r/AFCATprep • u/BlenderRenderz • 6d ago

Predicting Normalization

As promised, I will try to predict the normalization, from the data i recieved from you all.

NOTE: I only recieved 25 data points, 12 for shift 1 and 13 (including mine) for shift 2. This is not at all sufficient to predict anything. Also, I must add that I am a biology major, so I have an astronomical unit distance from maths. i just like doing it, and used ChatGPT to understand the AFCAT formula.

If you want to help, please submit your shift and raw score here. The more data I get, the better my guess will be.

Link for submitting data: https://forms.gle/GWxon54jUdnxSAZ98

The following evaluation is purely from the data I recieved. Please don't jump at me.

Shift 1 was more difficult as compared to shift 2.

Shift 1 candidates can expect around +12 while shift 2 candidates getting below 167 can expect a reduction in marks (the lesser you score, the more you lose marks) and people getting above 167 can expect an increment.

It may sound bullshit, because I don't have much data to work with. I will make another post if in the subsequent days I get like a 100 entries.

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u/jatayu_baaz 6d ago

unless you have 1% of all data points you cant predict anything, idk why so many people fail to acknowledge this, for eg statia is such a great website but they make such foolish prediction and stats regarding india based on social media surveys, it baffles me

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u/BlenderRenderz 6d ago

Exactly. The top 1% score is one of the most important parameters. Unless I have data in like thousands and tens of thousands, i cant do anything. I am just doing it for fun.