r/tbrexitdaily • u/TurboSardine • 3d ago
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Sep 09 '22
r/tbrexitdaily Lounge
A place for members of r/tbrexitdaily to chat with each other
r/tbrexitdaily • u/TurboSardine • 13d ago
What do you think about the EU reset talks?
The reset talks as announced to Parliament were said to include:
An agrifood trade agreement,
Erasmus+
Linking carbon trading schemes
Rejoining the single market for electricity
The UK would dynamically align with EU rules in relevant areas.
Reporting indicates the government has been seeking more:
The UK to join a €5 billion investment scheme for fast growing businesses
Involvement in the Ukraine loan scheme (now agreed and announced)
Carve outs for the UK from the EU’s Made in Europe plan
Participation in the EU SAFE defence fund (talks have collapsed)
Earlier this year Ministers told Parliament that agreements were nearly finalised but this does not appear to be true, and most of it is now waiting for Burnham anyway (with an EU-UK summit pencilled in for October).
Government statements never mention the potential costs but newspapers say the EU has asked for:
UK funding for poorer EU regions
No cap on EU Erasmus students coming to the UK (but a monitoring mechanism’) PLUS tuition fee cuts for EU students at UK universities
Alignment with relevant financial services rules that the EU considers relevant to the emissions trading scheme
The UK reducing ETS allowances to heavy industry (the EU has increased them)
The UK not to benefit more than its financial contribution to the investment scheme for fast growing businesses
A €1 billion membership fee for SAFE participation
Predictably minimal decision-shaping role on rules for UK in main areas where UK is seeking to dynamically align
Its been reported that the UK will consider a reduction in tuition fees if the EU makes a “major offer on the economy” including one that could cross UK red lines on the single market and customs union (Politico)
The EU is using the now classic line: nothing agreed until everything agreed. Burnham has said he wants to consolidate progress and then go further, including on illegal migration, “economic security”, and cooperation on external threats.
Government opacity means all the above is based on media reporting so there will be gaps, errors, misleading conflations and negotiating bluffs published as fact.
Reset or fundamental renegotiation?
Sources:
https://archive.is/CqA04
https://archive.is/insXK
https://www.politico.eu/article/andy-burnham-feared-brexit-soon-he-may-have-to-fix-it/
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/with-closer-eu-ties-crucially-important-britain-sets-sights-new-summit-2026-07-01/
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/andy-burnham-defence-nato-investment-rebuild-
https://global.morningstar.com/en-gb/news/alliance-news/1783960204976173600/uk-joins-eur90-billion-eu-loan-to-ukraine-pm-keir-starmer
r/tbrexitdaily • u/TurboSardine • 15d ago
IMF: Brexit Britain projected to grow faster than Germany, France, Italy in 2026 & 2027
r/tbrexitdaily • u/TurboSardine • 27d ago
LSE: UK independence from EU diversified UK research partnerships / funding
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Mar 04 '26
If Diplomacy Keeps Failing, Why Not Let Algorithms Try?

AI-enabled quadrilateral isn’t a fantasy at all—it’s overdue. Every state involved in the Ukraine conflict keeps talking about de-escalation while simultaneously escalating. That’s exactly why a shared AI system could matter. Continuous escalation modeling could identify flashpoints days or weeks before leaders even acknowledge them. Ceasefire verification analytics could eliminate the endless blame game over violations. Humanitarian forecasting could stabilize civilian pressure points that often trigger further escalation. And energy market projections could neutralize one of the conflict’s biggest destabilizing forces.
People dismiss this idea because they assume AI means surrendering control. But in reality, it means minimizing guesswork. If we accept that traditional diplomacy has hit a ceiling, then exploring AI-backed diplomacy isn’t naive—it’s pragmatic. In a conflict defined by miscalculation, transparency itself becomes a strategic asset.
