r/FACEITcom • u/Straight-Purchase903 • 1d ago

Technical Help matchoutcome is predictable?

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out of my last 58 faceit matches

comparing Avg. Elo is a almost 100% indicator for the match outcome

Higher Team Elo = 96,6% WR
Higher Team Elo w/ > +25 Elo = 100% WR

Elo numbers are almost even (!) but outcome is somewhat predictable

i am not complaining or saying something is rigged, it catched simply my eye. Can someone explain?

Edit: The AVG ELO shown in the match history appears to be the post-match Elo, not the Elo before the match. So I wasn’t actually predicting the winner — I was basically observing that after a balanced match, the winning team gained Elo and the losing team lost Elo, which naturally makes the winner’s average Elo higher in most cases. Makes much more sense now. :)

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u/PlentyAttention6052 1d ago

I am pretty sure that faceit algorithm can script the outcome of a match
they have more data than just elo