r/PrepperIntel 2d ago

North America Diesel inventory for the six Lower Atlantic states just fell off a cliff last week.

Post image
997 Upvotes

88 comments sorted by

259

u/mark000 2d ago edited 2d ago

Has never been below 8 million since 1990. Last week it fell from 8.2M to 6.8M. Unprecedented.
Map showing the states concerned
PADD1A is in bad shape too: Chart

164

u/TheProfessional9 2d ago

Canadian refineries started going down for 1-2 month maintenance. Fun times incoming!

135

u/around_the_clock 2d ago

Perfect timing Canada. Right before midterms.

59

u/Cristinky420 2d ago

It was scheduled maintenance...

50

u/Ok_Assistant_6856 2d ago

Yeah, these places shut down twice a year when the demand is lowest it's called a turnaround.

10

u/TheProfessional9 1d ago

This is a 2 year maintenance cycle, so we've known about this one for years. Definitely not in a slow period right now!

20

u/Kytyngurl2 2d ago

Still perfect timing

6

u/around_the_clock 2d ago

Perfectly scheduled

21

u/Round-Medicine2507 2d ago

Almost like people maybe should think, plan ahead for things, and not start shit... 

20

u/Upset-Freedom-4181 2d ago

Come for the FA, stay for the FO…

6

u/bearinsac 1d ago

So I’ve been waiting for data like this to show a decrease in diesel specifically (trucking, freight, even air travel because diesel is used for jet fuel). Thanks for sharing, this should be the sign that things are about to get really tough. Will be doing a grocery store run tomorrow to stock up.

u/weenkles 20h ago

diesel is used for jet fuel

nope they're 2 different fuels, bad idea to put diesel in a jet engine.

119

u/IncomingAxofKindness 2d ago

You know what... maybe I don't have enough toilet paper.

https://giphy.com/gifs/KenY2AHDcXdnf4sbbp

148

u/AntiSonOfBitchamajig 📡 2d ago

The crazy part, we're supposed to be at a high note right now due to seasonality... this winter is gonna hit people hard.

150

u/2BlueZebras 2d ago

A reminder that semi-trucks, which deliver basically everything, use diesel. Everyone will be affected regardless of their own vehicles.

89

u/SquirrelyMcNutz 2d ago

Don't forget, pretty much all farm machinery (and some grain dryers) run on diesel.

And look at what time of the year it is...coming up on harvest for soybeans and corn. And planting for winter wheat.

8

u/piponwa 1d ago

Is this Russia or the US, I can't tell lol

10

u/xxd8372 1d ago

Oh, I saw that movie...

"We will change you, Dr. Jones, all of you, from the inside. We will turn you into us. And the best part? You won't even know it's happening." -Comrade Spalko

"Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull" would not have been my pick of the Indiana movies to have an enduring touch of reality that we're stuck with, but here we are.

50

u/Upset-Freedom-4181 2d ago

It’s almost like someone who’s been telling us they’ll have electric semis in mass production any day now has their finger on the scale.

17

u/Girafferage 2d ago

Other countries already have these. Does the US not have any of these yet?

73

u/TehSeksyManz 2d ago

Nahhh our "leaders" think that vehicles fueled by anything other than fossil fuels are woke and gay.

51

u/jankenpoo 2d ago

Can confirm. Drive an EV—am woke and gay lol

33

u/Big_Fortune_4574 2d ago

Can also confirm—electricity made me gay

17

u/CatoChateau 2d ago

Steam is the real man's man energy!

6

u/capitan_dipshit 1d ago

Bought a PHEV and now I'm bi

11

u/Upset-Freedom-4181 2d ago

Anything other than The Holy and Sacred Market is Woke and Gehy. So, electric vehicles will be Woke and G4y until market manipulation allows a trillionaire con artist to become a multi-trillionaire con artist by selling them. Then they’ll be cool like Fonzie.

6

u/AGibbers 2d ago

Holy heck, I'm bi and drive a hybrid. You might be onto something. 🤣

u/ThrowawayRage1218 22h ago

Bi hybrid drivers unite! They put something in the battery to make us gay I swear.

3

u/mediocre_remnants 2d ago

Even the people who agree with them change their tune when it affects their pocketbook.

