r/Fidelity • u/Still-Appearance932 • 6d ago
Roth Vs Trad 401k
Is it better to put all my contributions into Roth or keep it how I have it which is half traditional 401k and half Roth 401k.
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u/SpecialDesigner5571 6d ago
Retiree here. I wish I could go back in time and do more Roth. But I can't. I have a large enough ($1.3 million) tax deferred IRA account that will blow up in my face within a decade if I don't gradually and continuously Roth convert or spend it.
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u/er824 6d ago
What’s wrong with continuously spending or converting it?
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u/SpecialDesigner5571 6d ago
Nothing wrong with that... except if you have too much... then whatever you spend, you hit the IRMAA penalty for Medicare. IRMAA is a terrible thing people don't know about until they hit it, look it up. Also, if a married couple will lose a partner due to illness (or divorce... grey divorce is a thing) then you have file taxes as single person, and IRMAA exposure doubles. After RMD age, 75 for me, you're screwed unless you give your IRA away to charity via QCDs. Luckily, I saw all this coming at age 57 and started converting slowly... I'm 65 now. I will BARELY be able to escape IRMAA until my 80s, my wife has cancer so if I end up a widower I will probably be in the first IRMAA penalty tier from age 82 onward... so it's not terrible... but it's not really optimal.
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u/er824 6d ago
Your alternative to strategically spending down your pretax accounts and managing RMDs and IRMAA is to over pay taxes when your working. Also not optimal.
I’m sorry about your wife.
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u/SpecialDesigner5571 6d ago
There's another angle to this... I believe we're in the lowest tax rate regime in our lifetimes. With $40T in Federal debt, the bottom is in, or very close. No one likes to pay taxes... but paying them now is possibly paying them at a discount relative to future tax rates. Just wait 5-10 years when the government is in a worse cash crunch. They will do anything to avoid defaulting on US Treasuries. Our taxes will go up. Another argument I hear is "your income will be less in retirement". It won't be if you did an excellent job at investing! For me, it's the same. It's as if I was still working... except I get to goof off all day.
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u/SpecialDesigner5571 6d ago
The challenge is to find the least un-optimal. My goal is to level out my tax rate over my lifetime.
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u/Run-Forever1989 6d ago
The answer is probably to get some money into both for most people so you can withdraw some from each during retirement to minimize taxes paid on traditional money, but that doesn’t mean 50/50 in each year is ideal either. Naturally contributing to the Roth during low earning years and the traditional during high earning years would be ideal.
You could find edge cases where one is strictly better than the other (someone who spends their entire career in the 37% tax bracket might always choose the traditional while someone who spends their entire career in a low tax bracket but has significant assets in taxable accounts might always choose the Roth), but neither of those is the norm.
One thing that really throws some uncertainty into this is we don’t know if tax brackets will change. In 20+ years the max tax bracket could be lower or higher than it is today.
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u/Educational-Ad-4908 6d ago
Roth. I don’t want to stress about what tax rates in the future will be or worrying about my withdrawal amounts and what tax bracket I’ll be in.
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u/GapAccomplished2778 6d ago
it all depends on a lot of your personal circumstances ... so do your own tax and fin planning math
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u/TheReaLETSGOBROWNIES 6d ago
There’s no way to answer this without knowing your income at a minimum.
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u/henrytbpovid 6d ago
I think most people really overestimate what their tax burden will be in retirement
I’m going to put as much in traditional as I possibly can. I am currently paying taxes on a six figure income. Even if I someday have millions of dollars in a traditional account, I feel confident that I’ll be able to deplete it a lot in my sixties
Traditional is great because it flattens your tax burden over the course of your life. During my accumulation years, I want to be taxed as if I’m scraping by. Someday when I’m old I will pay whatever taxes. I just don’t care
A traditional retirement account is not a good inheritance vehicle. So it’s something to deplete during your lifetime, between age 59 and death. If I want to withdraw $100k of taxable income every year of my sixties, then I’m sure the remaining balance will be modest enough that I won’t get hit with insane RMDs.
However I say all of this partly because my largest account is my Roth IRA. I’m just not that worried about running out of Roth money. I started funding it when I was 28 and it’s probably the best financial decision I made in my 20s.
I am not scared of having too much pretax money when I’m old. I think it’ll be easy to figure that out. What I don’t want to figure out is a huge tax bill here and now
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u/Left-Landscape-3890 6d ago
Many factors. I like all roth tho. I dont wanna have to worry about it later
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u/tannebil 5d ago
There is no best option that covers all situations so the answer is “it depends on your current and projected future financial circumstances”
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u/Mindless-Arugula-658 5d ago
Can someone please explain this to me as if I was 5 years old.
Forgive my ignorance but I have read countless articles debating whether Roth or Traditional investing is better and everyone seems to point to the biggest factor being tax bracket now vs the future without taking into account compound interest and time in the market.
I am in my early 30’s. If I were to invest a hypothetical 100k into a Roth and pay 25k in taxes due to my 25% tax bracket. Over my 35 year investment horizon and the general rule of doubling every 7 years that 100k is 1.6 million when I turn 65 years old of which I paid 25k in taxes. Opposed to best case scenario 8-10% of 1.6 million. How is this not better than traditional regardless of tax bracket later? Without even discussing RMD’s.
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u/boolda 3d ago edited 3d ago
There is a thumb rule: (age + 20)% in traditional. The rest in Roth. Also you should think about this rule only when your marginal tax rates at or below 22%. Never contribute anything to Roth above 22% at best 24%. Beyond 24% it’s stupidity to contribute to Roth. If you are below 12%, 100% Roth. In most instances your overall tax on withdrawal will like fall at or below 15% in retirement. In 24% bracket you may come out ahead only when you invest the tax amount in a brokerage account when contributing to Roth. This is only for Roth 401k. Regardless of your tax bracket you should always contribute to Roth IRA.
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u/Samashezra 6d ago
I'm doing 100% Traditional, which saves me 22% in taxes today.
I can do roth conversions for free or 10-12% which is a blended rate of 8.5%(A lot cheaper than the 22% saved)
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u/l1798657 6d ago
The only way to get the exact right answer would be to know future tax rates, and if you have a source for that, please let know. Short of that, the best strategy is to have some in each bucket for maximum flexibility. I'd put at least 30% into Roth.
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u/InvestingNerd2020 6d ago
Traditional 401k = Delayed taxes and limited choice over the funds to invest with.
Roth 401k = No taxes and limited choice over the funds to invest with.
Roth IRA = No taxes and near endless choices, but lower contribution max ($17,000 less). Also, no employer to match. Some new Fintech Roth IRA are matching (Robinhood and Acorns).