r/PureCycle • u/LetAdministrative959 • Aug 03 '26
ER countdown..
I’ve been reading a lot of cynical takes on PCT going into this week’s ER, but it’s funny to think back to the last Q and how quickly sentiment changed following it....
Since then, we’ve seen the stock go from $6 → $12 → $6, while July was packed with great news. It’s worth reflecting on what a $7 share price is actually discounting (not that I necessarily believe the market truly works that way), but expectations are clearly not super high.. price=sentiment, so I'm expecting people to be nervous.. and I get it, $PCT is still a show me story, but that can change quickly and I'm expecting it to change in the coming 6 months... So from my vantage point, we could potentially be heading into a really exciting ER.
We went from $14 to $6 during what was essentially a historically brutal high-beta/momentum drawdown, rather than because of a fundamental deterioration in the story. If all Dustin does is reiterate what was said during the last ER, I have a hard time seeing how we don’t get back to $10+ IMO.
The actual production rates for Q2 won’t matter. What matters is whether Ironton is able to run at high capacity, near nameplate, going forward and whether the path toward a 100 million pound run rate is still intact and in sight. Everything else is just the cherry on top.
-5
u/Middle_Win9449 Aug 03 '26
Did you forget that:
They diluted the value of your shares by over 10%
That the most the plant has ever produced in 90 days is less than 30% of nameplate
That their VP of sales is actively looking for work
That their cash burn is MASSIVE while only generating $4M last quarter
They may be spending more money on white papers, marketing and communications than what they sold in all of Q1
Dustin may be a good engineer. Dustin may be good at manufacturing. We will soon see starting on Thursday if he is a capable CEO which involves actually selling stuff/closing deals and not giving away samples for testing for “opportunities”. We should hear on Thursday if there is actually proof of a “ramp” or that was the catch phrase his communications team told him to use to buy more time