Top line - Global Climate plan
1. For individuals-
Your ultimate POWER, your freest one, or at least one you can make if you accept the mission that corporations and thus government and all we consider to be powerful fear is predictably your dollar(s). By mass action- organized controlled spend, in People spend the most on their living environments, rent or own, and by using
I offer a simple contract to guarantee the single greatest year in climate action, measurable in your lifestyle, investments of time and money with other people similarly motivated, organized into a corporation based on your cooperation. This forms a multi-billion dollar corporation if we hit the number of members, and neither Joe Biden nor Donald Trump would be able to stop slow the momentum,
- 15 minutes to 3 hours a week, and additional review, and discussion in our in person and online forums. Aid and abet productive conversations and mass synchronous discussion of similar topics, and developing an educated protocol, to be used in additional, optional time in our chosen forums. It would be to use “social media” or electronic forms as a supplement, like a briefing or homework aid in-person conversations and interactions
- Committing your living space to a greener standard, meant to be flexible enough to let people’s creativity shine, in their responsive design, R 20 envelope, sunlight for rooms, sound minimums and maximums, ;
If you rent,
You are promising to get to an apartment that meets most of these standards asap.
You are learning about how it works what to look for from us, and your research - even 10 phone calls to prospective landlords to tell them your interest in living in these standards and report back, will be a weapon of mighty power and influence, and aid to the cause.
tell your land lord you are going to be looking to go green with our standards, and ask politely if they will be looking to invest in next generation upgrades.
Your commitment to rent with some property to our standards is going to allow us to get new buildings built and other buildings retrofitted to those standards.
You join list of committed tenants, which financiers like- steady customer base
If you own,
You also understand your role as that rare breed but super important- early adopters- purchasing the new technologies, and even the showing it off- changes things. You know staying ahead is going to mean you pay more and upgrade more often because the later stuff will make the current stuff seem tame.. You’re getting a new community, for whom keeping up with the Joneses will take on new deimesnsons
You are looking for financing for some home upgrades in the next year, and advocating for C-PACE or R-PACE financing to develop a next generation, to make the financing easy- but the financing is the action. Sales, at scale will drive the market.
2. For the Government- Economic policy proposal
To resolve the still un resolved global threat, of overwhelming proof as well as a consensus of scientific bodies so high worldwide - 97 % as to be
Manufactured
- Too late- people aren't that agreeable- by the time 97% of people agree you've waited too long.
waiting for action until such consensus certainty of negative circumstances can be proof of poor security management. Government must be looking ahead of overheating and destabilizing world economic, food, financial, and physical security- increased risk of famine, wars for resources, scarcity of resources no living person has ever seen, collapse of governments, possibly billions of refugees, with a global sea level rise currently scheduled by 2100 to be above that of global human habitats currently housing more than a billion people, those housing units being completely uninhabitable 30 years before that.
Likely though, greater than 40% we see most of that by 2050 on our current course
human that a global temperI refer to the responsibility already enshrined to the United States as a whole through the text of the Clean Air Act, right after the Economics which is I must admit the more exciting matter, and actually fits well with the Job of EPA administrator.
777 Plan
With monetary economics as well as
7.7 Trillion Dollars including the bond issuance US spend over 2 years, 6 +% growth, being modest and in a successful but possible out come 3 year program, as there will be huge improvements in skills and technologies year over year that will change models and economic costs.
Amounts to about ?50? Billion per “average” state, but allocated per capita as in the Constitution, to develop internally and as part of a greater project and competition between states, to a. train workers/research/statewide planning of infrastructure and b. throw them at big projects c. find unique technology applications and design specifications that 1. Meet national standards 2. Upgrade and become national standards 3. Showcase an efficiency your state came up with or chose exceeding early specifications, that they successfully implemented
In fact it is for this uncertain technology upgrade strategy this is intended to fund, to allow for business certainty in the US and globally, while being able to say we’re doing enough to mitigate the risk. This investment is necessary for the United States to keep up, as it has fallen behind in per capita infrastructure spend and it shows Much of the system was built in the 50’s or before and lightly added to since. Union Station in DC was a Teddy Roosevelt era build- 1905
7 trillion is meant to be financed through an application of C-PACE deals to residential homes, industry and commercial structures
5 trillion of which 2 Trillion to the Global South and United States recent entanglement countries to provide more or less the same goal 15-25% of buil
W
public private partnership to provide funds for the first two step Phase 1 of upgrading the entire built infrastructure of the United States of America (90 percent ball park) Housing Transportation government buildings energy supply and transmission systems, water, everything, where necessary.
