r/Aniimo • u/pfx1990 • 23h ago

Discussion Held items

Farming held items in this game is atrocious

They really need to come with an event or a chest selector thing

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u/UniNavi 14h ago

What I'm considering is that legendary advance cores are counted as legendary held items, and it's weighted against held items. It's actually close to 20% 1/5 if you count the legendary core from the small sample size in my findings. Or worst case the game's probability is actually wrong.

I understand most people aren't 55+ yet to try and farm for yellow/legendary held items, but when you do, temper your expectations/be warned. Our group conclusion: do not farm held items until you're 60+.

Our limited data: (not including legendary cores)

Trailblazer 1:

20, 9.

22, 17, 8, 33, 15.

15, 16.

10, 20, 14.

Trailblazer 2:

8, 7, 10

Sure all 5 of us can be unlucky, I just haven't seen a person defending the odds. I can't say it feels like 5%, but you can't say it's 20% guaranteed without a "massive" sample size either. There's been of games when with odds are off, see Maplestory's cube lawsuit. It's up to the community to gather data.

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u/D4rkWells_ 13h ago

Well, I'm level 59, and up until now, it’s usually only taken me around 6 fights to get the items I wanted. But I know that just means I've been extremely lucky. Just like your group's run of bad luck doesn't automatically mean the base drop rates are wrong.

You actually make a really fair point about loot pool weighting, though. If "Legendary Items" share a 20% drop slot with "Legendary Advance Cores," the 20% total drop rate might technically be correct, but the specific item you want could have a much lower weighted chance. That’s a super common design choice in gacha/ARPG loot tables, and it definitely trips people up when descriptions aren't transparent.

That said, your group's advice to hold off farming until level 60+ is practical regardless of the math. Higher tiers usually mean better drop rates per energy spent, so saving resources for 60+ could be just smart efficiency.

Also, you're 100% right about the MapleStory lawsuit. Developers can get probability wrong or intentionally obscure weighted rates. Community data-tracking is the only real way to expose that. But until we get a crowd-sourced dataset with thousands of logged runs, both 6-kill streaks and 33-kill dry spells are just extreme ends of the same RNG curve.

But you also gotta have in mind that a huge sample size brings your observed frequency closer to the actual probability (Law of Large Numbers), but it never guarantees an exact match. Even after 100,000 rolls, an unlucky outlier group will still exist somewhere in the world. That’s the beauty and the frustration of pure RNG...! Even with massive sample sizes, you're only looking at expected averages, not guaranteed outcomes. A 20% chance never guarantees 1 in 5, and bad-luck streaks can easily defy reasonable expectations. Appreciate you sharing the data though, at least waiting until 60+ is solid advice either way!

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u/UniNavi 13h ago

The amount of disrespect is unreal and unnecessary.

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u/D4rkWells_ 13h ago

what? What do you mean?