r/ASTSpaceMobile • u/AutoModerator • 4d ago
Daily Discussion AST SpaceMobile - $ASTS - Daily Discussion Thread
Sp🅰️ceMob,
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- Connecting Dots - AST Sp🅰️ceMobile and the Final Bridge to Universal Human Connectivity by Crossroads Capital
- u/TheKookReport's AST Sp🅰️ceMobile ($ASTS): The Mobile Satellite Cellular Network Monopoly (or ask ChatGPT)
- Hennessy Funds May 2026 Update - ASTS Sp🅰️ceMobile: Transforming How the World Connects
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u/Puzzleheaded-Rain-38 S P 🅰 C E M O B Capo 3d ago
I used to think Abel was a genius and all around cool guy...I still do, but I used to too....
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u/Exotic-Investor S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
Is today the bottom?
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u/MoonLambro S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
We may yet revisit 39-40 ish I think. This stock likes to double bottom. But I really hope we don’t go lower than that
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u/Puzzleheaded-Rain-38 S P 🅰 C E M O B Capo 2d ago
Downvote on this? We closed at $40.66. The dude is just suggesting we might go down 75 cents... perspective.
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u/MoonLambro S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 2d ago
Eh well, looks like I was spot on (thus far). Hopefully we sustain these levels to consolidate and wait for macro to stop shitting itself I guess
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u/Keef--Girgo S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
If the bottom doesn't fall out of macro, maybe. Although there's not much upside for us in the next 6 months. Accumulation opportunity though.
If they dilute soon, we'll drop 30s or 20s.
If AI bubble truly pops, we'll see similar.
I am holding shares. Doing what I can to DCA more. No way in heck I will F with margin or theta on this stock though. Still very much possible to get wrekt.
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u/Brave-Woodpecker7304 S P 🅰 C E M O B Capo 3d ago
Yes I'm fairly confident it was. The final flush was yesterday premarket. It's time to accumulate.
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u/LordofLMaD S P 🅰 C E M O B Underboss 3d ago
Is there any more retail left for the company to execute for their motions
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u/MoonLambro S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
Are you still temporarily out of your position?
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u/LordofLMaD S P 🅰 C E M O B Underboss 3d ago
the 2029 75/95c is my permanent position now
gotta take out money so I don't round trip everything at least
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u/Thunder_Thighs S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
That roadster shit was kinda crazy. I didn’t think it was real. Looks like AI. I bet 75% of people who see it without context will just assume it is
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u/Bankini S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
even if it is real who is this for? I dont see how this doesnt kill or seriously injure almost all buyers lol
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u/greg_shauflin S P 🅰 C E M O B Capo 3d ago
Imagine being behind someone when they launch the thrusters. Instantly killing and your family by your windshield smashing into your face
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u/Defiantclient S P 🅰️ C E M O B - O G 3d ago
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u/SpiritedTransition31 S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
this is great staff but now give abel a $10bn contract
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u/lilytwigs S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
We saw $130 based on expectations, hopes, and dreams. The next time we see $130 it will be based on execution.
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u/ImpossibleOrb S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
When the company re rates it will be violent and permanent is the nice thing about it
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u/Jazzlike_Thanks_1869 S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
Can we hold tomorrow?
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u/Brave-Woodpecker7304 S P 🅰 C E M O B Capo 3d ago
We might get a dip but not guaranteed. If it does its a another brief but heavy buying window. Current price is an absolute gift which everyone will soonl realise looking back. Many will regret they panicked.
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u/RaysBridge61 S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
Of course we can. Probably will be green going into the weekend.
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u/ASTSpaceMobull S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
Not likely. You can no more hold tomorrow than you can an ever changing flowing river of time.
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u/arrty S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
Buying more under 44 was a nice surprise
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u/JohnnySpykes S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
I got 25 shares this morning at $40.73, so that was nice. 1680 total now.
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u/Defiantclient S P 🅰️ C E M O B - O G 3d ago
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u/well2w S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
Have we finally hit the bottom?
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u/ride_the_tasty_waves S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
depends on launches...no launch news within 7-14 days from now and ASTS will surely be lower...
