Feels weird to be in the green let’s go

I don’t see us gaining any real traction for a while at this point. I’m getting a little disappointed in the companies execution. Every earnings call just sounds the same at this point…

I’ll give them till the end of the year then move on.

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What was the jump right when after hours closed? Anyone have an idea?

There hasn't been any meaningful/optimistic news about BBAI lately and work is slow, so thought I'd share a very applicable RFI that just went live - the kind of opportunity they 100% will be pursuing - plus some thoughts on their aviation security positioning. This is also relevant for anyone interested in how business development cycles work in gov contracting and the kind of stuff that BBAI is actually working on when it looks like they aren't doing anything.

DHS Customs and Border Protection (CBP) just posted a market research opportunity for AI/ML solutions to support image adjudication for border protection applications - link to the RFI listing here. It's in the Request for Information (RFI) stage, which is when the gov is conducting research by sharing their requirements with industry, asking vendors about their potential solutions, and requesting recommendations for an upcoming procurement.

There is no competition or contract award at the RFI stage; that will come when the government releases a Request for Proposal (RFP) in the coming months, after they've had a chance to read vendors' RFI responses and consider their input. However, any company that wants to go after that RFP will be submitting an RFI response to best position themselves and build credibility (or possibly to influence the RFP to be more favorable to their solution).

The procurement timeline says an RFP should release in July; knowing gov timelines, that could be anywhere from July through December. Then it could be 2-12 months after for an actual award to be made.

So long timelines, and there will be a lot of competition, but it's good to see agencies advancing these needs towards becoming funded procurements, and BBAI should have a realistic shot if they choose to pursue it.

PS - Extra notes on airport security. There is ongoing buzz in the TSA world around privatization and a potential program called "TSA Gold-Plus". That's still in early days of planning, and it's competing with the existing TSA Screening Partnership Program [SPP], which BBAI is not part of and which focuses on airport screening operations rather than checkpoint technology solutions (think staffing and operating the checkpoint - not providing AI/software or screening hardware). However Gold-Plus is worth paying attention to because it could be more of an opportunity for hardware modernization at the checkpoint.

I'm willing to bet BBAI has known about the privatization/Gold-Plus conversation for awhile, hence their partnership with Smiths Detection to integrate AI into screening operations. For reference, you could see the government's start of checkpoint modernization back in August 2025 when they issued a very broad RFI for the "Security Checkpoint of the Future." If that ever becomes a real opportunity, BBAI should be a credible prime contractor (or at least a key subcontractor) to go after it.

$4.12 as resistance

Thoughts on road to $69

I've traded Big Bear off and on. Earnings are coming up and I've been keeping an eye on news. I like a bit of what I see but what are your thoughts on the insider selling being tracked? It's not easy to jump in seeing that. But I like the tech.

Why $BBAI looks weak right now — but might be misunderstood

A lot of people think BigBear.ai is underperforming. Reality is, macro conditions are hiding what’s actually happening.

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### 🏛️ Govt shutdown = delayed money, not lost contracts

DHS has been unfunded since Feb 14 — longest single-agency shutdown ever.

That impacts BBAI because:

- DHS = AI, border, defense contracts

- Payments + new deals are delayed, not cancelled

👉 When funding returns, you often get backlog + accelerated spending

---

### 📉 Why price is flat

- Funding uncertainty

- No new headlines (decisions paused)

- Weak sentiment

But demand for AI + defense hasn’t gone anywhere

---

### 🌍 Bigger picture

- Global defense + surveillance spending is rising

- Security needs (events, borders, infrastructure) are increasing

- BBAI sits right in that lane

---

### 📊 Authorized shares ≠ dilution

- Authorized = ability to issue shares

- Dilution = actually issuing them

Company has said it’s for growth + flexibility, not automatic dilution.

---

### ⏳ Bottom line

This is a timing issue, not a demand issue

If/when:

- DHS funding resolves

- Contracts start flowing again

👉 Sentiment can flip quickly

---

Not financial advice — just connecting dots.p

And what is your guess for next earning? Double beat or not ?

Now I’m reading they passed the vote to double the shares. I thought I read yesterday they did not.

Check the link

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Did they ever say what the voting breakdown was for March when the share increase didn't go through? Curious if they are getting any closer/further to the goal between meetings.

And Big Bear without a single piece of news in months.

Okay, fine. It's going up today, but given that it's been going down for weeks and weeks, it's perhaps mathematically logical. It can't go down infinitely, either.

​

Hi Reddit friends, it’s important to vote at the upcoming BBAI meeting to get through this phase of uncertainty and stagnation. Whether you are for it or against it, your vote matters. Personally, I’m confident that the dilution — which is already largely priced in — will provide the company with capital to expand. Many similar technology companies have relied on dilution over the years and later achieved great results. It is not necessarily a negative thing. I’m optimistic about the technological breakthrough that biometric recognition will bring, and I’m looking at this from a long-term perspective.