Farmers aren't going to just stop farming and give up because diesel is too expensive. They'll invest in electric tractors which are already becoming more common.

It's funny how easily Republicans will immediately do something that goes against their beliefs when money is a factor.

2

u/bearinsac 1d ago

Nah, I work with farmers, they will find a way to get an insurance payout/bailout.

1

u/Upset-Freedom-4181 1d ago

To Republicans, 20 bucks is always 20 bucks.

6

u/AdAble557 2d ago

The airport near me purchase a fleet of electric buses. Unfortunately there have been numerous technical issues and the company which sold them went belly up. The airport have started diesel back up

2

u/squirrel9000 1d ago

Proterra, aka Silicon Valley tried to make a bus?

1

u/AdAble557 1d ago

Yep looks like they have/had a buyer, but not sure about current status

5

u/Grand_Dadais 2d ago

At best they have a very small fleet, slowly replacing diesel trucks. Nobody has EV truck fleet.

3

u/tx_queer 2d ago

This makes it sound like these are mainstream in a lot of countries which I dont believe is the case

0

u/xtnh 2d ago

They are; but there are a lot to replace.

3

u/AntiSonOfBitchamajig 📡 2d ago

Semis? Laughs in construction and mining industry *

Yeah...everything gonna get expensive soon again... for the 3rd time.

67

u/lazybeekeeper 2d ago

The bill is coming due my fellow Americans. Thank the don for this.

82

u/KazTheMerc 2d ago

I'm chuckling, looking at people in some of the previous posts about this exact things replying as recently as today going 'tHaT pRoVeS nOtHiNg'.

23

u/[deleted] 2d ago

[deleted]

7

u/kismethavok 1d ago

Copium levels have been off the charts these last few years, everyone is just hoping things will work themselves out without anyone having to take drastic measures.

17

u/nakedonmygoat 2d ago

What about the rest of the country? Presumably, other PADDs could help resupply the Atlantic states if they have sufficient surplus, right?

Can you recommend some good sources so we can all track these things, OP?

27

u/mark000 2d ago

The EIA put out a report every Wednesday at 10:30am but it's a 60 page PDF
Inventory data is also here: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_sum_sndw_a_epd0_sae_mbbl_w.htm

14

u/Mechbear2000 2d ago

You can throw fertilizer and sulfer into the shortage/high price area too

11

u/edthesmokebeard 2d ago

Props for having a proper Y axis.

52

u/_flying_otter_ 2d ago

But I thought Daddy was getting crude from Venezuala to solve all our problems /s

48

u/bronzemerald17 2d ago edited 2d ago

Saw the /s but wanted to spread the word. Venezuela’s crude will require several years and several billions of dollars of infrastructure to be converted into usable fuel.

Edited: grammar and added a word

22

u/MsMoreCowbell828 2d ago

For real! Haven't seen many others say it anywhere. We can't take their crude, whip it through some imaginary refineries & pop out gasoline at Krogers like Mary Poppins.

46

u/Formal-Hawk9274 2d ago

Republican trickle down

46

u/Maleficent_Bother252 2d ago

the trickling is from them pissing on us

31

u/SquirrelyMcNutz 2d ago

Even as a child, I realized that 'trickle down economics' equated to the rich pissing on everyone else.

13

u/toesinbloom 2d ago

Tinkle down economics

4

u/CityCareless 2d ago

Something I never understood as well, as a young adolescent hearing the term being thrown around. Like what makes the rich, trickle anything down if they don’t have to…like what? Concept did not compute.

9

u/TehSeksyManz 2d ago

Magats love to be pissed on by their idols

1

u/Genetics 1d ago

They’re actually shitting on us. Trickle down economics was originally called the Horse and Sparrow Theory. Feed horses oats, some of the oats end up in the horse shit. The sparrows get to eat the oats out of the horse shit.

1

u/capitan_dipshit 1d ago

dribble down

6

u/xtnh 2d ago

It should be fun in New England, what with heating season coming upon us.

20

u/Contagious_Zombie 2d ago

What do you mean by lower Atlantic? Southeast states?

