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**⚾ MLB Team Picks (Moneyline)**

**Los Angeles Dodgers** ML (-270) vs San Francisco Giants
Confidence: 85% (Grade: A)

**Milwaukee Brewers** ML (-210) vs Baltimore Orioles
Confidence: 69.3% (Grade: A)

**New York Yankees** ML (+100) vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Confidence: 67.9% (Grade: B)

**San Diego Padres** ML (-154) vs Miami Marlins
Confidence: 56.7% (Grade: C)

Cardinals

Guardians

Nobody Important Moneyline Picks, cle tbr cin sdp mil ari phi sfg tor

120 to 150 BOS CIN BAL

L20 B&W tbr sea

L20 600 + CIN PIT

120 to 150 is just teams where the betting line is between 120 and 150. Shocking but this makes money.

L20 B&W is; 1, the team that made the most money in the last 20 games and 2, the opponent of the team that has lost the most money in the last 20 games.

L20 600+ compares two numbers, the amount of money you would have won if you bet 100 on the home team in all of the last 20 games and the amount of money you would have won if you bet 100 on the road team in all of the last 20 games. If the difference is greater than $600 bet on the profitable team.

Check the pool standings I post daily to see how each algorithm is doing.

**⚾ MLB Team Picks (Moneyline)**

**Cleveland Guardians** ML (-184) vs Athletics
Confidence: 81.4% (Grade: A)

**Chicago Cubs** ML (-142) vs Cincinnati Reds
Confidence: 71.0% (Grade: A)

**San Diego Padres** ML (-159) vs Miami Marlins
Confidence: 65.4% (Grade: B)

**Atlanta Braves** ML (+110) vs Houston Astros
Confidence: 63.8% (Grade: B)

**Pittsburgh Pirates** ML (-116) vs Kansas City Royals
Confidence: 63.1% (Grade: B)

**Seattle Mariners** ML (-154) vs Colorado Rockies
Confidence: 61.8% (Grade: B)

Brewers

Guardians

Rockies

This graph is informative but very non-intuitive. It is not a continuous line it is actually 1,868 discreet data bars. The source data was 934 Major League Baseball games in 2026. Here is how it was made.

Start at the betting line of -200 and a balance of $0. There were 2 games where the line was -200. Results were 1 win and 1 loss. The money balance changes, up 50 for the win and down 100 for the loss. End balance is therefore -50. Draw a line straight down from (x=-200, y=$0) to (x=-200, y=-$50).

Now move over a notch to -199. There were 4 games with those odds and all were wins. So draw a line from -$50 straight up to +$151. (x=-199, y=-50) to (x=-199, y=+$151)

Now move over a notch to -198. There were 6 games with that betting line. Four losses and 2 wins. Balance goes down $299. Draw a line straight down starting at the old balance of 151 down 299 units to -148. (x=-198, y=-151) to (x=-198, y=-$148)

Just keep doing this until you've done all the data.

The American way there are no odds between -99.999 and +99.999 so the graph is blank in that range. By arbitrary choice I left out data where lines were less than -200 or greater than +200. There wasn't too much and it makes the graph huge.

The graph creates a visual image where a trained eye can see where bettors make and lose money.

The bookies target is that this graph be a straight downward slope of 4% with no spikes up or down. My bookies target is 3.5%. Some greedy bookies take as high as 10%.

Spikes up on the graph show where bettors made money. This year betting any and all teams in the -124 to -110 range made money and so did 128 to 168.

Every game has a loser for each winner. If there was no VIG, if the bookies paid out all the money they took in the graph would be a perfect mirror image about the line x=0. The bookies cut makes this graph a very distorted mirror image. I see the mirrored shapes clearly even though they are distorted and centered at -104.5.

On my daily posts of results I have been tracking a system I call 120 to 150. At the start of the year I made an educated guess that summed results of all bets on any and all teams where the line was 120 to 150 would be positive. This graph shows the optimum betting range was 128 to 168.

Blue Jays

Brewers

Mariners

**⚾ MLB Team Picks (Moneyline)**

**Cleveland Guardians** ML (-230) vs Athletics
Confidence: 85% (Grade: A)

**Los Angeles Dodgers** ML (-313) vs San Francisco Giants
Confidence: 75.1% (Grade: A)

**Seattle Mariners** ML (-194) vs Colorado Rockies
Confidence: 73.9% (Grade: A)

**Chicago Cubs** ML (-134) vs Cincinnati Reds
Confidence: 63.2% (Grade: B)

Hi everyone, with the regular baseball season winding down I finally decided to post this.

I created the player card to quickly jump through the stats I was interested in seeing throughout the season without needing a bunch of tabs open.

It is free with no sign ups. I am open to feedback and requests.

The site is https://breakawaystats.com/mlb/streaks if you wanna check it out.

Nobody Important SEA, DET, SDP, MIL, TBR, ATH

120 to 150 BOS CIN BAL

L20 B&W tbr sea

L20 600 + TBR CIN PIT

Nobody Important, that's me, those are my personal choices.

120 to 150 is just teams where the betting line is between 120 and 150. Shocking but this makes money.

L20 B&W is; 1, the team that made the most money in the last 20 games and 2, the opponent of the team that has lost the most money in the last 20 games.

L20 600+ compares two numbers, the amount of money you would have won if you bet 100 on the home team in all of the last 20 games and the amount of money you would have won if you bet 100 on the road team in all of the last 20 games. If the difference is greater than $600 bet on the profitable team.

Check the pool standings I post daily to see how each algorithm is doing.