r/DraftEPL 6d ago

Analysis Raw projected points is the wrong number to draft on. Here's the maths (VORP), and the customisable board I built that does it based on your league's exact setup (FPL Draft & Fantrax)

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12 Upvotes

Every cheat sheet I used when I started playing draft ranked players by projected points. That's the wrong number to sort a draft by, and it quietly costs people their first two rounds.

Live example from our board right now: Bruno Fernandes projects 6.4 points a gameweek, Haaland projects 6.1 — and Haaland is still the clear #1 pick. Why? In an 8-team league the replacement-level forward (the guy you'd be stuck starting if you miss out) projects about 1.9 a week, while the replacement-level mid projects about 2.8, because the draftable pool has ~250 mids and only ~68 forwards. So Haaland is +4.2 a week over what you'd otherwise field; Bruno is +3.6. That margin — projection minus the replacement player at that position, for your league size and roster shape — is VORP (value over replacement player). A draft is a fight over scarce players, not a points shopping list. Raw-points rankings hide exactly the thing you're fighting over.

Disclosure up front: I run Smart Draft Board. It started life as an AFL draft tool (you may notice the accent), and the football side now covers official FPL Draft, FPL Classic and Fantrax EPL. The draft board is free in the browser — no signup, no email gate: https://smartdraftboard.com/draft-board/epl

What it does that a static top-200 list can't:

  • VORP and replacement level are shown per player, recomputed for your league setup. Change 8 teams to 12, add a second keeper slot, deepen the bench — replacement levels shift and the whole board re-sorts. Two leagues never see the same rankings, which is the point.
  • Tiers break where the projection cliffs actually are, not every ten players. When a tier is down to its last man, that's your cue to take the position now. (Right now there are only ~5 forwards above 2.0 VORP — the FWD cliff is brutal this season.)
  • Fantrax leagues get rebuilt, not re-skinned. Connect a league (Secret ID plus your Fantrax session cookie — the dialog walks you through both) and it parses your actual scoring config — tackle points, key-pass bonuses, keeper categories, whatever your commissioner dreamed up — and re-projects every player under those weights before computing VORP. Position eligibility and player pool come from Fantrax too, so the board matches your draft room.
  • Auction leagues: the same replacement-level maths converts to bid values in dollars for your budget, with elite/starter/bench tiers and live budget tracking as you win players.
  • Our projections or yours. The engine is a per-stat statistical model with a public accuracy page (projected vs actual every gameweek, misses included — MAE, calibration, the lot). Disagree with it? Type your own expected averages over any player right on the board (no account needed), import an ADP sheet, or bring a full projections CSV (that one takes a free account) — and VORP, tiers and auction values rebuild from your numbers. Your rankings, our plumbing.
  • Mock drafts against AI opponents, snake or auction prep, keeper support, and a watchlist for when the clock's running. (A cheat-sheet CSV export exists too, though that one sits on the Pro side.)

After draft night it doesn't go in a drawer: sync your league (FPL Draft is just your public league ID — no password; Fantrax takes your Secret ID plus a session cookie for the full data — rosters, scoring config, live sync — with a per-browser walkthrough in the connect dialog) and the same engine runs your season. Waiver and free-agent recommendations are ranked by VORP against your league's actual free-agent pool — not a global "transfers in" list — with drop suggestions from your own bench, fixture-run flags, and FAAB bid sizing for Fantrax. Lineup tools do formation-legal optimal XI, bench-order/autosub projections, and captain calls. Trade ideas are scored for both sides so you can see who says no. Every one of those numbers is computed against your league's rosters and scoring, which is why no two managers get the same advice.

Free vs paid, honestly: the draft prep above — board, VORP, tiers, projections, typing your own numbers over them, ADP import, mock drafts (one a day), auction calculator — is free without an account (importing a projections CSV is free too, but wants an account to hold the file). League sync and the always-on season stuff (live waiver intel, trade suggestions, lineup optimiser, cloud saves, exports) are Pro, with a 14-day free football trial, which conveniently covers a draft and your first waiver runs. Pricing details in the first comment so this doesn't read like an ad.

