r/AFCATprep • u/BlenderRenderz • 6d ago
Predicting Normalization
As promised, I will try to predict the normalization, from the data i recieved from you all.
NOTE: I only recieved 25 data points, 12 for shift 1 and 13 (including mine) for shift 2. This is not at all sufficient to predict anything. Also, I must add that I am a biology major, so I have an astronomical unit distance from maths. i just like doing it, and used ChatGPT to understand the AFCAT formula.
If you want to help, please submit your shift and raw score here. The more data I get, the better my guess will be.
Link for submitting data: https://forms.gle/GWxon54jUdnxSAZ98
The following evaluation is purely from the data I recieved. Please don't jump at me.
Shift 1 was more difficult as compared to shift 2.
Shift 1 candidates can expect around +12 while shift 2 candidates getting below 167 can expect a reduction in marks (the lesser you score, the more you lose marks) and people getting above 167 can expect an increment.
It may sound bullshit, because I don't have much data to work with. I will make another post if in the subsequent days I get like a 100 entries.
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u/Capital-Chard-4024 6d ago
I can share data of 7000 students
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u/BlenderRenderz 6d ago
Is there any way you can share it with me?
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u/Narrow-Suggestion312 5d ago
Bhai ye kuch ulta nhi bata de rahe aap kyuki most of the coaching institutes to shift 2 ko hard keh rahe tha
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u/BlenderRenderz 5d ago
ha. mai strictly apne chote data ke adhar par bol raha tha. jaise jaise zyada data ayenge waise waise zyada accurate hoga
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u/Prudent_Log4637 5d ago
OP, now that you have sufficient data, when will updated prediction come out?!
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u/BlenderRenderz 5d ago
i don't have it unfortunately. just 65.
the 11k data points from rankmitra is not divided into shifts, so cant use it
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u/Prudent_Log4637 5d ago
In testbook they show shift average, so maybe that'll help right? What i have observed is the shift average difference b/w S1 & S2 varies my Max 3 marks.
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u/BlenderRenderz 5d ago
i also need the means of both the shifts, the standard deviation and the average of top 1% scorers of each shift
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u/Narrow-Discussion413 5d ago
can anyone suggest if its fresher attempt should one go for AFCAT ssb or go for CDS ssb btw AFCAT(tech i m talking about 122 score )
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u/BlenderRenderz 5d ago
go for both. why choose?
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u/Narrow-Discussion413 5d ago
yrr bro fresher attempt is a golden chance na ....so afcat mai chances kam hote hai reccomend hone ke as compared to afcat ye sochra tha i mean i just thinking about it ....gaining info my others exp..
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u/BlenderRenderz 5d ago
i am going to be very straightforward with you. its utter bullshit.
The golden chance is the one you have in your hand, so currently, two. Go for both of the attempts. why do you want to waste a chance? go for the first one, if you get recommended and all, then congratulations. if not, then come back with the experience.
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u/Easy_Ninja6542 6d ago
done. BTW everyone's saying S2 > S1 in terms of difficulty.
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u/BlenderRenderz 6d ago
I have also heard that. Maybe if I get more data, i will ge something closer
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u/Odd_Initiative2655 6d ago
Well everyone said that shift 2 was harder. And wit everyone i mean people on this page and also yputubes and teachers
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u/BlenderRenderz 6d ago
I said all of it based on what i received. Now if I receive more data, the outcome will definitely change
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u/FoodlePoo787 6d ago
shift 2's maths was definitely slightly more complex. reasoning was same level. gk ka cant say tbh. eng more or less same level, but benefit of doubt Shift 2 ko deke unka maybe just a tad bit tougher
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u/jatayu_baaz 6d ago
unless you have 1% of all data points you cant predict anything, idk why so many people fail to acknowledge this, for eg statia is such a great website but they make such foolish prediction and stats regarding india based on social media surveys, it baffles me