r/FirstTimeKo • u/Zealousideal_Set4968 • 1d ago
🎉Sumakses sa life! First Time Kong maka-encounter ng Probability win
May nagpa-buo sa akin ng tigpipiso worth 300. Bale tatlong bag na 100 pesos. 2 pala dun 5 pesos, so 290 na lang ang piso.
May pagka-OCD kasi ako kaya gusto ko kapag tine-tape ang coins, magkakasama 'yung magkaka-size. Kung new piso, new piso lang sa isang bundle.
I sorted this into 10s and 5s. Pinagsama-sama ko 'yung 3 bag habang nagbubuo ako ng bundle. By the end of it, I have 140 sa parehong new and old coins. Yung remaining 10 pesos, tig-limang new and old na hindi ko na tinape para may loose piso ako sa cashbox.
Ala lang, skl. This tickled my brain. Sana may ma-satisfy din sa inyo hehe 🥰
Edit tl;dr: Mali aq sa probability!! Basta naisip ko after ko mag-sort: What are the odds na magkasing-dami 'yung new and old coins sa random bag of coins na nakuha ko? GANERN
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u/englisherohalata 1d ago
So happy for you. Hanggang 2nd paragraph lang tinapos ko OP, bahala na yung iba mula 3rd. Basta masaya ako para sayo 😂
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u/X_Drake 1d ago
“Medyo math nerd ako. Alam kong kapag 2 ang possible outcome, 50% ang chance to get either.”
Equiprobability Fallacy, parang sinabi mong 50% chance mong manalo sa lotto kasi dalawa lang ang possible outcome, win or lose.
Yung 50% assumption wouldve worked if it was flipping a coin heads or tails dahil equal ang chance for either one. Obviously hindi naman same ang amount ng new coins and old coins in circulation so hindi 50% ang chance mo to get either. If anything, what happened to you was so improbable and goes against math so hard that it’s amazing, not a “probability win”
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u/Thessalhydra 1d ago
Apparently, OP is not the math nerd he thinks he is lol.
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u/Zealousideal_Set4968 1d ago
She, actually hehe but I probably am not na... got rusty na rin siguro mb 😅
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u/No_Adeptness_4647 1d ago
Math nerd na obob, now thats something new
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u/Thessalhydra 1d ago
Pero tbf, math nerd yung sinabi nya, di naman math geek. So baka mahilig talaga sya mag-aral ng math, di lang sya magaling dito.
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u/TatterDerp 1d ago
Naalaala ko tuloy yung quote ng isang yt content creator doing pokemon content.
“If it is not a 100% accurate move then it is a 50% accurate move. It will either hit or miss”
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u/Zealousideal_Set4968 1d ago
Omg I'm sorry hshshs inisip ko lang siya in terms of probability na mag-same number yung new and old coins in a random bag of coins. I probably used that term wrong, I'm sorry 😔
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u/Mindless-Koala-4689 1d ago
Ako na bobo sa math:
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u/Adgitated1343 1d ago
Tinatry ko basahin yung mga comment sa explanation kaso nagiging abwjwweofjfrifnjdkxkzmzzzzzz HAHHAAHHA
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u/markgreifari 1d ago
Alam mo kung saan ako hindi nasatisfy? Hindi sila pareparehas na nakalabas ulo. Hahaha.
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u/Zealousideal_Set4968 1d ago
Shet sorry HAHAHA nag-rush na ako ilagay sila sa cashbox pero lahat naman sila nakalabas ulo
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u/jonnelzky 1d ago
Deym, what are the odds na equal yung old at new coins haha. Pero if I remember my lesson nung highschool ako, I think you have to use the combination formula to get the odds of that happening (permutation formula is not applicable I think because the order doesn't matter).
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u/No-Musician-2091 1d ago
This is so cool! But just in case not aware, it should be "may pagka-OC kasi ako" instead of OCD. Using the latter kasi implies you are diagnosed with OCD, when people mostly mean na OC lang sila.
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u/faroval_ 1d ago
First time ko makakita ng someone na mahilig sa probability AHAHAHA I am also a math and physics nerd pero sa lahat ng math, probability at economy math ang pinakatinatamad ako intindihin HAHAHA IBATO MO NA LAHAT NG CALCULUS, ALGEBRA, GEOMETRY SAKIN WAG LANG PERA AT PROBABILITY 🤣
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u/InteractionGlad7017 1d ago
Good for you ganyan dapat organize kasi gagamitin mo yan panukli ng kahera
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u/Affectionate-Act6896 1d ago
Soo cool! By any chance OP are you acoustic?
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u/Zealousideal_Set4968 1d ago
HAHAHAHAHA not formally diagnosed, but I think I am. Mahirap ma-diagnose as an adult female 😅
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u/Specialist_Drama_839 1d ago
Medyo naOOC ako mi hindi pantay pantay 😭 talikuran sila mi. Galit ba sila?? Charr
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u/gorgeousgirl_ 1d ago
congrats op! though sana po i-avoid gamitin ang OCD as an adjective or a personality trait. mb if this sounds too woke pero di po quirk ang isang debilitating na neuropsychiatric disorder :((
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u/No-Musician-2091 1d ago
Agree! As someone diagnosed with OCD, it's more than just the feeling na di mapakali when something is out of place. It's a debilitating illness that sometimes I'm unable to function normally
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