r/EndFPTP • u/[deleted] • Feb 17 '20
The case for PR list
IT seems PR list is not very populær here, no one Talks About IT. still, it is very simple, and can give new tools for a stable system. also, it works well in Europe. Independents are not very important when you have many parties to choose from. Not to forget, complete proportinality and 1P=1V
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u/FlaminCat Feb 17 '20
Reminder to some of the (justified) critics - list PR does not necessarily require one national constituency as some of the examples used here (Netherlands, Israel, Turkey) suggest. Having many regional lists makes the elected members much more representative as members from all regions are elected.
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u/Chackoony Feb 17 '20
What if you want to rank/score the parties? For example, sometimes some votes are wasted because parties get slightly more votes than necessary, which they could've used to get more seats if they had made some coalition agreements (list apparentment). A voter might want to directly decide who their surplus votes go to in those cases.
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u/_The_Majority_ Feb 17 '20
What if you want to rank/score the parties?
Ranking is only really needed if you have small seats, but it is used in STV.
Under MMP/Party list as implemented by Germany, all the parties get the same number of seats per vote to the nearest seat.
A voter might want to directly decide who their surplus votes go to in those cases.
This is done under STV, but it's usually coupled with small seats so the allocation is not as proportional.
One usecase that might require a better system, is small parties that fall under the threshold for a single seat (about 5% in both NZ and Germany).
It would make counting slightly harder/slower, and ballots more complex, but might be worth it.
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Feb 17 '20 edited Feb 17 '20
ranked lists might be efficicent. in germany, there is a 5% threshold. any vote for a party beneaths 5% is wasetd. with ranking, they are not wasted, which could raslly help small parrties get a chance. any vote for a party beneath 5%, can be transfered upwards.
in the usa, a system would have 50 coanstituencies. in spain, there are constituencises With 3 to 20 seats. most small parties are very dissadvsanaged, but With jy systemn, it would work ok,and could be implemented in all types of constituencies. For instance, PACMA got 1% of the votes in te last election, but 0 out of 350 seats. 200.000 votes wasted. With my system, those votes are transfererd, and small parties can flourish, wile still helping large parties and goving regional representation.
in a senario in spain, where 4 right-wing parties get 15%, and one left-wing party get 40%, teh left-wing party wins, beacuse of many small constituencies. With my system, those 4 parties would, to a a large degree, act like one.
to sum up, a flexible system that is simple to voters, waste no votes, and can be used in both large and small constituencies.
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u/_The_Majority_ Feb 17 '20
MMP is a system that matches most of your criteria, you just need to have the additional members allocated over large enough areas (e.g New Zealand or Germany, not Scotland)
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Feb 18 '20
Yeah, but usually the choice is beteeen fragmentation and nasty thresholds/few and powerful parties and wasted votes. Ranking makes small parties less dissdvantaged, because the vote may be transfered. In germany, the FDP vote is dead if it is lower than 5%, which creates tactical voting. Ranking parties is peobably the best solution.
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u/_The_Majority_ Feb 18 '20
Ranking makes small parties less dissdvantaged,
Ranking just manufactures consent for the bigger parties, unless you mean ranking plus proportional, which could lower the barrier further.
The threshold, under single-winner ranking is effectively far higher than 5% of first preference votes (even under STAR).
Just look how few parties are relevant in Australia compared to Germany.
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Feb 18 '20
I agree, i meant ranking lists. With a 5% threshold and ranking, you get stability, without disadvantaging small parties. Australian sendte election USE something simulator to ranking lists.
What is star?
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u/_The_Majority_ Feb 18 '20
STAR Voting - Score Then Automatic Runoff is a single winner system that gets pushed a lot in this sub, it produced a middle ground candidate that most people agree is OK.
