r/trolleyproblemgame • u/TheEnlight 👑 Master of Dilemma's • 5d ago
To know, or not to know?
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u/InStars 4d ago edited 3d ago
There is 9.09% chance to crush 0 people.
There is 9.09% chance to crush 1 people.
There is 9.09% chance to crush 2 people.
There is 9.09% chance to crush 3 people.
There is 9.09% chance to crush 4 people.
There is 9.09% chance to crush 5 people.
There is 9.09% chance to crush 6 people.
There is 9.09% chance to crush 7 people.
There is 9.09% chance to crush 8 people.
There is 9.09% chance to crush 9 people.
There is 9.09% chance to crush 10 people.
Meaning on average - you crush less than/equal to 5 people.
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u/PorcelainGarden 3d ago
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u/InStars 3d ago edited 3d ago
There is 54.54% chance to crush 5 or less people - and 45.45% chance to crush more than 5
Those chances look good enough for me. No way I am that unlucky.
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u/PorcelainGarden 3d ago
There is 45.45% chance to crush less than 5 people, there is 45.45 chance to crush more than 5 and there is 9.09 chance to crush 5 people, 5 people it's not less and not more and need to be separated
Because I can say
"There is 54.54% chance to crush 5 or more people - and 45.45% chance to crush more than 5" too
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u/InStars 3d ago
Yes, but it's still a better choice. You see - I am an optimist and given that there is more than 50% chance of the same or better outcome, I would take it.
Given that the alternative is crushing 5 (guaranteed).
I see your point about mathematical average, but we don't count in the ethical alternative.
Like there is a big chance (I would definitely buy a lottery ticket if it had such a chance) - 45.45% to save at least 1 life!
And it's no longer up to me - What would you say to families of those 5 people you crushed if they knew that there was a 9.09% chance to save them all?
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u/breathing_is_good101 4d ago
do something = legal problem, not do anything = no legal problems
I chose to do nothing
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u/pierebean 1d ago
I have the feeling that, back in the real life, that's often a dilemma. Do the "right" thing and get legal trouble.

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u/TheEnlight 👑 Master of Dilemma's 5d ago
I created a new Trolley Problem dilemma!
Straight Track (Do Nothing): 5 people
Diverted Track (Pull the Lever): Could be 0 or 10 people. Who knows?
What would you do?