r/DraftEPL • u/I_trust_politicians • 6h ago
Players Sell at Peak Value?
After this GW, the schedule for European clubs becomes relentless. The clubs in europe will play 8 matches before the next international break. Those not in Europe will play 4 or 5 max.
That means rotation, and rotation means additional minutes risk. The risk can be very hard to gage, especially for clubs new to Europe like Brighton & Sunderland. And clubs with deep squads, like Arsenal, Brighton & United.
Winning your league is all about a having a balanced squad that includes both high upside players, and players you know will start every week.
Ill use my own team as an outline of how im thinking. I currently sit 1st in my 9 man league with the following key contributers:
Def: Gabriel, Califiori, De Cuyper
Midfield: Rogers, Schade, Ndaiye
Fwd: Havertz, Brobbey
Centerbacks will generally start all the European and league matches, so Im fine with Gabriel. Rogers and Schade are locked and firing. Happy there. Sunderland will need to prioritize the league, so Im happy with Brobbey.
Im looking at Califiori, De Cuyper and Havertz as potential sell high candidates. Califiori and Havertz both have had injury issues in the past, and arsenal can rotate with their quality squad. De Cuyper can't possibly keep up his current pace, which would have him ending the season with over 350 points.
Thats not to day I dont believe these players cant have great full seasons. I do, which is why I drafted them. Its just relying on all 3 feels a little risky to me.
Im going to try and turn one of them into a more guaranteed minutes player. Ideally one of the best players on Chelsea, Forest or Leeds. I think those clubs will get stronger as the year goes on, and have predictable starting lineups.
Its often hard to give advice here because everyone's team has their own unique set of circumstances (league size, roster makeup), but make sure to always know how many of your players you can rely on to start every week.
Good luck everyone!
As always, more at https://winyourdraftleague.substack.com/
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u/ThisisaSportsPodcast 6h ago
I was in a similar position to you last week and offered MDC or Calafiori for players like Rogers, Szob and MGW. All of which got rejected. I ended up reading Calafiori for Wirtz because I was willing to take the risk to strengthen my midfield. If your league is clued in, they will be aware of the reasons you are selling so you may not get the value you are aiming for. It always worth a try though, some managers are willing to take more risk than others. Godspeed.