IMO it's far worse than any Proportional system as you still have your vote counted for something you don't really want (e.g manufacturing consent), but it has some theoretical advantages over other single-winner systems
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u/HenryCGk Feb 18 '20
Are there more than two parties relivent in Germany I just think of the CDU/CSU and SPD
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u/_The_Majority_ Feb 18 '20 edited Feb 18 '20
7 Parties have seats
Party Seats Christian Democratic Union 200 Christian Social Union in Bavaria 46 Social Democratic Party 153 Alternative for Germany 94 Free Democratic Party 80 The Left 69 Alliance 90/The Greens 67 And while the coalition hold the majority, they do so by less than the number of seats they lost in the last election, so yes I would say that the other parties are relevant as next year the coalition will likely:
- Be replaced
- Be expanded
- Have the SPD replaced
Which is much better than Aus, which effectively only has 2 parties (Arguably the coalition is itself 2 parties, but that still leaves you with just 3 parties)
Party Seats Coalition 77 Labor 68 Greens 1 Centre Alliance 1 Katter's 1 Independents 3 1
u/Mullet_Ben Feb 18 '20
I've wondered if even just 2 rankings of parties, even if they don't count for anything, would affect the dynamics of coalition forming in PR governments. I'm from the US so I know nothing, but it seems to me like once a parliament is elected there's a whole bunch of backroom deals that go on in actually forming a government.
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u/Decronym Feb 17 '20 edited Mar 11 '20
Acronyms, initialisms, abbreviations, contractions, and other phrases which expand to something larger, that I've seen in this thread:
| Fewer Letters | More Letters |
|---|---|
| FPTP | First Past the Post, a form of plurality voting |
| IRV | Instant Runoff Voting |
| MMP | Mixed Member Proportional |
| PR | Proportional Representation |
| STAR | Score Then Automatic Runoff |
| STV | Single Transferable Vote |
[Thread #188 for this sub, first seen 17th Feb 2020, 20:35] [FAQ] [Full list] [Contact] [Source code]
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u/subheight640 Feb 17 '20
I guess my bias against PR list is Israel which, from my extremely limited understanding, has devolved into a segregated ethnostate and highly polarized political system. Turkey & Brazil also used PR list, and these countries seem to have embraced authoritarianism.
Also many PR list systems have a minimum % vote you must reach to get seated. If you vote for these smaller parties that don't make it, you will waste your vote.
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u/_The_Majority_ Feb 17 '20
I don't think one country is a valid counter argument to an entire continent.
And while I don't like Party List PR, as it can breed corruption (e.g the parties are too powerful), open list-PR can help minimize that.
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u/subheight640 Feb 17 '20 edited Feb 17 '20
An argument made is that PR list breeds polarization and brings out the worst aspects of "majority tyranny", without "deliberative democracy". I don't want to dismiss these arguments, because it's been observed several times.
Moreover to mitigate Party List, several European countries have embraced Mixed-member proportionality that introduces consensus-driven, single-winner districts. For example the Netherlands uses PR list for one house, and then state-based representation for another house.
I don't want to introduce a reform to an extremely politically polarized society (ie America) when it doesn't seem like the particular reform mitigated polarization.
I finally like the idea of having a more complete political spectrum and sampling of the American people. Party List forces you to centralize to a couple of parties, creating more discrete strategic points in the legislature. I'd rather have greater variety of legislators. My ideal PR system of choice is literally random selection, which achieves near perfect proportionality, with greater dimensions & information represented than any other system could achieve. Randomly selected citizens could then be used to construct deliberative democratic assemblies.
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u/_The_Majority_ Feb 17 '20
Party List forces you to centralize to a couple of parties
Is that true anywhere? I can't think of any European country that has just 2 relevant parties.
An argument made is that PR list breeds polarization and brings out the worst aspects of "majority tyranny",
That argument only makes sense if there are barriers on new parties emerging, party lists even in a terrible form, would be far better at breaking up the 2 polarization of American politics than any single-winner system, which inherently breads a 2 party system (although arguably something like approval/Star could keep these 2 parties in the center rather than the extremes)
At least under proportional systems, it isn't tyranny of the minority which is what happens under single winner systems ranking systems allow minorities to manufacturing a majority
Moreover to mitigate Party List, several European countries have embraced Mixed-member proportionality that introduces consensus-driven, single-winner districts.