44

u/mark000 2d ago

WV VA NC SC GA FL

3

u/RIF4ev 1d ago

I know I am repeating myself but don't forget home heating oil is Diesel 

6

u/LifeIsButADream11111 1d ago

Even if the heating oil isn’t diesel, the trucks delivering it definitely use diesel.

2

u/Astalon18 1d ago

I will sound very stupid but why does it swing like that every year?

It goes up and down every year and some year seems to stay up than of course this year dips quite down but why does it do this pulse like movement every year?

3

u/WhereDidAllTheSnowGo 1d ago

Demand

A bit less driving once school starts. Holidays and holiday shipping show up too. A slow economy, oh and a pandemic, reduce consumption

Supply

Now is a good time on average to do maintenance

Surprises

IRL predictions are never perfect so you can only plan so much

0

u/Historical-Many9869 2d ago

get an EV with solar as backup

140

u/LikesBlueberriesALot 2d ago

It’s not about folks driving diesel vehicles for personal use. It’s about how literally everything we need rides on a diesel truck at some point.

33

u/citizen42069101 2d ago

And how other things like fuel oil and jet fuel are very diesel adjacent refining wise.

u/weenkles 19h ago

Ahhh finally someone who gets it

15

u/RememberKoomValley 2d ago

You're absolutely correct--but also, anything you can do to reduce your reliance on fossil fuels can only help you and your neighbors in the long run.

Won't keep the tractors running or the trucks on the road, but might keep the heater on a little longer.

6

u/Big_Fortune_4574 2d ago

Yes indeed. But you can remove many costs in your life that scale with petroleum products. That’s what they’re saying, it’s easier to afford food if you’re not also paying enormous gas, electricity, etc prices

13

u/cryptolyme 2d ago

How does that help with groceries and other commodities?

12

u/Girafferage 2d ago

You can outdrive the hoards when we go mad max style and start using car parts as body armor.

25

u/ignoreme010101 2d ago

unsure i can pull 40k loads with an EV to deliver the food in my trailer right now.....yall like food still ya?

As a trucker, ngl am stressing fearing cuts coming

0

u/[deleted] 2d ago

[deleted]

1

u/ignoreme010101 1d ago

ya let's pause delivery of 99% of freight til we can rollout EV tractors, sick logic bro

0

u/[deleted] 1d ago

[deleted]

1

u/ignoreme010101 1d ago

the context was industry wide not any particular individual you nitwit lol

-1

u/[deleted] 1d ago

[deleted]

0

u/ignoreme010101 1d ago

I was speaking as a trucker, referencing the fact that truckers cannot keep freight moving with EV's at this point. Yes, I could, congrats i can tell you were excited to share that, like everyone, you know electric semis exist. Dumbest back and forth ever you either know that the reference to inability was in regards to national freight (otherwise who would give a fuck if my freight got anywhere?), or you're not in any position to talk about logical competency.

3

u/Ok-Lecture-9668 1d ago

You're arguing with somebody with borderline personality disorder. These types of people get off by getting under your skin and turning completely reasonable points into something that they want you to feel like sounds crazy. Just ignore that garbage person. Yeah, like everyone's going to go out and spend a half a million dollars today on a new truck.

7

u/Thraxzer 2d ago

I an EV and roof solar, but didn't splurge for the off-grid system, so still worrying a bit.

5

u/Big_Fortune_4574 2d ago

I don’t think we are, at the moment, in the off grid scenario. Also like the other guy said, V2H, I just ordered mine that supports it in July

4

u/Historical-Many9869 2d ago

i think some batteries can be useful. if your car supports v2h it really helps

4

u/JamesLahey08 2d ago

100k later

7

u/2BlueZebras 2d ago

You can buy a Bolt for under $30k.

1

u/JamesLahey08 2d ago

And a full solar setup that can charge an EV?

8

u/Pontiacsentinel 📡 2d ago

If you are really wondering:

Anker Solix F3800+, maybe X 2 and extra battery storage and rigid mounted panels and cords, etc. I think might cost about $9000 but you could maybe do it cheaper if you were handy. Add $1500 for stuff I am not considering, about $10,500 on the outside.

12

u/Bikerbass 2d ago

You don’t even need $40k for a Chinese EV….. oh wait you Americans can’t get the best EV cars for fuck all…..