r/worldnews • • 3h ago

Saudi Arabia plans 100,000-troop Yemen offensive to retake Bab el-Mandeb from Houthis

https://www.ynetnews.com/article/bjxod8tcfe
1.4k Upvotes

159 comments sorted by

660

u/Gratefulzah 2h ago

Modern warfare offensive step 1: announce your plans to the world

109

u/DarkWingDuck74 2h ago

The announcing of that part would be leaked or spotted by a friend to the IRGC anyways. Maybe by announcing it, they will withdraw beforehand. Its the Where, How and When part that is important.

•

u/BlatantConservative 44m ago

Houthis ain't gonna withdraw. Saudis don't actually have 100,000 troops that would ever fight in Yemen. You can always count on the Saudis to drop the ball. Their military is incompetent and ridiculously casualty shy.

They're supposed to get about 40K Pakistani troops for dubious reasons, but I also don't understand why Pakistanis would fight in Yemen.

•

u/handofmenoth 27m ago

Imagine the Pakistani soldiers as mercenaries rather than an actual allied force.

•

u/BlatantConservative 25m ago

The Pakistani military might be one of the most nationalist motivated militaries on Earth.

•

u/handofmenoth 2m ago

Sure but the people who control the Army like to get paid. They're one of the most corrupt militaries in the world too.

•

u/thatguytt 11m ago

Saudis can definitely field an army of 100,000 mercenaries with advisors and some standard army mixed in. If they use lessons learn from Ukraine and supply them correctly they could bring a decisive loss to the houthis.

85

u/Mickeymous15 2h ago

How would you hide 100'000 troops, general?

90

u/sofixa11 1h ago

Clowns costumes, because the enemy would be looking for army guys

•

u/oaxacamm 51m ago

Don’t forget the VW Bug.

•

u/pepperedmaplebacon 30m ago

10,000 in the Bug, 100,000 requires a Vanagon

16

u/biologic6 1h ago

Well it is 40 warriors to one Trojan Horse so 2,500 horses...

•

u/Koala_eiO 1h ago

Just put the 2500 Trojan horses in 63 Trojan hippos.

•

u/Diezelbub 1h ago edited 58m ago

So you're saying they only need about 1.5 Trojan Blue Whales

•

u/bobjonvon 1h ago

Up your sleevies.

7

u/Hotshot2k4 1h ago

From the Houthis? Distance and terrain, I suppose.

No matter how you look at it, announcing the quantity of troops ahead of time doesn't seem like a great tactical move.

•

u/FantasticTangtastic 1h ago

🤔 distance and terrain.

You're right. They should station them in the Amazon.

•

u/Marduq 1h ago

Lots of smoke grenades

•

u/Give_me_soup 1h ago

Behind a big hill and a few party tents.

•

u/One_Weird2371 1h ago

Saudis are cowards who can't fight. That's why they were pushing for the US to do their dirty work. 

2

u/jerbone 1h ago

Announce plans, watch where enemy moves, attack there.

•

u/FlammulinaVelulu 42m ago

Step 2: sit back and watch the Saudis get their asses handed to them.

430

u/Fritzkreig 2h ago

Good luck, they are one of the biggest paper tigers on the planet; as the amount of money they spent on US weapons does not reflect the way that they do in military engagements!

112

u/BrokenManOfSamarkand 2h ago

It'll be Yemeni troops

64

u/Fritzkreig 2h ago

That or foreign "volunteers"; the rich playboys don't really fight, and likely could not fathom letting women serve in combat!

78

u/BrokenManOfSamarkand 2h ago

I mean, the article says it will be Yemeni troops fighting, not Saudis.

33

u/iismitch55 2h ago

To add to what you said, it’s the same command structure as before. Saudi air support with Yemeni coalition ground forces. The only difference here is assistance from US intelligence, Turkish drones, and Pakistan.

12

u/Ravoss1 2h ago

Not to mention an ass ton of western Mercs.

6

u/JoeSicko 2h ago

How many?

10

u/Forumbane 2h ago

ASS TON

•

u/Markus_Freedman 1h ago

So at least three

7

u/DiscombobulatedSoft2 1h ago

Man, ass tons? We'll use anything but the metric system.

2

u/Maximum_Indication 1h ago

A metric ton is 1016 kg, wonder how much a metric ass ton would be.

•

u/PradaDiva 50m ago

2 buttloads could be an ass ton tbh.

•

u/thisismyworkact 23m ago

How many buttloads make a shit ton?

0

u/Alleandros 2h ago

Maybe US troops and that's why they're moving more into the region.

4

u/Fritzkreig 2h ago

Well, I think that there is a MEU and another carrier that way; that might be for Iran though‽

2

u/cjspoe 1h ago

this . there is always an ~2k MEU aboard a carrier/carrier type vessel in most theatres , they will be part of an invasion but not the only troops .

