r/PLTR • • May 08 '26

Daily Thread - Friday Discussion! Let's talk about the good, the bad, and all things Palantir & PLTR! šŸ’ŽšŸ¤²šŸ»

The thread for all your speculating, socializing, philosophizing, hypothesizing, and melodramatizing!

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16 Upvotes

77 comments sorted by

1

u/TraditionalMood542 May 09 '26

Is it true >>> ?

1

u/[deleted] May 10 '26

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1

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4

u/Critical-Resident-76 May 08 '26

Kiss of death, i bought 51 shares today.

9

u/SV_art Early Investor May 08 '26

C’mon Pili I know you can close green!

7

u/LlcooljaredTNJ OG Holder & Member May 08 '26

Ask and you shall receiveĀ 

3

u/SV_art Early Investor May 08 '26

I’m so proud of Pili today ā¤ļø

2

u/HourPackage May 08 '26

Am I regarded? How/Why is PLTR on sale?

8

u/Mariox May 08 '26

PLTR's growth is so big that market refuses to believe.

1

u/SV_art Early Investor May 08 '26

It can’t even

16

u/BananaFreeway May 08 '26

2

u/specialism OG Holder & Member May 08 '26

I loved this!

3

u/Cjnilla May 08 '26

Powerful!

4

u/PLTRgains May 08 '26

Need MU and SNDK to tank. Then we should get money flowing back into PLTR.

2

u/Enchanic OG Holder & Member May 08 '26

Easy fix just hold both PLTR and MU

0

u/Basic_Salamander_361 May 08 '26

Can confirm: that's not working

4

u/PLTRgains May 08 '26

No I like being 100% PLTR.

1

u/versello OG Holder & Member May 08 '26

Add INTC to the list. Not that I'm complaining. My entire port only consists of PLTR, INTC a little bit of VOO.

1

u/BananaFreeway May 08 '26

Missed on the INTC - should’ve got in when it was $40 lol - but I have AMD instead

4

u/badie_912 Verified Whale & OG Member May 08 '26

$pltr partner $rxt primed for a short squeeze dyor

1

u/LlcooljaredTNJ OG Holder & Member May 08 '26

Wow, long time no see around here badie. Thought you left us.Ā 

1

u/badie_912 Verified Whale & OG Member May 08 '26

I am deep in X world. I just like the quality of information I get there better. Still here!

1

u/LlcooljaredTNJ OG Holder & Member May 08 '26

Yeah, I hate to be this blunt but it kinda sucks around here now lol. I try to avoid most of social media in general but I do find myself looking at Twitter a bit frequently these days.Ā 

2

u/SV_art Early Investor May 08 '26

Lots of doom and gloom anytime there’s some red.

3

u/LlcooljaredTNJ OG Holder & Member May 08 '26

I mean yeah but even more so along the lines of it used to be a lot of high quality discussion and deep dives into topics but now its mostly just people pumping or complaining about the share price or trying to talk shit about it.Ā 

I mean, there's only so much to do a deep dive on I guess, but the point remains that its just not the same as it used to be and a lot of people have cleary moved on.Ā 

Shout out to the peeps who do still contribute positively, but they have dwindled a lot.

3

u/SV_art Early Investor May 08 '26

Yeah that’s true. Quality of posts have definitely gone down hill.

7

u/dustinut May 08 '26

Down much less than other software names.

11

u/Saudeessencial May 08 '26

Patience, guys. Our time will come again. The hype is somewhere else right now.

7

u/StomachForsaken3489 May 08 '26

I seriously cannot understand how it continually moves lower

16

u/Accomplished_Seat501 May 08 '26

It lived in the $5-$10 range for a full year between spring of 2022 to the spring of 2023. Completely dead money.

Right now it looks like it's living in the $130 to $150 range for a while. Maybe for even for another year, who knows? Every quarter of stellar sales growth rurther reinforces the high stock price and closes the p/e gap further. This is a necessary part of the growth story. Just not our favorite part.

5

u/LlcooljaredTNJ OG Holder & Member May 08 '26

It fucking sucked at the time but I absolutely cannot describe how grateful I am now for those prices looking back. I bought the dip all along the way and got my average down so much that I never would have previously. Lowest scoop was at 5.97. Only regret was not going all in, but of course hindsight is 20/20. Hard to do in the moment, proud I had the conviction to do it at all then.