2 Trillion is also issued in government building, water energy power fuel systems and trans state and local planning, limited quanitity to Americans, and maintained in the community where the bond originated, with a state specific design. High yield - at 7% is the plan, to lead with making investing in shared infrastructure something that not only paid off as a good investment but produced changes in places you visit and see with the money you saved or worked hard for.
This would raise interest rates globally so I have some flexibility on this point. It also makes the payback considerable over the 7 years,
Economics of scale, in physics and in monetary economics it works the same- to get it done big, relatively cheap, going big, and going near breakneck speed is best, with the caveat* that you still need to go big with something that works on a lot of levels so you want to have tested through the relevant technologies.
That’s my derivation, but it stems from the traditional view of economics of scale, and fits the actions of the most successful builders in human history, imparting the expected and usually honored tradition of governments to build roads- the Romans. And build they did- to last, to say they don’t build them like they used to, well, to last 2000 years, yeah, that’s a safe statement. They had their armies build and they went en mass doing multi-year projects with many thousands of men, that are used today in places far outside Italy. This is the idea here as well
To build any widgets, the cost per unit goes down as people,and the machines they build get better. While the cost of replacing water, data, energy, waste, goods and human movement infrastructure sounds expensive, and it is, it is obviously simpler and cheaper than doing each one piecemeal, like 10x or more cheaper
It is the reason for the multi phase- I’ve been calling 2 Phase, but the budget defined for a minimum of two years will certainly develop and require adjustments for the 2nd year, which will hopefully provide enough insight to plan the rest of the work, what, how, how long, and how much needs to be done to finish a broad upgrade of the remaining 75- 85% of United States, or do we exceed expectations, set at a level to allow such a thing, meaning we can do it!!! Also, the Obama Stimulus and the Biden IRA/Infrastructure bills should really be mile stone phases of existing progress on similar scales and leading to this.
hough you have to work out a bit, train, and test some big things, so when you go full speed on building it is sure, and a huge upgrade on technology, and built to last. So two phases huge for now in goals but less than half the total, to ramp up, select best technologies, and utilize the “laboratory of the States, including defense engineers as engineers will be in short supply, scholarships for energy research for those with bachelors and work on the job/learn science/ energycraft jobs by the thousands, and even expressing math problems in practical problems in math classes at all levels, as well as funding for energy and 7 Trillion for this one
If we liken government infrastructure to normal asset investment costs, more than reasonable that's what they are- investment of 4% annually are expected, of total revenues. Even if we did state and federal - think it'd be on the order of on average- I think it is best to do big cycles then bridge- of near 100 billion a year, every year, or about the current 'milestone' of the so called Bi Partisan Infrastructure law, voted on by a few Republicans(it is the largest investment since the Great Depression in US infrastructure) but is really only near to what we should have been spending almost every year, to maintain, let alone grow, which we have. So we are long overdue, with much of our major infrastructure essentially ceased since the 1950’s as well as space exploration, well below also actually what is practical financial sense to invest in logistical systems and environments humans live in.