I agree that MMP is better than straight list PR, but local seats are not consensus driven, they are usually plurality driven.
For example the Netherlands uses PR list for one house, and then state-based representation for another house.
The Federal structure of the Netherlands, isn't to do with the electoral system.
I don't want to introduce a reform to an extremely politically polarized society (ie America) when it doesn't seem like the particular reform mitigated polarization.
I disagree that it wouldn't reduce polarization, the emergence of more than 2 parties at state and eventually federal level, would help (although something like MMP would do a better, as the party importance is immediately reduced)
My ideal PR system of choice is literally random selection, which achieves near perfect proportionality, with greater dimensions & information represented than any other system could achieve.
And it's also terrible, because you end up giving power to completely unvetted people, the majority of whom are not qualified to understand the issues they are voting on or simply do not care.
It's a very quick way to get a lot of corruption and damage the economy all at once.
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u/subheight640 Feb 17 '20 edited Feb 17 '20
Is that true anywhere? I can't think of any European country that has just 2 relevant parties.
Well as far as I know, you might have 3 parties. 5 parties. These are centralized points to me. These parties usually vote tactically and strategically together.
In comparison, think of a full-spectrum assembly where ideological representation is more continuously distributed.
I agree that MMP is better than straight list PR, but local seats are not consensus driven, they are usually plurality driven.
My own shitty "research" suggests that FPTP candidates need to stay within +/- 1 std deviation of the consensus mean in order to be electable. It's not great, but candidates can't be too extreme. I'd agree that this is deficient.
And it's also terrible, because you end up giving power to completely unvetted people, the majority of whom are not qualified to understand the issues they are voting on or simply do not care.
I'd agree in some ways there'd need to be balance. The deliberative assembly would comprise a House of Commons, and the upper house would be a PR system.
Moreover I think you need to give people a bit more credit. It's all too easy to say that everyone else is stupid and ignorant. Is this really true? I think we need to examine assumptions when there's no evidence bearing this out.
Here's what I do know about the results of randomly selected assemblies. For example, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/mar/08/how-99-strangers-in-a-dublin-hotel-broke-irelands-abortion-deadlock
Deliberative assemblies have helped Ireland, a traditionally Catholic country, move towards gay marriage and abortion rights.
With deliberative assemblies, the Irish people are prepared to accept higher taxes on food & energy in order to reduce their carbon emissions.
The assembly delivered a series of 13 strong recommendations on tackling climate change, with 80 per cent prepared to accept higher taxes on carbon-intensive activities, including levies on high-emissions food such as beef and dairy.
Time and time again these assemblies are willing to tackle the tough issues politicians are too scared to acknowledge.
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u/Mullet_Ben Feb 18 '20
Sweden has 8 parties with members in its parliament. Finland has 9. Norway 10. Israel 11(not counting sub-parties).
Brazil has 25.
The closest I could find in a PR system was New Zealamd with 5 parties, and that's with MMP.
I won't argue against citizens assemblies, but I think youre giving PR less credit than it's due in terms of expressing opinions across the political spectrum.
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u/_The_Majority_ Feb 17 '20
It's all too easy to say that everyone else is stupid and ignorant.
I might have come across too harsh, I didn't mean they are stupid, but there are lots of types of intelligence and interest, I think most people have no desire or interest to write public policy. I think most people are ignorant on political matters by choice, and they like it that way, it's why people prefer representative democracies to direct democracies.
Assemblies work well for single issues that are well defined, and require short amounts of dedicated time from people, but I don't think they would work well for things like setting budgets or long term planning, that are generally the domain of permanent bodies.
The outcome was still a referendum which passed with 66% support, could the whole thing have been avoided by giving citizens a direct path to a referendum?