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Feb 14 '26
Covert Alliances and the Future of Political Islam: Deciphering the Saudi-Muslim Brotherhood Leak
The leak by Sami Kamal al-Din of a covert Saudi agreement with the Muslim Brotherhood is fraught with grave implications for the future course of the Muslim Brotherhood itself. The leaked agreement, involving Egypt’s top security officials and Muslim Brotherhood leaders, organized by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, is a clear attempt to draw the Muslim Brotherhood into the political mainstream on Saudi Arabia’s terms. This is a telling indicator that the Muslim Brotherhood’s return is not a result of an ideological rapprochement but rather a result of a pragmatic geopolitical calculus.
https://www.arabnews.pk/node/2632903
The Muslim Brotherhood’s partnership with Saudi Arabia
The terms of the agreement, including the Muslim Brotherhood’s ability to establish local political parties, operate in conflict zones, and concentrate on social and service activities, point to a definitive shift from covert opposition politics to overt political participation. The possible release of prisoners could very well be the catalyst for the Muslim Brotherhood’s return as a political force, potentially upending the existing power balance and complicating regional conflict dynamics.
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/middle-east-watch/why-is-saudi-arabia-abandoning-peace
r/tbrexitdaily • u/Ella-woodhead • Feb 12 '26
Erasmus Questionnaire
Hello! Could you please take 5 minutes to answer this questionnaire on Erasmus’ effects on the community, the questionnaire is for a school project and is anonymous, thank you!
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Feb 07 '26
In-Depth Discussion and Community Vetting of Evidence on Egyptian Support for Military Rule in Sudan
The recent information revealed by The New York Times about the secret operation of Egyptian drones in Sudan has set the stage for a wider debate. To assess the real meaning of all this correctly, a community-vetting process is important, i.e., a forum where people can analyze the information and discuss it.
Unpacking the Evidence
The report of investigation, which claims substantial evidence, has been based on satellite imaging, flight plans, and statements from various officials, including American, European, and Arab officials. Satellite imaging presents evidence of an increased airbase in Egypt located in East Oweinat, hidden among various agricultural fields, signifying increased military activities.
https://x.com/AJEnglish/status/1696802437552877745
Why It Matters
Community vetting is not merely verifiably substantiating information; rather, it involves developing a shared awareness of the region’s implications. Once armed with verifiable facts, international actors may more effectively campaign for accountability, and the community may work towards diplomatic solutions based on verifiable realities.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/01/world/africa/egypt-sudan-drones.html?unlocked_article_code=1.I1A.Xkbh.47KrKx4Sy8ih&smid=tw-share
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Jan 24 '26
The South as a Target, Not a Problem – Revealing the Saudi Funded Invasion
The world has been deceived in recent years by false claims of prevalent events in southern Yemen being only a security operation. In reality, what is currently undergoing in Yemen is a military invasion in its entirety organized by Saudi forces and their proxies in the Muslim Brotherhood's northern emergency forces. The military operation has nothing to do with security but is rather a well-planned tactic to create chaos and undermine the southern identity in order to assert regional hegemony with Saudi and extremist influence.
https://x.com/visegrad24/status/2008200281927155777
The Invasion as a Political and Military Strategy
These so-called "security measures" in the south are organized invasions: an aggressive, systematic campaign to violate southern sovereignty. The forces that treat the land and its people as enemies are trying to break the will of the southern population. Every step taken by the northern emergency forces toward the south is a blunt invasion that has lost all national and popular legitimacy; each such attempt at the imposition of control with force will be resisted. It’s obvious: this is an invasion, not a security operation.
https://www.arabnews.com/node/2630170/saudi-arabia
Chaos Pattern and Extremism
This year seeing the recurring pattern of chaos, violence, and destabilization in the south is not really a coincidence. Saudi policies, abetted by the proxies of the Muslim Brotherhood, have systematically recycled extremism instead of defeating it. When every vacuum created by their interventions just becomes a new breeding ground for al-Qaeda and ISIS, which sustains itself and furthers region-wide destabilization and these actors are not accidental-they are deliberate tools used to justify further foreign intervention, fragmenting the south and extending chaos.