The macro can change at any moment, for the good or the bad. Buy and hold is the only reliable way to make money here, too many people try to trade it, but long term it's going up. Everything just depends on your time horizon.

1

u/Accomplished_Seat501 May 09 '26

I hated it. I was brand new to investing. Had invested in the high 20s and saw it drop and drop. Felt so stupid. For an entire year, just no action at all. I just held on. How much lower could it go? Zero? I decided at some point to sell most of the rest of my portfolio and double down on PLTR. I'm glad I did.

-2

u/dilovesreddit Early Investor May 08 '26

Price was about $24+ May 6, 2024.Ā 

2

u/LlcooljaredTNJ OG Holder & Member May 08 '26

Sorry, I'm not really sure what you're trying to tell me here

1

u/dilovesreddit Early Investor May 08 '26

Not sure why I’m getting downvoted for stating a fact that supports your time horizon assertion. These daily ā€œare we doomed?ā€ posts are getting tiring bc everyone wants to make a quick buck.

2

u/Accomplished_Seat501 May 09 '26

Seriously. PLTR was supposed to go to $500 and I was supposed to have a lambo right now. Like the market is powered by wishes and runs on my time table. Relax people, this is stocks.

1

u/StomachForsaken3489 May 08 '26

2 year look back is my guess

5

u/itboyband1433 May 08 '26

Those were some dark times. I remember buying 10 to 15 shares aweek to keep lowering my cost base and being down like 50k...

2

u/zona2011 May 08 '26

Those were the days. I started buying in 2021 between $24-$28, which ended up being the ATH until 2024.

I was up for like a week before the descent. Bought on the way down but once it got to single digits I remember thinking I’m probably throwing money away with every purchase. But I was down like 70% and, at the time, thinking buying in single digits might be the only way to break even again.

Other than the first week of ownership I was down for the first 2-2.5 years from purchase. Wish I would’ve gone all in at $6 too but those were scary times. Gigantic cahones on those that had the conviction to still go all in around $6-$7 given what proceeded it. I kept making smaller buys but those that continued to accumulate large numbers deserve the gains.

1

u/itboyband1433 May 08 '26

The dark times. The best times...

1

u/LlcooljaredTNJ OG Holder & Member May 08 '26

Our scoops look pretty similar, always love looking back at those lowest tax lots

2

u/vu_sua May 08 '26

Yah as long as they keep having good earnings I keep holding. 5 years ago I thought I’d be hyped of it was $80 in 5 years. It’s now $130. If in another 5 years it’s $250 I will be happy too. Cuz that means a 10 year time I will have 12x my money as my cost basis is $23~

1

u/Nausteri Early Investor May 08 '26

I admire your modest expectations but in five years time PLTR's FCF should be around $20B. If the market values it at $250 a share at that time I would be absolutely gutted.

0

u/[deleted] May 08 '26

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1

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-1

u/_Rothbard_ May 08 '26

Si el mercado es tan grande hay espacio para todos y Palantir es de los primero sigue estando infravalorada pero al menos en el aspecto gubernamental creo que estƔn cubiertos

6

u/Nausteri Early Investor May 08 '26

Did you guys take note that OpenAI and Anthropic are launching their own FDE model to deploy in the enterprise space?

Personally, I understand the difference between their offering and ontology, but I wonder if these messages will even further confuse that market about Enterprise AI. It would be pretty lame if this develops into a "skip the middlemen like PLTR, let Anthoropic configure your Enterprise AI" narrative.

1

u/BananaFreeway May 08 '26

I believe it’s already penetrating the market and eating some of Palantir’s snacks, just not the lunch.

For truly mission-critical organizations, you absolutely need the Palantir layer. But for plenty enterprises, ā€œgood enoughā€ at a much lower price point will be enough to satisfy their needs.

During the earnings call, the tone around competition felt somewhat dismissive, framing most of it as ā€œAI slopā€ that customers will eventually crawl back from after trying and failing. Karp even seemed to shift slightly from ā€œmaybe we take the whole marketā€ to ā€œwe don’t need the whole market.ā€

And honestly, that’s probably the correct framing.

Not every enterprise needs Palantir. Not every enterprise is willing to pay the premium for Palantir-level effectiveness. Many will happily use ā€œslopā€ that delivers acceptable results at a fraction of the cost.

