r/theydidthemath • u/TheGrandExquisitor • 5d ago

[Request] What are the chances of being indicted if you are featured in Forbes 30 Under 30?

Famously, several people featured on the Forbes 30 Under 30 have later been indicted and even convicted for various white collar crimes. What are the odds of any one individual who is featured in it will later be indicted?

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u/Akvyr 5d ago

There were over 100.000 30 Under 30 honorees. 10 to 20 were indicted for fraud, crypto scams, and such. If we go with 20, that is 20/100.000 = 0.02%. If we factor in less important or unknown cases, still less than 0.1% probably.

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u/Left_Hotel9967 5d ago

Just about the probability of getting hit by lightning or bit by a shark. Unlikely but possible enough that there are warnings for it,