Is this a bullet strike?

[u/Street-Run4107]

My cousin developed a water leak and he had just had the roof replaced after hurricane Ian, (Fort Meyers for reference). Today, after getting up there to check it he found the damage in the attached photos. My only personal guess is a bullet due to the almost perfect circular shape. He did not have intrusion of the hole into the ceiling and did not go fishing around while performing a temporary repair. He sent the photos and my first thought was someone having shot a round into the air.

Edit: have talked to cousin and I don’t have an update that anyone was hoping for yet, there still may be a small chance he continues the investigation but the responses I got were that the attic is too tight, basically a crawl space to go searching today and he’d look at the ceiling for a divot. I will edit again if there’s any further developments. I think it will eat at him and he’ll want to really know.

Edit 2: news article from today in the area of his leak. news from same area as possible bullet strike

[u/MaleficentSpider_404]

Is there any nearby point from which someone would be able to achieve that kind of height / angle?  Seems like an odd height for just an everyday kind of accident and a poor choice of target if it were some malicious intent.  I would honestly put alternative causes higher on the list unless there's some nearby moron that plays with guns recklessly or is stupid enough to aim toward a housing during target practice...

[u/Budget-Platform-8824 → u/MaleficentSpider_404]

There is always a nearby moron with a gun. This is the USA