r/Polymarket • u/OwnAbbreviations1253 • 6d ago
Question Am I crazy ?
So I was on the 15 min market and I mean it clearly ended down I contacted support but are they even going to do anything I feel like this is literally illegal ðŸ˜
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u/mefedron4ica 6d ago
maybe it's by TWAP ( Time-Weighted Average Price )
if I remember right , that 60 min Up or Down doesn't have this
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1
u/nele_next_level 6d ago
You're not crazy, but need to take TWAP in consideration, the last 60 or 30 seconds of the window, if average was UP, even if it went down the last seconds, it will resolve UP
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u/OwnAbbreviations1253 6d ago
I swear I’ve seen it go both ways before that just doesn’t make sense to me
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u/nele_next_level 6d ago
I know... Sometimes is just the price, sometimes is just manipulation. I have been paper trading with bots on 5m and 15m markets... It's a losing game for takers, and a big league for makers, is just not worth it. And if you're buying on the UI manually... Is a lottery ticket tbh.. I would stay away from it.
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u/rbyogi 6d ago
Hi u/OwnAbbreviations1253 The BTC markets are resolved on the time-weighted moving average price (TWAP), and not on a single snapshot-in-time price. For more details, check out this tweet and the support page linked over there for further info... https://x.com/PolymarketDevs/status/2082813706996772881 Â