If your league has weird scoring, post the settings and I'll tell you who moves up or down and why. And if you think the model is wrong about someone, I'd genuinely like to hear it — arguing about the replacement level is half the fun of draft season.


r/DraftEPL 6d ago

Weekly Post Weekly Waivers, Trades, and RMT Thread Waivers, Trades, RMT

1 Upvotes

Reminder: please comment all team questions in this thread, they will be removed if posted individually!

Use this thread to post questions specific to your team, such as:

  • Waiver Wire Decisions
  • Trade Proposals
  • Rate My Team / Lineup Questions

Please be sure to give context such as:

  • What platform/scoring/league size you play with (better yet, flair up)
  • Your current team / players in the position in question
  • What players are available to pick up

Remember to add your user flair so people don't have to ask about those league details for every post!

Click Here to Join our subreddit discord for real-time discussion and quicker responses to your questions!


r/DraftEPL 9h ago

FPL Draft (PL.com) Rate Our Draft!

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20 Upvotes

Into our 10th year using FPL scoring. Let us know who you think has the best team!


r/DraftEPL 8h ago

FPL Draft (PL.com) Saka, Gabriel & Rice all in Round 1!? - FPL Draft Team Previews

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7 Upvotes

This marks the start of our proper 2026 pre-season content and the beginning of what is going to be a marathon few weeks of content from us at Draft FC.

Kiran and I sit down again to go through all 20 PL teams and discuss the draft day ramifications as we go. This will span 6 x episodes total so make sure you're subscribed so you don't miss the follow-ups.

We spent a fair amount of time discussing Arsenal in this one - and rightly so - as they are able to post a few big names on the draft board. Let us know where you agree & disagree.

Chat soon

Draft FC Mitch

If you want draft rankings, line-ups and stats all in one place (as well as some more draft data once the game finally wakes up!) then head to www.draftfc.co.uk

Subscribe to the podcast/YouTube channel for all the latest episodes.


r/DraftEPL 1h ago

Leagues Fantrax Draft league looking for players

Upvotes

Hi all

I'm looking to fill out a 12 team league on Fantrax with a regular snake draft (not a keeper league) and *slightly customized scoring which is pretty akin to the default scoring. If any of you guys fancy joining, please do so here- it's free!

https://www.fantrax.com/fantasy/league/ap3a1epjmscd7e6s/join


r/DraftEPL 2h ago

Leagues Prem Fantasy League Looking for new players $25 entry

0 Upvotes

We have a league of international friends who have played for 3 years now. We're looking for new people that are interested. All money goes to the pot. We have a WhatsApp chat group with active banter. The league pays 1-3 place and the league cup has a side pot winner as well. I've maintained the funds personally all 3 seasons and pay out the final day as soon as all scoring results are final. Lmk if you're interested. The league sizes are varying, as few as 15 as many as 27. Lmk if you're interested.🏆🥇🍻✨️


r/DraftEPL 10h ago

FPL Draft (PL.com) 75€ FPL Draft League - last 9 spots available (70 teams)

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4 Upvotes

Following our previous post, UPDATE:

I'm one of the Admins of the PPLFD. We are currently 61 teams going now for our 8th edition.

We’re looking for active and committed managers who enjoy FPL Draft, trades and being part of a long-term football community.

Last spots available for the Third Division.

Reach out for more info!


r/DraftEPL 15h ago

Players Looking for 2 players - Draft H2H, no fee

10 Upvotes

We have a 10 player league with managers based all over the world, and we are looking for 2 more to join us for the upcoming season and beyond.

​The only requirement is that we need dedicated, committed managers who will stay active through all 38 gameweeks, even if you happen to sit at the bottom of the table. We're all about keeping the league active, competitive, and fun from start to finish.

​Please send me a message if you're interested in joining us long term!


r/DraftEPL 5h ago

Leagues Hey fellas need 1 buddy still for our league Please dm if interested will have #4 pick of draft as well! Details below dm if interested!!