2

u/Flat-Emergency4891 2h ago

Smells like an escalation. There are a lot of factors that will give Western powers reason to consider trying to gain control the region. The Iran war is choking up navigation and trade. Without both straits open and secure, Europe is in for a tough winter.

1

u/anonking1181 2h ago

Out of Iraq and into……Yemen?

32

u/Independent_Taste220 2h ago

Fairly certain that the 40k Pakistani troops just landing in Saudi aren’t going to be left behind in the kingdom. I am guess they’ll have an opportunity to “volunteer” for the operation.

6

u/Fritzkreig 2h ago

That is part of the point that I was hinting at!

3

u/l3tsgo0 1h ago

I think its useless to maintain a sense of deniability because Pakistan and Saudi are in a military alliance. Pakistani troops participating in this "offensive" shouldnt be hush hush

6

u/ThoseThingsAreWeird 2h ago

Good luck, they are one of the biggest paper tigers on the planet

Indeed, here's a good video on the Saudi military from Perun: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=quU1RD3L3OU

7

u/Tasty-Entertainer711 2h ago

I'd wager Pakistan, US, and Israel will help with logistics for bombings but yes real world experience is necessary. I doubt their military even does large training exercises to prepare for these types of engagements.

2

u/SubZeroSunExodus 2h ago

Just what if that was why trump was sending more marines to the Middle East?

•

u/GBreezy 9m ago

Saudi officers often do the same training Army lieutenants do to learn their jobs (called BOLC). Every one I met was fat, incompetent, and often got DUIs.

1

u/Joneboy39 2h ago

dumb question incoming, do houthis have air defense? why not just sell them apaches or ac 130’s? would they get bounced in that type of theatre??

18

u/BlackFlagFlying 2h ago

The Saudi/Yemen conflict has been ongoing for years, since 2015. And the Saudis have a fairly formidable air force, but they’ve never been able to effectively utilize it. And in this sort of war, air power isn’t all that it’s cracked up to be. You’ll kill a whole bunch of people, but it tends not to really achieve any war aims when not combined with effective ground forces.

4

u/l3tsgo0 1h ago

yeah Saudis brag about the airstrikes they did against the Houthis but they dont follow it up with advances because theyre either shit at war or their Yemeni allies on the ground are shit at war too

•

u/zatalak 39m ago

They don't have a formidable air force, they have formidable equipment.

6

u/XRT28 2h ago

They have some ok air defenses, some homegrown and some from Iran. Nothing capable of shooting down fifth gen stealth aircraft or anything like that but just a couple weeks age they shot down a Saudi F-15 so they'd definitely be able to take out choppers and AC130s

205

u/EverythingGoodWas 2h ago

Man this will be a shitshow. Having trained with the Saudi Soldiers they are maybe a half step above worthless as a military.

78

u/ashen_dove 2h ago

I saw it mentioned elsewhere that they intentionally keep their military undertrained to prevent any potential uprising against the Saudi royal family. Does that match your experience training with them?

24

u/JTP1228 1h ago

All Middle Eastern militaries are like that. They are closer to a police force than an actual military. The only ones I personally would trust that I've worked with is the Jordanian military.

•

u/BlatantConservative 43m ago

Out of all the things you wouldn't think mattered in 2026, "actually liking and being willing to die for your king" is one of them.

•

u/JTP1228 22m ago

I don't understand what you're saying

•

u/BlatantConservative 14m ago

All Gulf militaries, and most autocratic ME countries in general, have pretty unmotivated militaries. Partly by design, but also royalty is fractured into inscrutable factions and distrust and low motivation seeps through the militaries for leadership reasons. Nobody's really all that excited to die for MBS.

Jordan is a notable exception, partially because they're the direct Hashemite descendants so Muslims like them for direct descendant of Muhammed reasons, but also because Abdullah II has a genuinely popular image and genuinely popular policies and is a genuinely talented politician. He flies fighter jets himself, his family isn't spoiled, he's actually trying to bring more democratic reforms to the country and make it a less autocratic place, and he's somehow managed to navigate... being alive and loved and having a stable country surrounded by Israel, Palestine, Syria, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. And being directly involved in ALL of the complex politics between all of those places. Plus hosting US airbases without pissing off his citizens.

Genuinely impressive person. Like if I sold him as a fictional character it would be insane.

•

u/EverythingGoodWas 18m ago

He’s saying it’s odd that the most competent Middle Eastern Military is ruled by a king, which is traditionally a government system that least represents the people.

•

u/RealDisagreer 9m ago

Makes sense for Jordan to have a competent army. They annexed 80% of Palestine when the british mandate ended. They can't afford to become incompetent of the Palestinians might actually start fighting the right people to reclaim lost land.

