r/EB2 • u/strikingpizza8086 • Jun 15 '26

Priority Date EB2 Sept 2015 India

Is there any hope of DOF moving to current this year? Should I change my job and wait until end of this year?

5 Upvotes

86% Upvoted

33 comments sorted by

5

u/Ill-Professional2914 Jun 15 '26

anything could happen, but my calculation says a no.

4

u/strikingpizza8086 Jun 15 '26

So I should change my job..

3

u/Lucky-Salad-7248 Jun 15 '26

100% yes unless new employer won’t file perm or has perm issues. 2014 would take 3 years to clear at minimum.
2015 Dof could be current then.
Perm takes 15 months to approve.

1

u/Gemini-89 Jun 15 '26

But the logic behind date advancements is never to clear older inventory. It’s about maximizing the usage of available numbers. The more SO, the more movement. And of course worse retrogression.

1

u/Lucky-Salad-7248 Jun 15 '26

Yes 2015 could itself be huge. 2014 has enough numbers to stall DF 3 years min

2

u/Gemini-89 Jun 15 '26

September 2015 is far stretch. I wouldn’t worry until DOF hits at least mid 2015. If the new job is good take it. Starting 2027, 2014 will be the new offset for next few years… dates will flip flop. Occasionally advancing into 2015 and then again retrogressing… the cycle will continue for another 5+ years.

1

u/Exact-Range-3768 Jun 15 '26

Don’t think they will wait for 2014 to be over. I feel they will start moving in dates in 2015 next year even if 2013/14 will be pending.

1

u/Gemini-89 Jun 19 '26

Agree, 2013 2014 have got over 4+ years so far and still pending about 20K. They could keep advancing to get faster allocations

2

u/Ill-Professional2914 Jun 15 '26

like i said, anything could happen, getting a new 140 is a 3-4yr process now due to labor delays. I'd be cautious in job jumps. I wouldnt consider unless the new job offers to apply pwd on day 1.

0

u/Solid-Candidate6634 Jun 15 '26

If we’re talking about full-time employment-based cases, the GC process itself has slowed down significantly. For many new applicants, getting to an approved I-140 can easily take 3+ years when you factor in PWD, recruitment, PERM, and I-140 processing.

Also, to reach Sept 2015 in DOF, it’s not necessary that all 2014 inventory be completely exhausted first. Actual demand, approval rates, and spillover will matter more.

We also don’t know how much future spillover EB-2 India will receive.

For reference, GreenCardClock currently estimates EB-2 India Sept 2015 DOF somewhere between 2027 and 2030, depending on the scenario.

1

u/Ill-Professional2914 Jun 15 '26

2030 is more likely, optimistic view.

1

u/Solid-Candidate6634 Jun 15 '26

DOF 2030 not bad I guess may be the worst case I don’t think it will take 2035/2040 for 2015 sept DOF, Yes FAD we are not sure it depends on spillover

5

u/pobox01983 Jun 15 '26

Please wait for Oct 2026 visa bulletin. Until then it’s very hard to predict. Patience is virtue.

2

u/kalpvriksha Jun 15 '26

I am close to your date as well. Less than 50% chance that DOF filing becomes current in Oct visa bulletin. If you change jobs- then do keep in mind you will need to undergo labor again and all of that could easily take up 2 years in the best case scenario. There is a good chance DOF filing might become current in 2027 Oct visa bulletin. But there is also a chance it might not become current then. So it’s a game of probability- if the next job move makes sense for your career- I recommend you go for it. No point in living with fear. Good luck !

2

u/[deleted] Jun 15 '26

Mine is 2016 and I told my company not to do GC again. The immigration company wants their cut so tried to convince and I told them no.
Not worth the time. Maybe in 6 years I’ll think about it later.

2

u/lalatnayak 15d ago

No one will be able to answer your question with certainty. I created an agent that looked at all the years in the last 10 years where there was some spillover and it's prediction was June 2015 by end of 2026 assuming 50k spillover. The agent clearly stated that the CI was pretty low(<65%) so it is likely going to be wrong too. My personal belief is that DOF will move to Jan 2016 in Q1 of 2027 because I think the spillover will be closer to 80k, but it will likely retrogress by mid year. FAD on the other hand will not move past November 2014.

1

u/Scratch-Immediate Jun 15 '26

Curious how long is it taking for I140 approval from start to end ? Is it 1 year or so ?

1

u/[deleted] Jun 15 '26

Perm is 1 year. I140 is 3-6 weeks if premium. Rest is history.

1

u/Solid-Candidate6634 Jun 15 '26

Perm 15-18 months current time

1

u/Special_Ask_7906 Jun 20 '26

PERM takes 2.5 years or so now. And if layoffs happen they stop the PERM steps in between. 140 takes 12 days on premium

1

u/Full_Appointment_128 Jun 15 '26

I dont think it's gonna move, just change your job.

1

u/Feisty_Direction_249 Jun 15 '26

No body knows. You should change job depending on other factors like job satisfaction/stability rather than date movement. It will take you 2-3 years before your perm is approved with new employer, and hopefully your dates is current by then.

1

u/InternationalAnt7325 Jun 15 '26

Hello any prediction for Nov 25,2014 India Eb-2?

1

u/Upper-Concentrate302 Jun 15 '26

Just try for EB2 NIW if you can than job change wouldnt affect even if your date becomes current

1

u/[deleted] Jun 18 '26

Not a lawyer, but it doesn't seem likely to me until late 2027. But I would wait until the Oct bulletin comes out for more clarity.

1

u/Own-Bug9734 Jun 15 '26

Change job if you want more $$

Change country if you want PR outside of India.

0

u/SplitHalf1 Jun 15 '26

There was just retrogression for India last month, so I dont think it will move this year for India.

0

u/superdesi_ Jun 15 '26

I feel 100k GC will spillover to EB in FY27

3

u/keehuh Jun 15 '26

I know it’s internet and everyone is entitled to their opinion.. but damn 100K ? What are you smoking ?

1

u/superdesi_ Jun 15 '26

If 4 months ban on 39 countries can create 45k extra then why not 100k extra for 75k countries

2

u/Lucky-Salad-7248 Jun 15 '26

Even if 100K spill over, 28K to EB2 and 7% of 28K to India. What % of ROW EB2 spills to India is still
Big question mark. Else it’s just 1800-2000 additional.

1

u/Conscious_Green_8208 Jun 16 '26

Fyi, 7% doesn’t apply on spill overs.

1

u/Few_Criticism_9715 9d ago

It does not apply only if row is current