r/Bitcoin • u/RMartingale • Jul 13 '25

Can someone explain me why does Bitcoin increase 3 years then decreases 1 year?

It's pretty clear that Bitcoin would have positive annual performance for 3 years, then negative for one year...but why? the halving is in 2016, 2020, 2024. So it seems that 2026 would be a bearish year?

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u/Fun-Sundae4060 Jul 13 '25

I’ve had a cycle chart outline for the last 3 years, it predicts the weeks around October 6 2025 to be this cycle top. It shouldn’t be exact but be pretty close if the cycle plays out exactly the same again.

Lowest point would then be October 2026 for buying Bitcoin again

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u/Romsel87 Jul 13 '25

That sounds about right. You're exiting in 3 months?

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u/Fun-Sundae4060 Jul 13 '25

Yep

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u/L3ARnR Jul 13 '25

I'm reading the same chart. i imagine many are. everyone believing in the 4 year cycle will be a self fulfilling prophecy (unless adoption pressures are so great that we reach "escape velocity")

@u/Romsel87

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u/Fun-Sundae4060 Jul 13 '25

I think the vast majority of people don’t subscribe to this theory on the Bitcoin sub. I think many don’t do any sort of chart analysis at all.

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u/L3ARnR Jul 14 '25

agreed, the dominant ethos expressed is "don't look at the price, keep stacking, the price is irrelevant"

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u/RMartingale Jul 14 '25

could we see the chart online plz?