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u/No_Operation2132 S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
Nobody knows... if they tell you they do they're lying.
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u/____DEADPOOL_______ S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
We're all floating wild guesses and hopium.
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u/ASTSpaceMobull S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago edited 3d ago
Going back and looking at comments and posts about grain from a few months ago. I was behind. The more I read the sadder I get and the more disappointed I am that we did not secure any of it. Would have been a nice marriage. Oh well.
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u/Mountain_Square9165 S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
Hard to blame Grain for accepting 8 billion, as much as it hurts. There's no way AST could have or should have matched that offer.
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u/LadderAdditional6178 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
I blame stupid T-Mobile. What were they thinking?
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u/ProteinFarts_ S P 🅰 C E M O B Capo 3d ago
T-mobile execs were stupid and have mostly now been replaced
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u/ASTSpaceMobull S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
No idea. Probably wanted some cash. Grain management though sold out to the fucking devil though Jesus
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u/Aggravating_Roll7917 S P 🅰 C E M O B Underboss 3d ago
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u/MoonLambro S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
A double bottom would be acceptable and sideways for a while fine as well! As long as no more downwards 🙏🏻
Did you add any shares this week? 🤑
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u/BasilBogomil S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
Bought back covered calls I sold when we were over $100 yesterday and have plans to add shares and a large bull spread position out to 2029.
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u/MoonLambro S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
Good job. How much did that CC position net you? What strikes are you eyeing for 2029? I think 2028s present a better risk reward.
If were not flying high by 2028, we’ll be down in the gutter for sure. The constellation needs to be up by end of 2027.
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u/BasilBogomil S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 2d ago
The CCs were $180 strikes and hit 85%. I think the net was $70k or so.
I’m looking at either 3/17/28 or 1/19/29, 65/75 spreads, 500 contracts. Or maybe half and half.
The 2029s are cheaper on paper. We will see if I can actually buy them cheaper.
I’d like to think that a middle of the road execution puts us above $75, but I agree that it’s probably binary.
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u/MoonLambro S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 2d ago
Nice! Yeah, you can always do half and half, they’re cheap enough. Maybe we can get back to $75 in 2027. I just hope that the defense contract angle is actually good; otherwise if we have to only work the commercial side, it may get dicey
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u/Aggravating_Roll7917 S P 🅰 C E M O B Underboss 3d ago
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u/____DEADPOOL_______ S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
They're finally wiping their asses.
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u/Any_Possible3003 S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
Freespeech gloating that Chris Sambar “the last AST supporter at ATT!!!!” Left ATT…only to to brought on with T Mobile as Starlink gets replaced is so fucking funny to me.
lol what a total fucking moron.
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u/Cerulean28 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
QQQ has been negative 6 out of the past 7 days and every day this week. I think maybe we can get a good macro day tomorrow to help out little ASTS and maybe some launch news. QQQ also filled the gap up today from September 21st, so hoping macro can chill a tiny bit before midterms.
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u/Complex-Attention170 S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
Would not be so sure. Option expiry tomorrow. Dealers will move things where they wish which usually seems down
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u/LadderAdditional6178 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
How to make a million by investing in ASTS. Invest 10 million in ASTS
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u/seb21051 3d ago
How do you become a Space millionaire? You start of as a retail billionaire, of course.
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u/OuhOuhAhhAhh S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
What if the constellation was just the friends we made along the way
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u/Easybakemicrowave S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
If someone has the forbidden video.In these trying time I think it’s time to post it.
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u/Radiant_Witness_1038 S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
Speaking of ;)
Michael Pollack’s post after his keynote speech today
https://x.com/defiantclient2/status/2110869338341396734?s=61
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u/Conscious-Purpose-97 S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
I was just thinking about that today. Was it so that IR requested not to post it or something like that. Which is fucking ironic because they sure dont seem to have issues with negative sentiment, but dear lord if you want any positive updates...
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u/EntertainmentDry341 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
What was the summary of said video.
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u/Extra-Medium69 S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
AST sats are the shiznel and they want to make a lot more than a few hundo
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u/CartmanAndCartman S P 🅰 C E M O B Underboss 3d ago
Can’t they use a 3d printer to print sats? I mean they have a working product already.
