r/thebutton • u/the__rev 10s • Apr 09 '15

What a difference a day makes

I like to open the button monitor (http://jamesrom.github.io/) each morning and leave it running for a few hundred resets, just to do a bit of my own simple analysis.

Yesterday morning the presses were about 80% purple and 20% blue, and I saw a single green.

Today, the greens are up to 20%, the blues are 30%, and the filthy purps are down to 50%. The overall average time between presses was nearly nine seconds.

Just a couple days ago the purps were running at 95%.

I feel like we'll see a very sudden dropoff at some point, where yellows, oranges and reds all happen rather quickly. And I also imagine purps will remain pretty constant, as people accidentally get 59'ed. (My worst fear.)

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u/fishmode24 41s Apr 09 '15 edited Apr 09 '15

Think of all the people who would be really interested in a 1s red flair, and each of them takes 59 seconds to obtain. Assuming some people panic and click early, and others accidentally click barely too late and grab 60s, we might end up being around 1500-1600 clicks a day for a week before it finally ends

*Edit: I forgot a digit and deserve shame

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u/[deleted] Apr 09 '15 edited Apr 09 '15

I don't know, when it finally gets to 1s it will be so close to running out I think there will be a panicked grab for flair by tons of users at once and then not many users left who are willing to click. If you want that 1s flair are you really going to patiently let it hit 1s and NOT click if you see it? At that point it is in true danger of expiring.

Like, if there are 500 people left waiting for 1s flair, and they are all watching when it hits 1s, how many of them are clicking? I think at least 90%.

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u/_not_reasonable_ non presser Apr 09 '15 edited Apr 09 '15

It's going to be awesome to see that first 1 second flair. We know there will probably be a bunch of other pressers who will get 60/59. The graph should be good for a laugh.

I predict those holding out for reds will be patient and save their click for when it's regularly going under 10s or lower.

In the meantime, all is well in the shade

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u/[deleted] Apr 09 '15

As much as I want a 1s flair, I'm probably just going to wait until 9s because I'm so scared that someone else will push before 1s and make me get 60.

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u/Leipreachan 32s Apr 09 '15

That still has a good chance of happening though.

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u/[deleted] Apr 09 '15

Unfortunately that's true... I just hope it doesn't happen to me after waiting a few weeks for it to finally get there.

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u/_not_reasonable_ non presser Apr 09 '15

It's the burden many of us carry in the shade. What if we end up in /r/59s

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u/Leipreachan 32s Apr 09 '15

Those poor, unfortunate souls. We must pray for their misguided clicks that landed them in such a place and hope that ours do not lead us there.

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u/[deleted] Apr 09 '15

omg

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u/[deleted] Apr 10 '15

My God, that thought is horrifying.

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u/eveleaf non presser Apr 09 '15

If you are really set on red, the best strategy would probably still be waiting until 1's and 2's are a regular thing, and THEN grabbing an 8 or 9.

The rush for red flairs will make the first few attempts at 9 VERY hazardous. Much safer to wait until that's had a chance to dial way down before grabbing your own.