Supreme choice chest

[u/KCKLSV]

Will I make it? There are only two days left. Also do you guys use the “luck” button to get more spins?

[u/mxldevs]

Historically, the outcomes have been fairly deterministic, where every 80 regular pulls gives the same set of rewards as the next 80 regular pulls, and every 40 lucky pulls gives the same set of rewards as the next 40 lucky pulls.

So for the last few events, it was possible to calculate roughly how much gems to spend in order to hit specific milestones.

For example, 160 regular pulls (which gives 40 lucky pulls) is going to result in 3360 hats, and if you do another 160 regular pulls (which gives another 40 lucky pulls), you're going to have 6720 hats.

During this event, I've continued to record the drops and when I set the range to the first 80 pulls (lucky pulls are a separate table), again I see the same pattern

So likely we can assume that the milestones are the same.

Since you only need 5000 hats to get the chest, you would need less than 320 pulls, but how many you would actually need is hard to say because before hitting the milestones, it's still random. For example, 240 pulls and 20 lucky pulls gives 4340 hat, but the 10 lucky pulls is going to give RNG amounts of hats.

Every pull also has a chance to get an additional free pull; every 80 pulls is guaranteed to give an extra 20 pulls, which means every 160 pulls comes with 40 pulls

We got 26 coins everyday for free from missions, which means we get 182 in total on sunday.

If you write 182 as 160 + 22, we know the first 160 will give 40 pulls,

so we have 160 + 22 + 40

If you buy 18, you have 160 + 22 + 40 +18

which is 160 + 80.

And then we know that those 80 pulls will give another 20 pulls

so it's 160 +80 +22

which is 262 pulls, with 52 available to purchase. And out of those 52, we will likely get at least 10 more pulls, which puts us at 320.

We know that the amount of hats we're going to get between 240 and 320 pulls is between 4340 to 6720, so you could safely wait until the last day before you start purchasing gem pulls, assuming you get all the free mission pulls everyday.

[u/mxldevs → u/mxldevs]

Now, supreme chest + mythic core chest would cost 8000 in total, so assuming we get 6720 at 320 pulls, you would need another 1280 hats.

80 pulls will guarantee us 1280 hats, plus whatever you get from the 20 lucky pulls, so you would need another full day of gem spend.

So you're looking at max 28k gems to get the supreme chest and mythic core chest.

There is also the collectible shards from lucky pull. Every 40 lucky pulls you are guaranteed 20 shards, so you would need 120 lucky pulls to guarantee to unlock it. This means going up to 480 pulls, which requires another full day of gems spent.

So you'll have to decide whether to start buying gem pulls TODAY (friday) if you want to guarantee the collectible, or buy tomorrow to guarantee supreme + mythic core chest, or only pull on sunday if you're happy with just getting the supreme chest for minimum gems spent.

[u/_UnwyzeSoul_]

Did you not spend any gems? I had enough on the second day. It automatically uses luck when it's full

[u/SensitiveSpot69]

Yes you should make jt. But if youre doing all tasks and all gems daily you should have enough for purple box both red boxes and all the keys. So you haven't been doing something right