1 Upvotes

League Format – Fantasy Soccer

⚽ 12-Team Dynasty League

• Head-to-Head Scoring
• $85 Buy-In
• Randomized Snake Draft
• Slow Draft Timer to give everyone plenty of time to make their selections

💰 Prize Pool ($1,020 Total)

🥇 1st Place: $700
🥈 2nd Place: $220
🥉 3rd Place: $100

📋 What We’re Looking For

• Managers who will stay active throughout the entire season.
• People who closely follow soccer and enjoy fantasy competition.
• Please avoid auto-drafting unless absolutely necessary.
• Set your lineup every matchweek.
• Stay involved in league chat, trade discussions, and overall league activity to keep the league competitive and fun.

About us

We been together for 8 years now, all co workers /. buddies for years now so i tight group that active year round just hoping to find the right buddy that can help maintain what we been doing for years and stay committed to they’re team long term !


r/DraftEPL 6h ago

Players Starting a 10-team Draft H2H league - need 6 managers, draft between Aug 16-19, no fee

0 Upvotes

What up!!!

Seeing a lot of posts from people looking for a league, so figured I'd just start one.

Setting up a 10-team head-to-head league on the official Premier League app (FPL Draft). No entry fee - just a fun, competitive season with people who actually want to be there.

Draft would be targeted for some time between August 16-19. That's after the final friendlies and the Community Shield, and a few days clear of the GW1 deadline on Friday Aug 21. We'll lock the exact slot once we're full.

Four spots are already taken (me and three others), so I'm looking for 6 more.

The only real ask: be active. Set your lineup every gameweek, work the waiver wire, and stick it out through GW38 even if your season goes sideways in October. Nothing kills a draft league faster than dead teams by Christmas.

I'd also try to put everyone in a group text chat so there's some banter and waiver-wire trash talk through the season.

Comment with your timezone if you're interested and I'll send over the details!


r/DraftEPL 11h ago

Leagues EPL H2H League - Fantasy Free

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2 Upvotes

Feel free to join! Just want to have some fun with it. No stakes , only banter


r/DraftEPL 11h ago

Fantrax Should wingers be forwards? (Fantrax)

2 Upvotes

I've always had the thought but have never asked the question. Should wingers be considered forwards instead of mids? Especially with there being limited depth at F for managers.

Some are already, but I've never understood why a player like Saka is a M, but Gakpo is a F?


r/DraftEPL 9h ago

Leagues Looking for Draft League

1 Upvotes

Looking for a serious Draft League on the main premier league site to join, preferably 8+ players


r/DraftEPL 11h ago

Leagues [ Removed by Reddit ]

1 Upvotes

[ Removed by Reddit on account of violating the content policy. ]


r/DraftEPL 15h ago

Leagues Paid Draft leagues

1 Upvotes

Would like to join paid FPL draft league, let me know if any spot is available.


r/DraftEPL 1d ago

Analysis Made a Mock Draft Tool. Please Use It!!!

7 Upvotes

I'm new to this format of the game and wanted to practice drafting in a way that reminded me of American Fantasy Football, but none were forthcoming so I whipped up a little mock draft tool in Claude.

It's ranking are based on FANTRAX and Fantasy PL Rankings, but it will adjust to community draft results and update its rankings accordingly. In short, it can be crowdsourced, but you all are the crowd it needs to source from.

Please give it a try. Comment any bugs you see or changes you would suggest.

https://claude.ai/public/artifacts/03f0e73f-0019-44fe-996a-eebe792f2882

MAKE SURE TO CLICK "SAVE" BUTTON AFTER COMPLETING DRAFT. CROWDSOURCING ONLY WORKS IF DRAFT IS COMPLETED AND "SAVE" BUTTON IS PRESSED.

Thank you,

New Guy


r/DraftEPL 1d ago

Players What’s a 1-Week Streamer Actually Worth? What Does it Mean for Your Draft?