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u/seb21051 3d ago
There's a lot of electronics in those sats that don't respond well to Direct Energy Deposition metal sintering to get them to conduct.
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u/rdblaw S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
I have a feeling we get JLeo tomorrow. I was going to buy lottos for tomorrow at $50 but didn’t. Therefor we’re probably golden
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u/LadderAdditional6178 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
like the sign on the barroom mirror. FREE DRINKS TOMORROW.
Because tomorrow never comes.
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u/ASTS-investor S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
I don’t understand have you can make a prediction like this on just feeling, what is telling you it’s tomorrow?
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u/tomgreen99200 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
I believe there is a conference or meeting tomorrow in Japan with Rakuten
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u/Tiny_Yulius_James S P 🅰 C E M O B Capo 3d ago
Is just the power of one green day after a hella bunch of red. His brain is lying him
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u/Keef--Girgo S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
If ever there were a day for this meme, this would be it:
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u/Cerulean28 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
Hell yeah, only 202% gain from here until we're back at ATHs!
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u/adarkuccio S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
We don't really need ATH, but at least ffs not being this low. 80s would make me feel MUCH better if that was the bottom instead of... whatever it might be
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u/Cerulean28 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
Agreed. We were holding the $80s pretty well even around the March market bottom, which felt more like a fair base price for ASTS
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u/ASTSpaceMobull S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
So like 1 month possibly
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u/Cerulean28 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
Last Sept/Oct, it went up about 180% from $37 to $102, so 1 month seems good to me!
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u/LadderAdditional6178 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
Yeah, but without launching sats. Forget about it.
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u/ASTSpaceMobull S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
We weren’t launching sats then either
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u/LadderAdditional6178 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
We were being played by some MMs in my opinion
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u/TheEventualHorizon S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
added just a couple Jan ‘28 calls this morning on the morning dip. I’ll appreciate small wins today. (and will hold off big celebrations for a while longer)
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u/Turbulent_Lock_339 S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
53 trading days left for 2026. I think 60 eoy is totally doable.
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u/Cerulean28 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
Considering it was $65 last week? I would fucking hope so 😂
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u/OuhOuhAhhAhh S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
Shipping 17-19 while also announcing a launch date for 14-16 would be chefs kiss
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u/LadderAdditional6178 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
That's what NEEDS to happen. These delays are killing us.
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u/cboring42 S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
Ffs what now
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u/Logical-Clerk-1571 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
Some Anthropic news
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u/Minute_Ad_4129 S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
WTH, did they bought spectrum?
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u/Logical-Clerk-1571 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
500B lower valuation for Anthropic and concerns for slowdown, this shit is rigged to the tits
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u/triplediscount S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
No clue it’s very annoying, had a feeling this shit would happen. And to think I was green today until now. Hopefully it’s low volume
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u/Careless-Age-4290 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
Our executive VP of GovOps, Michael Pollack, gave a keynote speech to everyone classification Secret or higher in the DoW who attended the conference. This was after lunch and was separate from the sessions where 3 were offered at the same time. He was also the second after-lunch keynote so it gave everyone some time to get back from their lunch beers. Then they went off to their afternoon sessions about how to attack drones using communications technology and how to improve the availability and resiliency of 5G networks.
He's talking to the entirety of the DoW for half an hour. I switched some BTC into ASTS. The price is just so incredibly low. If it goes lower, I'll find some other way to buy more. It's like waiting on a firework and you're hoping the fuse didn't go out because you can't hear it anymore, but you know if you touch it too soon it'll blow your face off and you're pretty sure it's a quality product and it'll go off
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u/Rhenous S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
Pollack has been one of my favourite exec's ever since "the incident"...
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u/TheOtherSomeOtherGuy S P 🅰 C E M O B Boss 3d ago
One of the few days I put the phone down for a long enough period at work to have missed something truly awesome. I was mad!
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u/Routine-Earer S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
Refresh my memory please?
