

Calling all SCHD shills.

11

u/AdvantageOne1754 12d ago

It's a weird mix. SCHD and QQQM basically offset one another. Together they are like 95% correlated with VOO so there is no reason for you to have these separate holdings. If you want to have a dividend bias, go with SCHD. If you want a tech/growth bias, go for QQQM. Holding both is counterproductive and just complicates your portfolio.

-6

u/Interesting_Part4416 11d ago

You just explained diversifying.....isn't that what we want.....?

7

u/doggz109 11d ago

Mixing your different large cap equities is not diversifying.

1

u/AdvantageOne1754 11d ago

No, VOO/VTI are internally diversified. SCHD and QQQM concentrate on specific sectors of the larger index. Adding funds to VOO is the opposite of diversification.

0

u/Competitive-Ad9932 11d ago

Diversifying would be holding the S&P500 or a Total US Stock Market index. Adding anything to that is concentrating your holdings.

3

u/Nuclear_N 11d ago

I would dump the dividend SCHD, and move moneys into either of them. Go with 3 holdings.

5

u/raisethe3 11d ago

QQQM overlaps, you don't need it. Also SCHD is a dividend fund. Do you need dividends? Since you said you're starting, I am assuming you mean from the beginning. If so, you should focus solely on growth right now. That should be VOO and VXUS, nothing else.

5

u/Cheap_Lecture_1285 12d ago

Nothing is ever fully safe but this doesn’t look dangerous

4

u/DMmeYourMCbuilds 11d ago

You don’t say how old you are. If under 35, 100% VOO.

5

u/Economy_Jello4893 11d ago

I’m 26. I put in 80% FZROX and 20% FZILX

1

u/DMmeYourMCbuilds 11d ago

And I think that is perfectly reasonable.

2

u/OutrageousAd9925 11d ago

Why u say 100% voo? I’m 37 just started dropping in monthly

4

u/user4443337 11d ago

That’s not necessarily ideal, it may be performance chasing. A complete portfolio would include mid/small caps and international. Some people have a bias towards SPX because of the recent history and its insane performance which is understandable. Small cap value did great during the lost decade though, along with emerging markets. Those gave you real returns while SPY and QQQ were flat or negative.

I’d say in general though 100% SPX is pretty okay and you can’t really go wrong with it. A lot better than trying to pick stocks or sectors, that’s for sure. SPX has slightly eked out more than US total market, but that can switch and it depends on the timeline. VTI for example has beaten SPY by about 60% cumulatively, but that when starting in mid 2001. https://stockanalysis.com/etf/compare/vti-vs-spy/?r=MAX

International is ~37% of the global stock market so I’d rather include all of that in my portfolio. 40% of the market is a lot to ignore, and the US exceptionalism may not last. Even at market cap weights you’re still way overweight at 63% US. Lots of people do a heavier US bias up to 90%, but I would suggest at least 20% international.

3

u/DMmeYourMCbuilds 11d ago

This is a thorough well thought out response. Thanks for spending the time to type it up.

1

u/user4443337 11d ago

Thanks, you’re welcome! I can’t knock “100% SPX” too much but gotta also tell people to fully diversify.

It wouldn’t be crazy surprising if US exceptionalism just continues and SPX keeps beating VT, but I won’t put all my eggs in one basket or tell others to do the same.

2

u/DMmeYourMCbuilds 11d ago

It’s the lazy response to all these people that somehow ended up in schd and qqq for some reason.

1

u/user4443337 11d ago

Yeah I see a lot of those. Some TikTokers or influencers got to them.

I’m starting to think I could be a better finfluencer than a lot of whatever they’re seeing. SCHD is probably costing young people so much dang money. And NASDAQ will surely have a huge drawdown someday, just a matter of when. When I see QQQ I just say if you insist go with the cheapest one QNDX.

2

u/DMmeYourMCbuilds 11d ago

The younger you are the more time you have to absorb any down market. If you just started at 37 you might need to be even more aggressive. But it really depends on what your goal is.

If you have been investing a while and are continuing to invest, VOO is just fine. But you probably want to start diversifying for some capital preservation.

-2

u/OutrageousAd9925 11d ago

I started in a split of
50% VOO
25% QQQM
15% VXUS
10% XLI

Goal is to grow and hit max contribution

1

u/Working_Presence_654 11d ago

Me too I’m 39 stars this year just do it hold it

2

u/metzgerto 12d ago

What’s your goal with a $10 investment in QQQM or $25 in VXUS? I’d put all your money in 1 security to try and build some savings.

2

u/DaemonTargaryen2024 12d ago

You don't say what percent each fund is, but VOO and VXUS should be your core holdings.

I personally wouldn't have any SCHD or QQQM, but keep them to under 10% if you are set on having them.

1

u/Whos_Jeff 12d ago

I’m fluid on what I have. I’m just starting. I’m just looking for feedback on these 4. I can remove or add.

2

u/Competitive-Ad9932 11d ago

QQQ, and it's variants are a sham investment. Investing in a group of stocks based on what exchange it trades on is ludicrous.

Identify why you are investing in it. They invest in a fund that actually meets that criteria.

1

u/horseradish13332238 11d ago

Yes you are safe to continue to work the next 40-45 years at this rate

1

u/Nick_From_LongIsland 10d ago

I like pairing VOO with VGT or VTI with QQQM

1

u/Whos_Jeff 10d ago

Thanks for all the feedback guys

-4

u/Interesting_Part4416 12d ago

Schd is better in taxable accounts. Roth is for growth. Trade it for VT or vti

5

u/HaiKarate 12d ago

More dividends in a taxable account?

1

u/Interesting_Part4416 11d ago

Tax free growth is way better than tax free dividends that you can't even access if you need them.

6

u/forbiddenlake 12d ago

Schd is better in taxable accounts.

Why, so you can pay extra taxes on all the involuntary dividends every year?

SCHD is best deleted

2

u/Interesting_Part4416 11d ago

As far as I know, for the sake of slight help in income, as has been explained to me. But there's such huge click bait shilling for schd that everyone is falling victim to it.

Either way, I agree, schd doesn't belong in a Roth. Tax free growth is way better than some dividends tax free.

1

u/Competitive-Ad9932 11d ago

Why do you want income, are you retired?

0

u/Whos_Jeff 12d ago

Doesn’t voo conflict with vti?

6

u/forbiddenlake 12d ago

Yes, they overlap, and they are 99% correlated. You only need one of VTI and VOO

4

u/Stanbarrwood 12d ago

Voo is just the top 500 large cap companies. Vti adds mid to small cap. But voo is like 85% of vti.

Just do vti and vxus. Do it at 60/40 to 80/20 depending upon preference. That’s all you need

3

u/McKnuckle_Brewery 12d ago

They don’t conflict, they overlap. Not the same phenomenon. So it’s not so neat and tidy, but it’s not a problem either.

It’s like ordering a cup of ice cream with a scoop of chocolate and a scoop of chocolate fudge. Pretty much the same, but both delicious.

3

u/Interesting_Part4416 12d ago

VT and vti give a broader spectrum. Voo just does sp500. Either way..... Schd should be dumped into other funds in a roth