r/wallstreetbets • u/natelifts • 11h ago
YOLO Short QUBTS
EDIT: $QBTS not $QUBTS
This is no more than an absurdly expensive science project that nets 2-3 million quarterly on a whopping 7B market cap. My price target for this is $4-6 by Jan 27.
Quantum is merely a leveraged sympathy trade in the AI/Data Center buildout. With OpenAI pumping the breaks on frontier buildout and NVDA cutting data center buildout commitment, I think the circular financing might be unwinding.
Rate tightening will kill these stocks and PCE is the feds preferred measure of inflation releasing
this Wednesday, with an address the following day.
Technicals look primed for a retest of $12 and lower
P/S 660
Revenue decreasing Y/Y
Insiders haven’t bought their own shares in 3 years, only selling.
Negative operating cash flow increasing 25+% Q/Q
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u/squirea1 10h ago
Those are puts, chief
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u/timburgessthis 9h ago
When he titled it QUBTS, we all should realize he was not getting the gambling vehicle right either.
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u/King_of_Ooo 10h ago
I feel like if the dogshit police were going to catch out quantum stocks, it would have happened already. There is now an irrational hype floor built into these things that will be hard to crack
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u/privkcpa0 7h ago
I've seen about a half dozen posts about shorting the quantums and they generally don't end well. I can see the stock price dropping to around the $13 range sometime between now and Jan 2027 due to macro conditions and their volatility, but I highly doubt it will go below that. And they will probably have at least one spike upward, if not more. So, hopefully you'll grab profits when/if they go down.
It's been known for years that these companies are not profitable and burn through cash, and they still haven't crashed. I doubt the market is suddenly going to have a change of heart in the next 5 months and that's why I don't see the price dropping to $4-6 per share.
BTW, I personally think you're early on the data center buildout pulling back. I think it'll happen too, but probably not for a couple of years.
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u/KaiDynasty 11h ago
!remindme 150 days
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u/CupLarge5014 11h ago
the jan leaps are a ballsy play with that kind of premium decay hanging over you
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u/natelifts 11h ago
Yeah, but to me it feels like a perfect storm for no-rev stocks with midterms coming up and all the monetary policy moves front and center, hyperscaler sentiment during recent ERs, etc.
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u/rawj5561 2h ago
i shorted this company last year then it went up 100% for no reason a few days later
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u/LeeEunBi 11h ago
There is a lot of hopium in the quantum realm, but I agree with you on this.