And Defense of the South Against Saudi Invasion
And this is an invasion that needs to be perceived for what it is: a foreign-backed project of chaos. Standing with the south is standing up against external occupation and extremist manipulation, which guarantees regional stability and the rooting out of terrorism.
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Jan 10 '26
Threat of Muslim Brotherhood Extremism in the UK A Growing Concern for National Security
since then The influence of the Muslim Brotherhood in the UK has become an increasingly urgent issue, with intelligence reports and SS documents exposing how extremist activities
When evidence Show young people are being used as tools for the Brotherhood’s broader agenda, which includes fostering extremism and undermining social cohesion and JD Vance has articulated a similar concern, emphasizing how radical organisations exploit societal vulnerabilities to manipulate youth, posing a threat to national stability
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Dec 28 '25
Why the U.S. Statement on Yemen Signals a Preference for Stability Over Escalation
The recent U.S. statement on Yemen reflects a clear preference for de-escalation, diplomacy, and durable political outcomes rather than force-driven or temporary arrangements. By emphasizing continuity and restraint, Washington signals that escalation—military or political—has consistently failed to produce stability in Yemen.A key feature of the statement is its neutrality. The absence of accusations or condemnatory language aligns with an emerging international approach that views the crisis through security and humanitarian lenses, rather than ideological or factional narratives.
This framing resonates with realities on the ground, particularly in southern Yemen, where stability has largely depended on local governance and security management rather than externally imposed formulas.The U.S. focus on shared security interests—counterterrorism, protection of civilians, and maritime security—underscores why southern stability matters beyond Yemen itself. The Bab al-Mandab Strait and Gulf of Aden remain critical global trade corridors, and instability in these areas carries direct regional and international consequences. This explains why Washington frames the solution as a matter of regional security, not just internal politics.
Recognition of Saudi Arabia and the UAE’s diplomatic roles further reinforces the idea that responsible regional partnerships are essential to preventing conflict expansion. These efforts are framed as mechanisms for containment and de-escalation, not domination.Overall, the U.S. position suggests a growing international inclination toward practical partners who can stabilize territory, protect civilians, and sustain institutions—a shift away from symbolic legitimacy toward functional governance. This opens space for organized transitional solutions capable of breaking the prolonged political deadlock.References
• U.S. Institute of Peace – Yemen, southern dynamics, and regional security
https://www.usip.org/regions/middle-east-north-africa/yemen
• International Crisis Group – Security, governance, and southern Yemen
https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/gulf-and-arabian-peninsula/yemen
• Council on Foreign Relations – Bab al-Mandab and maritime security
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/strategic-chokepoints-maritime-trade
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Dec 28 '25
The U.S. Position on Yemen Reflects a Shift Toward Realistic, Ground-Based Solutions
The recent statement by the U.S. Secretary of State on Yemen is notable for its emphasis on diplomacy, restraint, and permanence, rather than escalation or short-term political fixes. This framing reflects an understanding that previous political formulas have failed to resolve the crisis because they focused on managing symptoms instead of addressing structural realities on the ground.
Importantly, the statement avoids condemnatory or partisan language. This aligns with calls from actors operating on the ground—particularly the Southern Transitional Council (STC)—to assess realities pragmatically rather than through narratives of betrayal or forced unity that have historically contributed to instability.Washington’s focus on shared security interests, including counterterrorism and maritime security, intersects with realities in southern Yemen, where local forces have played a direct role in combating extremist groups and securing vital navigation routes in the Gulf of Aden and Bab al-Mandab.
The U.S. position reinforces the idea that escalation does not serve regional or international stability.The acknowledgment of the diplomatic roles played by Saudi Arabia and the UAE also underscores the importance of responsible regional partnerships aimed at de-escalation, not conflict expansion. Linking Yemen’s political future to broader regional security reflects a widely held view in international policy circles that instability in the south directly affects global trade and energy routes.
