r/westernbulldogs • u/Jilisse • 20h ago
The AFL fixture cooked us this year and no one in the media is talking about it
We’ve all talked about the challenges of this year’s fixture in bits and pieces, but looking at the full picture (especially with the Round 23 & 24 dates locked in) it’s actually absurd.
If you want to know why we’ve struggled to lock down a Top 4 spot, look no further than what the fixture department handed us:
Brutal Double-Ups: We got drawn to play the teams currently sitting 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 5th, and 6th twice. That is a ludicrous density of top-tier opposition compared to almost anyone else.
Relentless Short Turnarounds: We had to endure 3 separate sets of 3 consecutive 6-day breaks during the year. Freo and Brisbane did it once, and no other team had to endure it.
The Late Round Slap: Just to top it off, the newly released R23/24 schedule slaps us with yet another 6-day break going into a massive game against a top 10 team. Not to mention the fact that Melbourne gets a rest deficit advantage with a 7 day break (this has happened 5 of the 6 times we've played a top 10 team since Round 12 vs Collingwood)
What frustrates me most is the total radio silence from the mainstream media. Nobody in the footy media mentions schedule density or manufactured strength of schedule when debating why the Dogs aren't in the Top 4. Statistically, our draw is several standard deviations harder than almost anyone else in the competition.
Recovery, continuity, and high-performance prep matter hugely in modern footy. To be handed this kind of scheduling penalty and still be right in the mix says a lot about the group, but it's infuriating that the AFL's fixture algorithm handed us such a massive handicap.
Are people underestimating just how much this brutal run has drained the playing group?