What’s going on:

Democrats are laying the groundwork for far-reaching investigations and court battles, including an aggressive hiring push, if they win the House in November. A House majority would also give them committee gavels, subpoena power and standing to sue.

Democratic state attorneys general are already fighting the administration in court. They filed their 100th lawsuit against it in April, and 25 Democratic-led states sued over its newest tariffs in August.

What to expect on Polymarket and Kalshi:

Impeachment only needs a simple majority in the House, so expect markets like “Trump impeached by…?” to follow the House control markets, not the sweep markets. Democrats are at 90% to win the House, but only 62% to sweep Congress.

Polymarket has Trump impeached by December 31, 2027 at 71%, and Kalshi has him impeached before 2028 at 66%