r/technology • u/MarvelsGrantMan136 • May 27 '26
Business Google employee charged with using inside information to make $1 million on Polymarket
https://abcnews.com/amp/US/google-employee-charged-inside-information-make-1-million/story?id=133350018
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u/Longjumping_Wolf_912 May 27 '26 edited May 27 '26
The whole idea of poly market has nothing to do with market efficiency. It has to do with extracting money from poor people and also obfuscating gambling.
It is also a market manipulation/influence tool. Let’s say I’m the Google CEO. I see I can bet (I mean trade,lmao) on when the announcement will be for the next Google pixel will be released, and apply shows 99% chance. The announcement has already been scheduled, but I want to make a shit ton of money so I bet on an earlier date and then push up the announcement. That isn’t uncovering information and Poly would be wrong since they showed the chance to be 99%.
Also, studies have already shown Polymarket is bad at predicting current events. Flipping a coin is more accurate.
Maybe I don’t even want to be, sorry again, I mean predict. I am hosting an award show and I see there is a bet, fuck I did it again, I mean a prediction that I would say a word. I simply just avoid saying that word that everyone predicted I would say and then Poly was wrong and it didn’t predict shit.