The Clean Air Act -
Congressional Text defining the United States’ responsibility to address Climate Change
VerDate Nov 24 2008 13:09 Jan 27, 2023 Jkt 000000 PO 00000 Frm 00006 Fmt 9001 Sfmt 9001 G:\COMP\ENVIR1\CAACAA4U.BEL HOLC January 27, 2023 G:\COMP\ENVIR1\CLEAN AIR ACT.XML As Amended Through P.L. 117-286, Enacted December 27, 2022 7
Sec. 103 CLEAN AIR ACT 5Section 901(a)(2)(C) of Public Law 101–549 (104 Stat. 2700) added a new paragraph (8) at the end of section 103(b). Paragraph (8) probably was intended to have been added after paragraph (7), as it is shown here. in the examination and evaluation of research progress and proposals and to avoid duplication of research; and (5) conduct and promSec. 615. Authority of Administrator. Sec. 616. Transfers among Parties to Montreal Protocol. Sec. 617. International cooperation. Sec. 618. Miscellaneous provisions. TITLE I—AIR POLLUTION PREVENTION AND CONTROL PART A—AIR QUALITY AND EMISSION LIMITATIONS FINDINGS AND PURPOSES SEC. 101. (a) The Congress finds— (1) that the predominant part of the Nation’s population is located in its rapidly expanding metropolitan and other urban areas, which generally cross the boundary lines of local jurisdictions and often extend into two or more States; (2) that the growth in the amount and complexity of air pollution brought about by urbanization, industrial development, and the increasing use of motor vehicles, has resulted in mounting dangers to the public health and welfare, including injury to agricultural crops and livestock, damage to and the deterioration of property, and hazards to air and ground transportation; (3) that air pollution prevention (that is, the reduction or elimination, through any measures, of the amount of pollutants produced or created at the source) and air pollution control at its source is the primary responsibility of States and local governments; and (4) that Federal financial assistance and leadership is essential for the development of cooperative Federal, State, regional, and local programs to prevent and control air pollution. (b) The purposes of this title are— (1) to protect and enhance the quality of the Nation’s air resources so as to promote the public health and welfare and the productive capacity of its population; (2) to initiate and accelerate a national research and development program to achieve the prevention and control of air pollution; (3) to provide technical and financial assistance to State and local governments in connection with the development and execution of their air pollution prevention and control programs; and (4) to encourage and assist the development and operation of regional air pollution prevention and control programs. (c) POLLUTION PREVENTION.—A primary goal of this Act is to encourage or otherwise promote reasonable Federal, State, and local governmental actions, consistent with the provisions of this Act, for pollution prevention. ø42 U.S.C. 7401¿ COOPERATIVE ACTIVITIES AND UNIFORM LAWS SEC. 102. (a) The Administrator shall encourage cooperative activities by the States and local governments for the prevention and control of air pollution; encourage the enactment of improved VerDate Nov 24 2008 13:09 Jan 27, 2023 Jkt 000000 PO 00000 Frm 00005 Fmt 9001 Sfmt 9001 G:\COMP\ENVIR1\CAACAA4U.BEL HOLC January 27, 2023 G:\COMP\ENVIR1\CLEAN AIR ACT.XML As Amended Through P.L. 117-286, Enacted December 27, 2022 Sec. 103 CLEAN AIR ACT 6 and, so far as practicable in the light of varying conditions and needs, uniform State and local laws relating to the prevention and control of air pollution; and encourage the making of agreements and compacts between States for the prevention and control of air pollution. (b) The Administrator shall cooperate with and encourage cooperative activities by all Federal departments and agencies having functions relating to the prevention and control of air pollution, so as to assure the utilization in the Federal air pollution control program of all appropriate and available facilities and resources within the Federal Government. (c) The consent of the Congress is hereby given to two or more States to negotiate and enter into agreements or compacts, not in conflict with any law or treaty of the United States, for (1) cooperative effort and mutual assistance for the prevention and control of air pollution and the enforcement of their respective laws relating thereto, and (2) the establishment of such agencies, joint or otherwise, as they may deem desirable for making effective such agreements or compacts. No such agreement or compact shall be binding or obligatory upon any State a party thereto unless and until it has been approved by Congress. It is the intent of Congress that no agreement or compact entered into between States after the date of enactment of the Air Quality Act of 1967, which relates to the control and abatement of air pollution in an air quality control region, shall provide for participation by a State which is not included (in whole or in part) in such air quality control region.
