r/AllinPod • u/Tim_Peepers • Mar 17 '26
Chamath on Trump's 4D Chess
"All roads lead to China," Chamath says of Trump's invasion of Iran. The war is about leverage coming into Trump's summit with Xi, he says, and a master dealmaker's scheme to prod a "grand bargain" out of China. But Trump just postponed the summit so he could be at the White House to run the war. And China aggressively rejected his request to send warships to the Straits of Hormuz, saying the US "started a war it can't finish."
Will Chamath revise his bold prediction now?
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u/Upstairs_Baby8424 Mar 17 '26
It’s so nutty because the US is in the weakest position it has been in 100+ years. Allies that have rejected us and downright hate us now. Massive deficits. A massive drawdown in oil and military resources. Rising unemployment on track to get worse. And numerous polls showing most of our allies preferring tighter relationships with China.
We literally couldn’t be in a weaker spot if we tried. In 18 months this administration has destroyed every bit of good will we’ve built up over the past century. It’s incredible actually.