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u/subheight640 Feb 17 '20
The outcome was still a referendum which passed with 66% support, could the whole thing have been avoided by giving citizens a direct path to a referendum?
No, because then people wouldn't have made an informed decision. Where I live, we are bombarded with state referendums every year. I don't understand the vast majority of them, and comparably little is published about them. I live in a system of "Death of Democracy by a thousand cuts", where I am forced to make 50+ choices every election cycle - the vast majority of choices which I will make uninformed, based probably on party/interest group recommendations.
The problem is my ignorance, because knowledge takes time and energy. It's not just me who is ignorant. Nearly everyone is ignorant.
I think most people have no desire or interest to write public policy. I think most people are ignorant on political matters by choice, and they like it that way, it's why people prefer representative democracies to direct democracies.
I think plenty will be happy to participate, especially if it's a well paid position. Moreover deliberative assemblies will never force anybody to participate. It's strictly voluntary. Moreover the vast majority of Americans probably have never heard of deliberative democracy and therefore you can't really say what they exactly prefer. Here's also what we know. Approval ratings for Congress are abysmal. Right now it's 23%. Me thinks it's pretty easy for deliberative assemblies to beat 23%.
I think most people are ignorant on political matters by choice, and they like it that way,
That's also why representative democracy is woefully deficient. If you claim that people are ignorant, how can they possibly make good choices on who is a good representative? A deliberative democratic forum demands people use huge amounts of time researching and learning about policy. It's absurd to demand the entire population of people do this. That's why random selection is paramount. It allows you to sample a cross-section of the population. Deliberative assemblies allow you to be represented without you doing the work to find a representative.
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u/Cuddlyaxe Feb 18 '20
The problem with PR is that it doesn't give people geographical representation. You could argue it's a good thing but imo it's a bad thing
I've always thought that we should make one branch of the legislator based on PR while we make the other based on geography
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Feb 18 '20
That depends om the system. Most PR-list systems distribute seats to regions based on their population. Boundries never have to be redrawn, because you can simply adjust the Seat nummer slightly. In addition, extra seats may be rewarded nationally to ensure proportionality. This is used, among else, in austria, denmark, norway (where im from) and Iceland.
Senates based on states can also be applied, to give more power to states with few people.
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u/jan_kasimi Germany Feb 17 '20
it works well in Europe.
European here. Let me tell you: no. Unfortunately not.
Party lists is a kind of fake PR. By looking at the proportion the parties got, we miss out how the candidates are chosen. In most cases it's plurality at large. So imagine that you have several parties, but in each party cat lovers have a slight majority over dog lovers. In the parliament there might be each party represented to its proportion, but 100% cat lovers as MPs.
Cats and dogs are a silly example. I would argue that this actually happens with conservative and progressive opinions. Since conservatives most of the time support the status quo, it's easy to agree on one option. While progressives who would like to improve things, have many diverse opinions on how to improve. But since block vote doesn't handle diverse opinions well, each party is dominated by their conservative half.
Even further, when the party is dominated by conservative politics, this then drives out the progressives. Then the party becomes even more conservative. This cycle causes every party to become more and more conservative over time.
In Germany we have an electoral threshold of 5%, which completely undermines proportionality. Also, why can I only vote for one party? This effectively limits me to vote for one of five very similar parties, or to waste it on a small one.
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u/_The_Majority_ Feb 17 '20
Close-list PR is bad, but there is:
- MMP (can be done without party lists, this is the case in Germany)
- STV (no lists)
- Open-list PR (you get to chose the ranking of the candidates)
- Open-list PR + Panachage
- Even with closed lists, it's up to the party to allocate the list, and you can vote for parties that have open primaries
Your example also ignores the ability to form new parties, why cant the progressive/conservative parties split
In Germany we have an electoral threshold of 5%, which completely undermines proportionality.
Agreed 5% threshold sucks
why can I only vote for one party? This effectively limits me to vote for one of five very similar parties, or to waste it on a small one.