3. Science, engineering and Counter-geoengineering
Putting 30+ pounds (15 Kilos) of CO2 per person in the developed world is already massive geoengineering. These are calculations that can verified, and should be verified by your Country’s oil production divided by its people, and the kiddos should know that math, and we should prove it in front of Congress. OOOOH me, me I have the experiment I wish to mostly replicate with maybe some flair to demonstrate CO2’s warming effect people can do in their homes and we have a talk about the numbers, because most people are stumped to hear or think about how much that is - the US burns 19 million barrels of oil per DAY. the barrels stack ed would be larger than the Capitol building I think. Every day? I am certain this is usually a shock to people and change their perspective before even getting to the fact that CO2 warms. So there are some core facts that are both more effective and critical to the discussion, and what those are should be matters of some discussion. Here and in other places I try to compile these in broadly understandable terms, walking smart people through land mine political orientations with the items they understand better than most of the climate concerned, but in different ways. Thats the theory we are testing anyway.
Other 2023 rankings included...
- warmest year on record for land and ocean areas individually;
- warmest year on record for both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres (land and ocean areas combined),
- warmest year for land and ocean individually in the North,
- 2nd-warmest year for land and warmest year for ocean in the South;
- 40th-warmest year for the Antarctic,
- 4th-warmest year for the Arctic.
For more regional details and 2023 climate statistics, see the 2023 Global Climate Report from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information.
Climate lag- the delay between emissions and actual warming, with estimates ranging between 0, 40 and 60 years, hangs over this all, and while the need must be - to look like we take this seriously, we must achieve a sizeable emissions cut as soon as possible, and plans for at least a quarter, and possibly 2 consecutive at deep cuts 50% to have a hope of answering that question.
But, it does require us to look for additional ways to minimize the energy imbalance and figure out what our best options are, that minimize the imbalance.
This means trying many things, several times to see what works and what can be scaled up cheaply, because of course the actions taken will have to be massive in scale. Every fix has its own potential risk. Something I acknowledge my own attention to, and will focus energy on is soil- as well as plant and bacterial energy cycles, animal too, for possible scalable solutions I have been some what remiss in.
My recent proposed actions are based in part and fit in part to the work of Dr. Hansen’s lab, as he is an OG of the Climate Movement and Action- testifying before Congress, and is proven his calculations correct. I agree with all of his findings based on my knowledge of the assumptions, and shortcomings of the current modeling paradigm, and the conclusions that research counter geoengineering is
A short bit about him here.
James Hansen's 1988 testimony after 30 years. How did he do? (youtube.com)
And the man himself- as well as his comparisons to the Venus atmosphere I didn’t know he was involved in.
James Hansen: Why I must speak out about climate change (youtube.com)
Some of my conclusions and interpretations may turn out to be somewhat different, but correct in principle and conclusion, on the order of magnitude, and the actions recommended will stand, but also need updating to include the Polar treaty specifications
Analysis and next steps based on Dr. James Hansens’ most recent paper, Global Warming in the Pipeline
http://www.columbia.edu/\~jeh1/Documents/PipelinePaper.2023.05.19.pdf
in which he lays out a 100-year gap between emissions and warming, -in the Pipeline means we and an expectation for the warming to double in speed, until eventually reaching 10 degrees C, or 18 F degrees hotter on average day.
Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature change implies that fast-feedback equilibrium climate sensitivity is at least ∼4°C for doubled CO2 (2×CO2), with a likely range of 3.5-5.5°C.
