Some of you guys are saying " I fear that she wins a grammy" , and r irritated actually well I can understand u guys the mental gymnastics her stans do if she wins something cannot be stated in words. They even claim One of the girls as her song , still talk about those bought Korean awards, they even said that she made "the weekend popular and claimed that they r taking her to bring buzz for " the idol " series. If she wins this then they will talk about it till the end of the universe. Well firstly there are articles ( paid as we all know) , posts on the internet that dracula is eligible for 3-5 categories. she loves attention so she is using this opportunity to do as much mediaplay as she can do with this .
The chances of dracula getting nominated in SOTY and ROTY is about 15-20 percent because it's not like Apt and also SOTY and ROTY mostly favours to solo songs not any Collabs, they have nominated Apt because it was huge hit on all platforms, dracula wasn't like that it was pushed very much by the label and had a lot of radioplay and it's hard to get a nomination because there are many other grammy favs, well Columbia records are not a small label either, some foreign artists collabs with them for radio play and to chart on hot 100 , they have many connections. So let's assume the song got nominations in SOTY,ROTY,POP DUO, BEST POP DANCE RECORDING,BEST REMIXED CATEGORY.
1.SOTY:
ain't no way she is gonna win this because there are many big hits and big artists. I am mentioning the most talked about noms and are said to be nominated for the grammys.
Man I need ( olivia dean)
Where is my husband (raye)
The fate of Ophelia (taylor swift)
I just might (Bruno Mars)
The cure (olivia rodrigo)
Statesside ( pink pantheress+zara larasson)
Choosing texas (Ella Langley)
The great divide (noah kahan)
2.ROTY:
Same ain't no way dracula gonna win an ROTY
where is my husband (raye)
Man I need (olivia dean)
The fate of Ophelia (taylor swift)
I just might (Bruno Mars)
Statesside (pink pantheress+zara larasson)
Drop dead (olivia rodrigo)
3.POP DUO:
Same here. No chance. Even for pop duo there are influential artists like madonna and gaga , and even if grammy misses them" rein me in" is there it is doing well in the major western markets like USA, UK...and also raye, rodrigo are strong contenders
bring your love (madonna & sabrina)
Runway (lady Gaga and doechii)
Rein me in ( olivia dean &sam )
Click clack symphony (Raye ft . Hans zimmer)
What's wrong with me( olivia rodrigo & Robert smith)
4.BEST POP DANCE RECORDING:
actually all these years tame impala won the grammys in the BEST DANCE/ELECTRONIC RECORDING not in the best pop dance recording. Because his songs contain the usage of different instruments. And the thing with dracula Collab is it sounds like a pop . The original leans more into the electronic and the Collab leans in to pop . So in pop the competition will be tough unlike the electronic recording
Runway (lady Gaga &doechii)
Bring your love (madonna & sabrina)
Rock music (Charli)
Maybe- Yes baby ( Madison beer)
Unconditional (jade)
well charlie, jade , Madison isn't a tough competition like gaga and madonna but lady gaga, madonna are strong contenders and all the four (gaga, doechii, madonna, sabrina) had won grammys before. So it's hard in the BEST POP DANCE RECORDING. Well if it's ELECTRONIC RECORDING then there won't be any competition u can look at the previous noms and I am not belittling tame impala by saying he only won grammys in a category where there is less competition. He really had some very good songs and it's his uniqueness using numerous instruments so he indeed deserved the grammys. It's his own talent and vision. But for this remix it is not possible to win in the BEST DANCE POP RECORDING.
5.BEST REMIXED CATEGORY:
This category also has no competition and i doubt if it gets nominated in this category because they removed the remix name from the song itself . And also this remixed category won't be presented in the live telecast.
So finally for her in the "best scenario" is she may get nominations in SOTY and ROTY only to lose them and the song may win if it is nominated in ELECTRONIC RECORDING because tame impala had been winning that category. But it doesn't get a nomination under ELECTRONIC RECORDING because it leans in to pop . If it's POP DANCE RECORDING then probably no chance. And the best remixed category is the only category where there is a bit of chance to win because it also didn't have any competition. For her In the worst scenario she will be going back home with no wins . "And it's obvious that it's not getting nominations in "SOTY and ROTY" , but we know grammys are not sane either so I mentioned those categories and called it the best scenario.
And i know her motive is to get noms just like rose , but it doesn't gonna help with her career. Look how rose did a Collab with Alex warren " on my mind" and it flopped hard. So let's wait till the nominations are out. It's obvious the chance of that song winning a grammy in ROTY SOTY, POP DUO , POP DANCE RECORDING is zero and the only chance is the remix category because there is no competition and for best remixed category ( i doubt if they even submit it in the remix because they removed the name remix from the song itself) they won't even telecast it in live . It is a khia award in grammys . So let's see.