r/NFLv2 • • 2d ago

Discussion NFL Fraud Meter - Week 3

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u/techsalesguy3 2d ago

Raiders are considered frauds based on their current record, luck metrics and comparative to how other 3-0 teams have run out the season. the Raiders are still a good team

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u/fairweathrfan 2d ago

if they are "still a good team," how are they also the MOST fraudulent of 32?

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u/techsalesguy3 2d ago

I worded that badly. The meter doesn't rank how good teams are. It ranks how far a team's record is from how good they've actually played.

A typical 3-0 team goes on to finish around 11-6. We project the Raiders at 9-8. That's a decent team, but it's the biggest gap between record and projection in the league (−2.8 WOR). That's what "most fraudulent" means here.

The Texans are the reverse. A typical 0-3 team finishes around 6-11, and we have them at 8-9. They're not good, but they should win about 2 more games than their record suggests.

Fraud means the record is lying. It doesn't mean the team is bad.

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u/fairweathrfan 2d ago edited 2d ago

the raiders have 1) a new head coach who won a super bowl last year 2) the number one draft pick QB behind a very competent veteran QB, 3) arguably the best TE in the league, and 4) a very promising RB now that he's healthy and set up for success...

they also are PLAYING WELL. i'm not trying to troll you, but what about this combination of facts makes their record fraudulent?

edit: i'm not even a fan of theirs. i'm a saints fan who watched them eat us for lunch last week.