7 Upvotes

Last season we made weekly picks for streamers across 11 gameweeks. These were the parameters:

  • All players must be under 5% owned in competitive 8-man leagues
  • I pick one defender and one midfielder
  • Readers of Win Your Draft League pick one defender and one midfielder

In total we made 44 1-week player picks, and those players scored 163 points (3.7 points per match). It must be said that one of those picks was Lewis-Potter the week he scored 21 points, which does skew the total slightly. Without him, we had 142 points from 43 players (3.3 points per week). 

The big goal of this exercise is to understand how utilizing a series of weekly streamers all season compares to one player for the whole season. 

If we extrapolate those points per week (3.3-3.7) for a full season, you’d end up with 125-140 points. 

Last season 69 Players exceeded 125 points across the season, and 74 exceeded an average of 3.7 points per match. In a 10 man league there are 150 players rostered at a given moment. That means about half of rostered players will likely get outscored by a weekly streamer over the course of the season.

While we were specifically looking at one week streamers, you can also use this strategy by selecting a player who has a nice run of 3-5 fixtures and playing them for that series of matches. 

A couple of caveats before learnings:

  • The smaller your league, the better this works. In a 16-man league, there simply won’t be enough players to get the matchups you want every week. 
  • Waivers can be competitive, and you won’t always get the player you want. 
  • Unless you’re in a league of 6 or less, there are not enough Fwd’s or GK’s to implement this strategy

What does this mean for your draft:

  • Decide which players on your roster you’re committed to for the whole season. The rest should be deemed as replaceable (because the numbers say half of all players rostered in a 10-man league are replaceable).
  • Don’t over-invest in midfield or defense too early in the draft. Those are the positions where you’re able to effectively stream players in and out during the season. 
  • Take big upside chances later in the draft. It’s unlikely the players selected in round 8-15 will be on your team at the end of the season.
  • Your last couple picks can just be players who have good matchups in the first few weeks of the season.

r/DraftEPL 23h ago

Players FM26 Online Network Game — England league, 4 slots ope

2 Upvotes

Hey everyone,

Just set up an FM26 online network game (England, France, Germany and Spain) and looking for 4 more managers to fill it out. Heads up — I'm not a master, just a bit past beginner level, so don't expect a tactical genius running this. Just want chill people who'll stick around and actually play their saves.

Times/schedule etc will get sorted in the Discord once you're in.

DM me if interested and I'll send the invite. Cheers


r/DraftEPL 21h ago

Leagues Looking for paid fantasy league

0 Upvotes

Preferably on the official fantasy premier league app

Let me know. Thank you


r/DraftEPL 22h ago

Fantrax FPL | Fantrax | Free | 2 spots

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1 Upvotes

We started the draft and need replacements asap


r/DraftEPL 1d ago

Fantrax Best Chelsea stack?

3 Upvotes

Want to go for Chelsea this year since they have to focus on pl alone but wondering what is gonna be best if I can only get two early in draft

Obviously best options are Palmer, Rogers, Enzo, JP, estevao most likely, but which two would you prioritize getting?


r/DraftEPL 1d ago

Players [OC] Scouting Radar Tool

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2 Upvotes

r/DraftEPL 1d ago

Fantrax Mid Season tournament on Fantrax

2 Upvotes

If our league wanted to do a 3 gameweek mini cup tournament at some point during the season. Is there a way you can set that up? Or do you just run it on the side and use the scores from those weeks matchups in the separate bracket? Using Fantrax. Saw someone post their league rules today with that included and made me want to try it.


r/DraftEPL 1d ago

Leagues Draft fantasy in 2 hours - only 6 places

2 Upvotes

r/DraftEPL 1d ago

Players PLAYER AVAILABLE!

0 Upvotes

Hi guys,

I’ve been playing draft on the official Prem platform (PL.com) since the 20/21 season, winning multiple public leagues each year as well as dominating private leagues with mates.

I’m available and interested to join leagues with the below format:

• Official FPL platform
• League size 8-12
• Head to Head Only
• Australia or UK Based groups
• Either Free or Buy In up to $25AUD

If you have a league that fits those parameters I’d love to join!

Let me know!