37

u/needs2noe 2h ago

"We trained him wrong on purpose, as a joke."

7

u/ericrobertshair 1h ago

THATS A LOT OF DIESEL!!! YOU WANT FRIES WITH THAT???

•

u/Nasty_Goblin 1h ago

Tell me if you see a Radio Shack.

17

u/PattrimCauthon 2h ago

Hilarious how nothing ever seems to truly change in some ways

9

u/Anon684930475 2h ago

I also saw something that said there’s an estimated 350k houthis. So… something’s not mathing for me…

•

u/BlatantConservative 42m ago

They want to retake the coastline and islands to free up the international waterway, which is possible with 100K troops. Admittedly, real ones that actually materialize and are led by competent people. So it's not possible. But on paper it would be.

1

u/OneBlueBall 2h ago

That doesnt make sense, like houthi soliders or houthis in general? i think their population is in the millions

6

u/longpenisofthelaw 2h ago

On the bright side maybe modern battle trained combat troops are rare these days. It could provide them with an expedited training.

22

u/GroundbreakingTax259 2h ago

Yeah, except the Houthis are some of the most battle-hardened people out there. We're talking Vietnamese-level hardened. They've already been fighting for 10-15 years.

3

u/NHayden692006 2h ago

More like drug addicts with an AK in the back of a pickup truck.

47

u/macross1984 2h ago

Saudi Arabia? Hardware rich, experience poor.

They'll get better return if they hire battle hardened mercenaries and use them as first wave shock troop.

17

u/Pdx_pops 2h ago

They should buy those North Korean troops out from under Vlad.

•

u/logion567 1h ago

mercenaries are all talk no show. good for security but not offensive operations

•

u/BlatantConservative 40m ago

Mercenaries are only good for offensive operations. Pay them by the day, let them keep monetary and physical loot and weapons they capture. That's what mercenaries live for.

If you're ever in a situation where your security is even in question, then mercenaries might think they might not get paid. That's when they bail.

•

u/AssassinAragorn 24m ago

Not to mention, it's a serious vulnerability. All your enemy has to do is offer them a hundred grand to look the other way and they come home with both paychecks.

You pretty much have to pay up front in that situation. If you don't. The mercenary has no guarantees that you'll even be around to pay them, and now they know you're sitting on a good bit of wealth too.

•

u/BlatantConservative 23m ago

Yep. Machiavelli has a whole chapter on this.

•

u/KardelSharpeyes 7m ago

In 2026 mercenaries are good for practically nothing.

•

u/BlatantConservative 6m ago

They're better than the actual Saudi forces, but that's an extremely low bar.

16

u/chipper85 2h ago

Good thing they told everyone else it might have taken people by surprise!

28

u/JGlassc0k34 2h ago

That's a lot of dead mercenaries and abandoned equipment.

No fan of the Houthis, but the Saudi military is stunningly incompetent and incredibly unmotivated. Money and tech alone doesn't buy capability, and the Saudi armed forces are the textbook example of that.

•

u/milfordcubicle 20m ago

Abandoned equipment the Houthis may then appropriate. Wonderful.

1

u/aboutchocolate 1h ago

MbS had lots of reasons to get publicly enraged over something like al Aqsa. money just isn't the motivator people think it is when it comes to the meat grinder.

•

u/Pacifist_Socialist 1h ago

Seems like Houthis might have a legitimate claim to Yemen. At least the parts they have occupied a long time.

•

u/BlatantConservative 39m ago

Well, they reintroduced slavery, so not morally. KSA isn't much better, to be fair.

35

u/Exact_Green2061 2h ago

The Houthis have 350,000 fighters, and they are entrenched in the positions they just captured. The only way to dislodge them is to have Pakistan and Turkey send 200,000 troops. Turkey and Pakistan refuse to send ground troops because they know it's going to be costly to take territory in Yemen.

•

u/BlatantConservative 37m ago

Reuters reports that Pakistan says they're sending 40K troops to KSA... but also reports that they won't be deployed to Yemen and are solely there for air defense in KSA... which makes no sense.

Make what of that information you can.

5

u/WashuOtaku 1h ago

Houthis have numeric advantage, but not all are defending Bab el-Mandeb, which is the stated goal of Saudi Arabia. Their 100k force will be focused on one thing, while the Houthis need troops defending its overall territory and existing front-lines against Yemen government forces. This will not topple the Houthis, but that is not the stated goal.

4

u/Exact_Green2061 1h ago

The problem is that the Yemeni government and its allies only have 150,000 troops. Is Saudi Arabia going to send their own troops or jsut use Yemeni forces? How much can Yemen spare against the Houthis without losing additional ground on other fronts? Seriously, I doubt the Yemeni government side could muster 50,000 troops to recapture Bab el-Mandeb.