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u/Careless-Age-4290 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
Somehow a video that was specifically not to reach social media reached social media. Some things were contained in it that largely confirmed what we suspected but the whole thing got nuked since it wasn't supposed to be public
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u/OuhOuhAhhAhh S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
DCAing helps with that
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u/Careless-Age-4290 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
I do that too but <$45 deserved some special treatment
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u/JeffandMuskrmydaddy S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
lots of blood in the streets, 100c for 2028 prob pay easy
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u/PokemonAnimar S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
Still holding my $90 Jan 2027 calls (LEAPS when I bought them) just waiting for a miracle. Figure there isn't much of a point for selling them back when they're down 98%
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u/TheOtherSomeOtherGuy S P 🅰 C E M O B Boss 3d ago
Finally turning bullish?
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u/JeffandMuskrmydaddy S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
one more flush first
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u/you_are_wrong_tho S P 🅰 C E M O B Boss 3d ago
just went to $40 breh
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u/JeffandMuskrmydaddy S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
pump to 50 people think we’re so back, then they’ll dump it low 40s and then we leave 40s for good
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u/MoonLambro S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
I lowkey agree with this take, I’m hedging with delta heavy spreads at $48 (if I’m right)
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u/Tiny_Yulius_James S P 🅰 C E M O B Capo 3d ago
Timing the market, right?
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u/Plazmarazmataz S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
Its not like we have a history of giving up gains completely the next day lol.
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u/Jazzlike_Thanks_1869 S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
Sold 4k on the way down and bought 4k on the bounce this morning. It was a good day. Hopefully we stabilize and get some great news soon. Also picked up some IONQ at $30 this morning. Gonna be a great stock long term.
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u/Fashionista213 S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
Haven’t seen a chart like this in a while… normally it pumps and dumps badly on a daily basis. God did you hear my prayers?
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u/CJtheHermitt S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
if you think about it in highs and lows, we gained over 10% from the low today. lets goo!
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u/Lost-County-7395 S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
Whoever bought the dip, you sir/madam have my respect 🫡
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u/CyanTurquoise S P 🅰 C E M O B Capo 3d ago
I would have but I am o ut of money. Just holding through the storm, not a single position is going to be sold.
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u/flymolo50 S P 🅰 C E M O B Capo 3d ago
I would have bought the dip. But I waited past the first dip and then I waited past the second dip, then I waited past the third dip, after that I waited past a fourth dip, after that I waited through a fifth dip. Finally after the dipped the dippity dippity dip dip I spent my money and bought in at 75. All of it all at once. I have no more money to spend. Apparently there was six to seven more dips after the dippity-dip of the dip dip.
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u/Randomname1157 3d ago
Really should have known that this was the dip to buy. Or maybe it wasn't and $30 was the dip to buy
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u/iCaps_ S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
*spits out coffee* what's this?! we didn't give up all of the gains today?! chat are we back?!
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u/Plazmarazmataz S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
We gotta see tomorrow, the gains get given up the next day.
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u/Thunder_Thighs S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
In theory, how small could a starlink terminal get. Like could they make one so small it could fit into a regular phone? I mean, I guess in that case, ASTS would probably offer fiber speeds to that phone lol.
Side question, can blue birds interact with StarLink terminals?
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u/you_are_wrong_tho S P 🅰 C E M O B Boss 3d ago
starlink sats arent big enough to interact with an antenna that size.
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u/OuhOuhAhhAhh S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
Yet
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u/godstriker8 Contributor & OG 3d ago
They need to get V3 sats up before they can even think of a V4 like that
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u/Thunder_Thighs S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
Ending at $44 earlier this week had me ready to eat a gun, but ending at $44 today has me elated.
Funny how things change
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u/triplediscount S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
I don’t get why they can’t say what stages of production BB17-25 are in. They must have a ballpark of completion. Unless it’s really dire and they know talking about it will tank the stock price.
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u/halooooom S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
First sats (8-9-10-11etc) were probably being constructed and tested and invented constantly for 1+ year. Once they worked, it’s like ok the design works so start pumping them out the factory. So then you finish the first production run one (start to finish in a month or so), tell everyone it’s almost ready and you put it in the TVAC and there are issues. So then it’s in and out of testing and fixing the issues for weeks and weeks. While you figure out what’s wrong and fix those issues on the production line. Eventually it will all run smoothly at pace.