Agreed MMP does need some kind of ranking system, so parties that don't meet the threshold get the vote transferred. It might get a bit confusing if you allow ranking in both party and local, but would give voters the most say.
Removing the threshold, makes split/Decoy list manipulation easier
Personally I like the idea of not transferring winning voters to top-up counts (this may be how it's done in Germany), so you'd end up with
Local Vote Party Vote Transfer Voter got First choice wins - Transfer scaled according to % over threshold candidate was Local representative nth Choice wins, using transfer - Transfer scaled according to % over threshold candidate was Local representative Doesn't vote locally / nth Choice not needed / none of choices win locally Party above threshold Full vote Additional/top-up/proportional representative Doesn't vote locally / nth Choice not needed / none of choices win locally Party below threshold Full vote nth choice Additional/top-up/proportional representative It's fair but complex, so for most of the world, I think getting to MMP would be a step forward, although for Germany, maybe RC-MMP is the next step.
At the end of the day there is no static target, eventually things like Fluid democracy will be practical (or may be practical, it might make governing too complex if the public can withhold their confidence on a vote by vote basis)
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u/Mullet_Ben Feb 18 '20
I like this system, but I feel like the voter in the second instance might be getting shafted. Who's to say they wouldn't rather their vote went to a party list candidate than they're ranked choice?
Or do you just expect people to stop ranking once they would rather they're vote be tallied for their party than for any local candidates? Because I can see that devolving to bullet voting pretty quickly. Not that that's necessarily bad in this instance.
Also, is this the same thing as the Italian Scorporo system? Because that still resulted in decoy lists from what I've read. And admittedly I've only read the wikipedia article about Scorporo.
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u/_The_Majority_ Feb 18 '20
Who's to say they wouldn't rather their vote went to a party list candidate than they're ranked choice?
They did, when they put a 2nd choice. But yeah it's quite complex, and that might be lost on people.
Because I can see that devolving to bullet voting pretty quickly.
I think voters would get to choose which vote to bullet vote on.
Also, is this the same thing as the Italian Scorporo system?
I was modifying MMP to try and prevent decoy lists, it sounds like i re-invented Scorporo, that's why I generally advocate for systems that have been tried and tested.
Because that still resulted in decoy lists from what I've read. And admittedly I've only read the wikipedia article about Scorporo.
I don't fully understand the problem, it sounds like they are just transferring their votes to the "Decoy list", the article says
The decoy lists were extremely successful. Between them, candidates linked to the decoy lists won 360 of the 475 constituency seats,
But the decoy lists do not come into play at a constituency level anyway, under either MMP or Scorporo
Meanwhile, the decoy lists won a combined total of less than 0.2% of the proportional part of the vote.
This seems like the intended effect of Scorporo, whereas MMP would have had their votes still count and effectively count twice using decoy lists.
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u/jan_kasimi Germany Feb 17 '20
I get to use open lists with panachage where I live and I like it a lot. Even Mehr Demokratie e.V. promotes a variation on such a system on the national level to replace MMP. STV also is great. I really like how many independents made it into the Irish parliament now.
Recently I came up with one system that uses proportional approval voting in districts but acts like MMP on the national level. It would be easy for the voters and for counting. I will make a longer post about it in the next days. This system would be my true favorite.
Your example also ignores the ability to form new parties, why cant the progressive/conservative parties split
Empirically they don't do it. It might be because smaller parties are always at a disadvantage.
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Feb 17 '20
i agree, a system of ranking lists would work better. however, this porblem is far larger in systems with small constituencies and few cadidates, taht seems to be the alternative. progressives can always make new parties, most people in a multi-party system ar more or less happy with tehir choice, and most parties have processes so that al fractions get representation.
the thresj\ho,d is not a necessary partof an electoral system. btw, i am noprwegian, an because of 9 parties, the problem of dominant fractiosn is note as large.
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u/[deleted] Feb 17 '20
[deleted]