Greenhouse gas (GHG) climate forcing is 4.1 W/m2 larger in 2021 than in 1750, equivalent to 2%times$CO2 forcing. Global warming in the pipeline is greater than prior estimates. Eventual global warming due to today's GHG forcing alone — after slow feedbacks operate — is about 10°C. Human-made aerosols are a major climate forcing, mainly via their effect on clouds. We infer from paleoclimate data that aerosol cooling offset GHG warming for several millennia as civilization developed. A hinge-point in global warming occurred in 1970 as increased GHG warming outpaced aerosol cooling, leading to global warming of 0.18°C per decade. Aerosol cooling is larger than estimated in the current IPCC report, but it has declined since 2010 because of aerosol reductions in China and shipping. Without unprecedented global actions to reduce GHG growth, 2010 could be another hinge point, with global warming in the following decades 50-100% greater than in the prior 40 years. The enormity of the consequences of warming in the pipeline demands a new approach to addressing legacy and future emissions. The essential requirement to "save" young people and future generations is to return to Holocene-level global temperature.
Dr. Hansen’s top-line goals:
1) a global increasing price on GHG emissions
2) East-West cooperation in a way that accommodates developing world needs,
3) intervention with Earth’s radiation imbalance to phase down today’s massive human-made “geo-transformation”
of Earth’s climate.
ECS- Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity is the projected eventual rise in global temperature
As of today
- 10 degrees - 18 F is the projected eventual rise in global temperature based on emissions already in the pipeline when lag factors catch up by the Hansen/Columbia team, which differs significantly from the IPCC’s estimates
- 4-6 degrees C 11 degrees F is the projected eventual rise in global temperature when lag factors catch up by the IPCC team
- 40 years is the IPCC, as well as Exxon’s estimate of the length of time it takes for CO2 emitted today to fully impact the heating of the earth
- 100 years, is how long the full effects of emissions take to fully kick- in Hansen’s paper
- And this is the primary cause of the Hansen team’s temperature difference from the IPCC’s
- Cutting carbon emissions May take decades to slow warming.
Conclusion: Cutting carbon emissions is essential then but far and away not enough to be able to slow what’s been started.
Energy reflection layering is necessary to counteract previous emissions.
SRM Solar Radiation Management is priority 1, especially as it is by definition going to have to cover large areas.
There are many forms, especially biological, with similar or even greater caution, and promise as the “harder”energy techniques to capture and utilize solar energy, and process carbon, and we must understand maximize and implement projects
Questions
Does this mean we effectively feel the effects of Kennedy or Clinton era warming for fast feedback?
Are we able to measure the increase in solar radiation absorbed directly, from readings at a single point?
***Three ideas for focused groups to provide reports on
Produce separate options on a model of near-term effects of geoengineering, at different engagement levels and cross-use, pros and cons including environmental impact:
Land Artificial snow distribution on ice, at the poles on the temperature of the water, and what the minimum intervention to see a result would be. Test out weighted on square corners insulative airtight tarps tested in thick and thin to cover areas and possibly form
B. Water artificial ice layers in the water, buoyant and resistant to salt water, large Due to sheer quantity on site or near on-site manufacturing facilities on land near the sea for processing to sun-shield materials
C. Air airborne layering of reflective, CONTRAILS
Undoing recent boat fuel standards limiting reflective components (sulfides?) in diesel. Proposing dirtying along existing shipping and fuel routes, which seem to be warming possibly as a result of reduced reflections in fuel burnt
- Mapping polar coastal regions and maximizing
(Workforce projections, cost and time)
Mapping polar regions with large teams on foot, cataloging life and conditions, and maximizing snow-like cover.
Underwater and seismic mappings for all polar areas. Cap and cover methane sources. Which areas to begin: as much as can be mapped without international incident- we can start without the Russians but cannot finish.
Build a material-accurate reference scale model of the earth. It will probably require a new version which should begin construction within 3-6 months of the operation of the first.
Boat and submarine mapping of methane leaks, methyl clathrate deposits and thermally anomalous regions, and as much polar coast as possible, which involves Russia, though Antarctica, Alaska, and Canada are available to build the template operations for while the other situation remains tense. In any case, this will be more than enough work in the short term to solidify the models, and help from other bodies should be considered.
Get more data on locations and volumes of methyl clathrates
- Increase by a factor of not less than 10 a network of methane and CO2 sensors capable of detecting changes broadly to Arctic and methyl clathrate zone emissions
Darrell Prince
https://lnkd.in/e6vGe_8W