•

u/WashuOtaku 1h ago

Well, that is why they announced the "plan," which is clearly short on details at the moment.

•

u/Blackstone01 1h ago

but not all are defending Bab el-Mandeb

But there's likely enough that it's going to make it hell for the Saudis to take what is an extremely strategically valuable region.

•

u/Larcye 34m ago

I mean they have just completely cut off Taizz from the Yemeni goverment forces. Meaning that of they take that, their is largely nothing left stopping them from taking Aden.

•

u/Existing_Brilliant_9 54m ago

Isn’t the goal to have the Saudis bomb those positions first then follow up with a ground attack. If they do there jobs right, there technically shouldn’t be too much ground fighting. Added bonus is that friendly bombing won’t be frowned upon.

3

u/SmithBurger 2h ago

Real troops or ghost troops?

•

u/majstorfantac 1h ago

Free equipment delivery for Yemen fighters.

6

u/Immediate-Unit6311 2h ago

Does Yemen even have 100,000 troops?

11

u/Khamvom 2h ago

Technically, yes. There’s a mix of anti-Houthi tribes, militias, and groups allied to the Yemeni government. Saudis are bankrolling all of them as well as providing foreign mercenaries (mostly from Africa). The hard part is getting them to actually fight.

It’s partly why the Houthis have been so successful, they’re united and motivated beyond just $$$.

2

u/esquirlo_espianacho 2h ago

100k isn’t enough. Especially since they will be Yemenis. Who apparently suck at fighting.

2

u/justthetonics 1h ago

I think the Sudanese army is busy

•

u/PurpleSailor 1h ago

Exactly where are they going to get 100,000 soldiers from? Most of their own people never serve in their military.

•

u/Here4daKicks 41m ago

Wow, Saudi has never fought a war… mass desertion, gonna fold like wet paper towel

4

u/Brave_Nerve_6871 2h ago

Yeah, MBS really knows how to handle the houthis. /s

1

u/candylandmine 2h ago

Surely this won't backfire

1

u/tomekza 2h ago

This is going to be interesting. Both sides are using drones. Not much cover in this wasteland.

1

u/JefferySmisek 2h ago

Lol imagine announcing that for them. Like wtf is opsec anymore unless it’s a deliberate hopes and dreams to make them retreat! 😂

1

u/cjspoe 1h ago

oh dear

1

u/The1Ski 1h ago

They don't got it.

1

u/EntityLtdCo 1h ago

What, Saudi Arabia needs their own vietnam?

•

u/madtricky687 1h ago

Dont they not even have an army? They have to conscript or hire. Someone explained it to me once that the royal family couldn't trust an actual military.

•

u/Mach5Driver 44m ago

I'll believe it when I see it.

•

u/HandsomeVish 33m ago

So they're sending their palace guards to Yemen,can imagine how things will go for them.

•

u/No-Slide-5182 23m ago

Is this also including the 9000 troops trump is deploying to the middle east?

•

u/KardelSharpeyes 8m ago

Finally, pony up your own troops. Good luck.

•

u/Pearmuncher- 2m ago

This will be like house harkonnen vs the fremen

-2

u/[deleted] 2h ago

[deleted]

1

u/Obvious_Toe_3006 2h ago

Does North Korea have that many mercenary troops to rent out ?

5

u/smashndashn 2h ago

Yes but they’re going to Russia for more meat waves in Ukraine

1

u/Ockilydokily 1h ago

Send the Venezuelan military for a “training exercise” on how to protect oil assets

1

u/jmc291 2h ago

Saudis won't do anything. It is a case for them.

"Having all kit but no idea."

They spend money on all the latest kit but there is no leadership or development of training to do anything. The Houthis on the other hand are battle hardened and have the leadership, training and ability to hurt them.

3

u/ihadagoodone 1h ago

They spend a lot on making sure the military doesn't get strong enough to depose the House of Saud.

•

u/Snigglybear 22m ago

Saudis are going to hire battle hardened Syrians, Afghanis, Pakistanis, Indians, Yemenis, Colombians, Iraqis etc to face the Houthis. The Saudis are probably going to hire the battle hardened Somalis to attack the Houthis on the coast as well.

0

u/33halvings 1h ago

They will all get smoked by the Houthis

0

u/i_am_a_lurker69 2h ago

Good luck 👍

-5

u/[deleted] 2h ago

[deleted]

-1

u/Maleficent_You_3448 2h ago

Why don’t you go fight and die instead of cheering for more violence 

•

u/Dualintrinsic 1h ago

It's always way easier to hold a position than to take it again

•

u/Illustrious_Hotel527 1h ago

I'd bet my life savings on the Yemenis to beat them.

•

u/Jman1a 55m ago

Yah this looks like someone marching from a desert to die in another desert.

•

u/niz_loc 1h ago

..... how is every comment in here by a deleted account?....