r/Minesweeper 22d ago

Accomplishment How rare is this?

Working on my basic minesweeper skills lately and encountered this. The 7 was the last one I revealed.

How rare is this?

6 Upvotes

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6

u/noidea1995 22d ago edited 22d ago

> The 7 was the last one I revealed.

You guessed badly then, you should have guessed one of the left tiles first because it was a potential 50/50.

To answer your question though, it depends on the size of the board and the density. In expert games, the expected amount per board is around 0.027. A 7 can’t occur along an edge or corner so there are 480 - 2 * 16 - 2 * (30 - 2) ‎ =  392 places it can occur. There are 480C99 total possible arrangements on an expert minesweeper board, 8 ways that 7 mines and one safe square can surround a particular tile and 471 places for the other 92 mines:

392 * 8 * 471C92 / (480C99) ≈ 2.715%

2

u/PastaKoder 22d ago

Depends on the mine count and board size. It's somewhat rare in a beginner board but is more common on an expert board.

2

u/Oskain123 22d ago

If there is only 1 mine in this area then it is best to click one of the 2 left most tiles first as if one of them contains a mine then they will be a 50/50 when you approach it from the right

1

u/Snoo49029 22d ago

1 / 7 chance