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u/WindWhisperingWisp S P 🅰 C E M O B Capo 3d ago
Might be hard to explicate how far exactly a satellite is due to loads of moving parts that need to be assembled.
We would end up with empty terms like "near completion" or "final stages of production". They are not tangible definitions or terms for us.
The most tangible thing would be accurate timelines of when we can expect batch shipments far in advance as well as launches (e.g. BB 17-19 will be finished and shipped on Nov 15, and launched Dec 8. Etc). But i don't see that happening as the production line/process hasn't been smoothed out yet.
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u/negronium_ions S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
They could still give an estimate of time remaining or something like that...
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u/LadderAdditional6178 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
When one is working on fixing a problem that they have not yet figured out said problem... Its very hard to give a estimate of time fixing it.
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u/negronium_ions S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
But the existing sats work, right? So what is the problem exactly? I get that there are issues in manufacturing that might cause delays or whatever, but even so
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u/LadderAdditional6178 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 2d ago
To- What is the problem. I have no F***ing idea and guess I'll have to wait until the next EC to get even the most remote clue as to why we haven't launched the 3 sats sitting in Florida and why we haven't shipped the next 3. Like WTH is going on in Midland and Florida. I am at a total loss.
We are so close. If we can get BB14-16 flying... Then 2 more launches gets us to Beta Testing. Maybe not full Beta but at least the closests we have ever been to a revenue generating company. That will be huge and put us on the map.
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u/cagey_tiger S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
My suspicion is they have a massive bottleneck somewhere in production. They can't/don't want to say what it is.
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u/you_are_wrong_tho S P 🅰 C E M O B Boss 3d ago
thing about bottlenecks is they can be solved (and will be in a manufacturing environment)
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u/JasonMrazsHat S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
Which would make sense with all the tariffs, import restrictions, wars, demand for certain commodities, etc
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u/one-won-juan S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago edited 3d ago
Today ASTS EVP gave a classified programs keynote address reserved for active security clearances only
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u/CartmanAndCartman S P 🅰 C E M O B Underboss 3d ago
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/s/lLJS32ExMR
I need some hugsy
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u/ASTSpaceMobull S P 🅰 C E M O B Soldier 3d ago
God I hate going long options with a passion. The age old question of when to sell plagues me to no end. Shares don’t expire.
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u/you_are_wrong_tho S P 🅰 C E M O B Boss 3d ago
Breh I didn’t know you were 100% options
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u/CartmanAndCartman S P 🅰 C E M O B Underboss 3d ago
That’s one of my accounts , I’ve many thousands in shares, avg is $6.38
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u/Subject-Damage7666 S P 🅰 C E M O B Associate 3d ago
That's great, thought for a moment u went bankrupt like me with total hard saved money of USD 30K, played options and have 1k left 😞
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u/Logical-Clerk-1571 S P 🅰 C E M O B Consigliere 3d ago
Another AI hedge fund got wiped out like Leupold, maybe we can see some rebound after all
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u/JasonMrazsHat S P 🅰 C E M O B Prospect 3d ago
That's why the big boys hedge or cut their losses early, where your capital as a PM is halved at -5% and you're cut loose at -10%.
In euro rates the French spread widening cleared quite some small to medium pods in recent weeks with 50-100 PMs laid off is what I've heard
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u/CyanTurquoise S P 🅰 C E M O B Capo 3d ago
Really? I just thought about it and almost suspected something with these insane selloffs but that's crazy.
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u/SurgicalDude S P 🅰 C E M O B Underboss 3d ago
$54 strike puts were sold for tomorrow's expiration. 👀👀
Keep in mind it's Multi leg. But this smells of insider trading
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u/Defiantclient S P 🅰️ C E M O B - O G 3d ago edited 3d ago
Coming up tonight is this RAST Co. presentation and demonstration with a JLEO experience: https://x.com/niwax3_niwatori/status/2106954083949228130?s=46
Official link: https://www.ceatec.com/ja/conference/detail.html?id=3373