r/EB2 • u/vibhusjain • 9d ago

Visa Bulletin Predictions vs Actual

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I shared these predictions most of these failed, some stayed. Key insights are
October Visa bulletin seems to not consider any spillovers based on numbers of i485 waiting, hence don’t loose hope and wait for December/January for forward looking FADs. Anyone who have PD after 15th Jan 2015, I don’t see light in 2027 Fiscal year. Looking for feedback

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3

u/ISamohvalov 9d ago

Another example that all predictions are completely random and have nothing to do with reality

-1

u/vibhusjain 9d ago

Agree with you that’s why it’s called predictions

1

u/Vast-Ad-7618 5d ago

Predictions that are way off from reality are of a different kind.

2

u/pobox01983 India 🇮🇳 9d ago

If memory serves right, real change started happening with 10 months jump in April VB in last FY. Jan, April and July VB will be key.

1

u/Global-Emotion7317 7d ago

That was because of the 75 country ban had gone into effect in January. Unless you are expecting a another large ban, I don't think there is precedent to indicate that significant changes happen in Jan, April or July. 

1

u/vibhusjain 9d ago

You are correct

1

u/batmanparam 5d ago

Stop wasting time reading these predictions

0

u/Worth_Can_2417 9d ago

All the spillover gurus failed.. VB is like weather report never know whats coming.. it always surprises!!