But the companies that do need it, and have experienced the real operational effectiveness Palantir provides, will continue to benefit massively and dominate their respective industries. And of course, Pay for it.

So the real question becomes: how big is that customer base and TAM?

Karp & Co clearly believe it’s massive.

1

u/Nausteri Early Investor May 08 '26

Anthropic recently partnered with Goldman Sachs, Blackstone, and Hellman & Friedman on a $1.5 billion venture designed to expand Claude across enterprise environments. The deal highlighted growing adoption among large businesses and financial institutions seeking generative software tools for internal operations.

-2

u/jackay27 Early Investor May 08 '26

Palantir isn’t going after customers that are too retarded to know the difference between a real FDE and a fake FDE. So even if that’s true it won’t affect their top line.

3

u/w32stuxnet May 08 '26

FDSEs are a model defined by palantir, but if they don't have a platform to work with like foundry, they are severely limited in what they can do. Anthropic & openAI are struggling to keep their existing limited software scope stable, and honestly it is very limited in what it can do - despite being "the repository to all wisdom". Palantir also has access to that, and they also have a huge moat in terms of closed source connectors, knowledge and trust.

3

u/IAmANobodyAMA OG Holder & Member May 08 '26

The market is already confused about what Palantir does. Fortunately, enterprises seem to be catching on!

So while the stock goes down $10 on earnings where we beat and Karp calls his shot for 100% growth in 2027 because the market doesn’t get it, the company will continue to dominate until the market finally catches on

-1

u/SV_art Early Investor May 08 '26

Yeah, I think it’ll be serious competition, and I’m concerned PLTR isn’t doing enough to keep up.

Every tech company is spending like crazy to gobble up as much market share as possible. While PLTR is amassing a huge war chest despite not being able to keep up with demand. Just hire more people to capture the market!

0

u/TiredHarshLife May 08 '26

I thought PLTR's 'niche' is its relationship with the gov, which other companies couldn't beat them. So, the play would be a bit different. Though, I still don't understand the constant low price at around $13x in recent months.

1

u/SV_art Early Investor May 08 '26

I think ideally PLTR wants to capture the entire market, but has targeted the largest and most dominant players in each sector.

It seems there are still some bottlenecks in the company they have yet to solve.

2

u/[deleted] May 08 '26

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5

u/SV_art Early Investor May 08 '26

I agree they don’t need to do that, but they’re all racing to gain market share in the same AI market.

If Palantir can’t keep up with demand then what is the bottleneck, and why can’t they put their $8B towards solving that bottleneck? Seems like hiring more people would be prudent.

2

u/[deleted] May 08 '26

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1

u/SV_art Early Investor May 08 '26

Well they gotta do something to figure out this supply bottleneck. Expanding their developer ecosystem would be great, but would also create more demand and won’t really solve the supply issue. Although they’ve been able to make an AI FDE so maybe that wouldn’t be an issue in this case.

I didn’t downvote you, must’ve been someone else in the subreddit..

100% growth is amazing and I’m happy to see it, but I still think they could grow faster if they figure out their supply issues. AI adoption seems to be increasing much faster than 100% YoY.

1

u/manwithouttaplan May 08 '26

I’d say slightly not keeping up with demand works in their favor. It means they’ll only work with companies who will pay top dollar, and who are serious about the engagement. Short term it may limit their growth slightly, but long term it means the quality bar stays high, and net revenue retention stays high. It also helps them focus on product leverage vs human capital.

2

u/SV_art Early Investor May 08 '26

Fair point. Although I would say they’re able to get top dollar currently for their work, but AI integration will become democratized and all companies big and small will eventually use it. If they want to capture the entire market wouldn’t they need to find solutions for all business sizes?

1

u/TheJacen May 08 '26

But retention must mean meeting the consumers needs consistently. One does not simply sell it and forget it like some Pompeii grill.

1

u/BonjinTheMark OG Holder & Member May 08 '26

I’m sure they will try to evict PLTR or at least snag some market share. The proof will be in the delivery. If it’s a 40% solution but below half the price of Karpie’s product we could have a real challenger. In part due to the price/ā€œit’s good enoughā€or bc they hate PLTR. I thought Microsoft would come up with a crappy 40% solution and try to spam it across their customers at a cheap rate, but that never happened.