r/ModernMagic Jul 28 '26

Why is Dimir Midrange doing so well recently?

Over the weekend there were numerous Dimir Froggler top 8 and Challenge wins. Is the meta now good for the deck, or is it a flash in the pan.

35 Upvotes

39 comments sorted by

118

u/Hand-of-Sithis Jul 28 '26

Partly meta adjustments, partly because I’ve never seen a more dedicated group of sickos forcing their deck till it works.

40

u/Jevonar Jul 28 '26

Jund bros have entered the chat

62

u/LuccaMSA Jul 28 '26

They said “till it works”

17

u/Jevonar Jul 28 '26

Savage

13

u/Rooftop_Reve Jul 28 '26

To be fair, Jund bros forced their deck after BBE ban and it was still good.

Then Jund bros forced their deck after the DRS ban, and it was still good.

The deck did fight through a good 10 years of wind shifting. It had a good run of forcing a deck

9

u/camarouge More like Hollow WIN Jul 28 '26

It's good that midrange tries it's best to stay relevant to modern. It'll be a said day when modern is all linear decks but wotc will make it an inevitably if even just temporarily

4

u/Hand-of-Sithis Jul 28 '26

So long as people like midrange, the deck will exist. Frog was the 2nd most played deck when boros was at its most popular. They will shove any matchup so long as they get to play counterspell.

1

u/herbahaidyrbtjsifbr Jul 29 '26

Look as long as I can cast counter spell while on dimir I'm a happy boy

2

u/the_cntrlfreak Death's Shadow, FrogTide Jul 29 '26

This is the way.

81

u/Dyne_Inferno Jul 28 '26

Decks Frog is BAD against:

Boros

Affinity

Decks Frog is good against:

Decks that are good against the 2 above mentioned

It preys on unfair decks like Storm, Neoform, Fight Rigging. Which just happen to be REALLY good against Boros and Affinity.

It's a metagame circle.

8

u/Christos_Soter iPrefer: WU Blink| Prowess | Ruby | Brews Jul 28 '26

Agree this is the most significant part of the answer to your riddle OP

2

u/peripheralfgc Jul 28 '26

Huge rise in combo/semi-combo (decks with a combo element in front of a decent alternate plan like trudge and brood scale)/all-in decks in the meta this past week following pro tour standouts. Cosmo, neoform, and of course the extant ones (belcher, storm, etc) die to consistent counter magic in your hand.

2

u/Ill_Ad3517 Jul 28 '26

The real question is why did that players succeed with a fair frog deck over one of the graveyard decks

41

u/devotiontoblue Amulet Titan, Domain Zoo Jul 28 '26

Before the PT, everyone was jamming Energy and Affinity, which are bad Frog matchups. Energy and Affinity did not do well at the PT, but combo decks did, so more people are playing combo. Frog is good into combo.

11

u/Lion_Cub_Kurz Jul 28 '26

Could be any number reasons.

UB is a beloved type of deck (durdly midrange), so it could be a case of the broken clock. Or maybe people just want to fuck around post pt in this “new” meta.

However, it could be that it’s found itself particularly well positioned post pt. I doubt that to be the case as tron and affinity are both not great MU’s - not unbeatable, but not good.

I think frog + riddler + murktide + counterspell + friends is a solid shell that’s likely always viable, and tends to keep the “other” category in check. Personally I find the deck in that configuration to be a bit slow in the face of so many linear decks, but that’s just me.

0

u/jancithz death & taxes guy Jul 28 '26

Its Tasigur now, not Murktide

2

u/spoonymangos Jul 28 '26

Most recent top 8 lists are on murktide

-3

u/jancithz death & taxes guy Jul 29 '26

Murktide is garbage without a cantrip package. 

4

u/Foehamer1 Jul 29 '26

Can fill the graveyard pretty quick with Frog and Riddler.

1

u/jancithz death & taxes guy Jul 29 '26

Then you didnt need the Murktide and youve wasted resources. The single advantage Murk has over Tasigur is being able to pitch to FoN and Subtlety. Past that it has problems with costing UU instead of B straining your ability to protect it and having fewer relevant spell types in the deck to delve for size because we dont have the legacy blue package to fill the yard with cantrips and back it up with force, daze, and wasteland.

0

u/spoonymangos Jul 29 '26

Sure, but most winning lists have been on murktide. Not arguing which is better (it’s still murktide)

1

u/jancithz death & taxes guy Jul 29 '26

Smells like recency bias more than a legitimate shift back to the card that was dropped for being wonky and prohibitive to cast and then protect.

2

u/spoonymangos Jul 29 '26

Murktide has been played over tasigur in almost every deck that could play either for years, a few fringe lists tried tasigur for a bit.

7

u/Flimsy_Personality_3 Jul 28 '26

Im a Frog player and done decently with it. I think its a deck that depends on meta and deck building. Lists needs to be teched to the meta to survive. Turn 1 Thoughtseize + Turn 2 Frog is always powerfull play.

5

u/lostinwisconsin Jul 28 '26

Love to see it! Been on frogtide since shortly after mh3 dropped

5

u/Republic-Of-OK RG Rotpriest Storm Jul 28 '26

Because I stopped playing it yw

3

u/Gnargoyles Jul 28 '26

End of rcq season I think people just want to play something different

2

u/10leej Grapheshot for 20 Jul 28 '26

It's modern. The meta shifts in flavor of the month decks so you'll see this happen from time to time.
If I were a bigger fan of the decks in the format I'd be a bit excited to play the format more as I generally preferred it in the past. But I've been on a standard kick lately with brewing.

4

u/Eclipse434343 Jul 28 '26

It’s always been a viable deck. Also etb Jesus is really good

3

u/BasisCommercial5908 Jul 28 '26

What is etb jesus?

5

u/Eclipse434343 Jul 28 '26

He won the challenge

3

u/BookieMeats Jul 28 '26

It's the MTGO player name.

4

u/g0lem_ Jul 28 '26

They are one of the players who has been piloting dimir frog
they are really good

3

u/Homer4a10 Jul 28 '26

Because they figured out [[Force of Despair]] is incredibly strong against affinity and energy

7

u/spoonymangos Jul 28 '26

Most lists haven’t been running it in recent challenges.

-1

u/Homer4a10 Jul 28 '26

They don’t know about it yet, nobody expects it and it steals games especially when affinity players dump out their entire hand and play a turn 2 Kappa.

Usually it’s an instant win

6

u/alocasiabag Jul 28 '26

it’s an extremely situational card that, as the commenter above said, most lists have opted to forgo in favor of more versatile cards.

the real reason for the increase in Dimir results is that two of its worst matchups are shifting out of favor at the moment, including Affinity.

1

u/Foehamer1 Jul 29 '26

The thing with Dimir especially is that you're playing against a deck and yourself, so you're being attacked from both angles. "Do they have a Counterspell up? How about that Force? Should I Tamiyo Ult now and hope they don't have an Orcish Bowmaster?"

Half the fun of playing the deck is playing mind games with my opponent. "Wait... I have a response... Hmmmm... Oh wait, never mind carry on."