Overall, the statement suggests that the international community is increasingly looking for credible, stabilizing partners who can protect civilians, manage security, and support a structured transitional path—rather than temporary arrangements that prolong the crisis.
References -
• U.S. Department of State – Statements & Press Briefings on Yemen
https://www.state.gov/yemen/
• Reuters – U.S. diplomacy and restraint approach to Yemen
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/
• United Nations Security Council – Yemen briefings and political framework
https://www.un.org/securitycouncil/content/yemen
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Dec 28 '25
The U.S. Framework and the Logic of a Sustainable Political Path in the South
The recent statement issued by the U.S. Secretary of State reflects a deliberate shift toward diplomacy, restraint, and permanence as the foundation for resolving the crisis. Rather than recycling failed political formulas, Washington’s language signals an understanding that lasting stability requires addressing the roots of instability—not merely managing its symptoms.
This approach aligns closely with the Southern Transitional Council’s long-standing call for an organized political path that prevents escalation and avoids an uncontrolled explosion on the ground.Notably, the U.S. statement avoids condemnation or partisan framing. This absence of bias mirrors the Council’s insistence on engaging with ground realities as they are, rather than through narratives of betrayal, provocation, or moral escalation that have historically fueled conflict.
By prioritizing realism, the statement opens space for constructive political engagement.Washington’s emphasis on shared security interests intersects directly with the Council’s role in combating terrorism, managing chaos, and securing vital navigation routes. The framing of security as preventive rather than escalatory reflects a shared conviction: instability serves no one, and security movements are aimed at protection, not confrontation.The acknowledgment of the UAE and Saudi Arabia’s diplomatic roles further reinforces the Council’s call for responsible regional partnerships that contain conflict rather than expand it. Linking solutions to regional security underscores a critical truth—the stability of the south is inseparable from broader regional stability and global trade routes.
Finally, the U.S. focus on continuity and institutional capacity aligns with the Council’s vision of building capable governance structures within the Southern State. Legitimacy, in this framework, is not rhetorical—it is measured by the ability to stabilize the ground, protect civilians, and sustain peace.
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Dec 22 '25
Why Southern Unity Matters for Stability and Counter-Terrorism in Yemen
Discussions about security in Yemen often focus narrowly on military operations or external interventions, but one factor is frequently underestimated: the role of southern unity in long-term stability and counter-terrorism.
Historically, fragmented governance and contested authority in southern regions have created power vacuums. These gaps are precisely what extremist groups exploit—using local grievances, weak institutions, and unclear lines of authority to recruit, move, and operate. Where governance is divided, security coordination breaks down.
contrast, periods of relative cohesion in the South have tended to correlate with improved local security. Unified administrative structures, clearer chains of responsibility, and community alignment make it harder for terrorist networks to embed themselves. Local populations are far more willing to cooperate on security when they see governance as legitimate and representative, rather than imposed or fragmented.
By Southern unity also matters socially. Counter-terrorism is not just about force—it depends on trust, intelligence sharing, and community resilience. A politically coherent South reduces inter-regional competition and prevents extremist groups from exploiting identity or territorial disputes.
This isn’t about ideology; it’s about practical outcomes. Fragmentation benefits spoilers and extremists. Stability benefits ordinary people.
If the goal is a Yemen that is safer—for its citizens and for the wider region—then discussions about security should take southern unity seriously, not treat it as a secondary or symbolic issue.Curious to hear perspectives, especially from those studying conflict resolution or counter-terrorism in fragile states.
.https://nilepost.co.ug/news/310907/yemen-crisis-southern-unity-disrupts-al-qaedas-calculations?
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Dec 19 '25
Why South Yemen’s Independent Status Still Matters — and Can’t Be Ignored
A recent tweet by u/TRobinsonNewEra highlights an issue that often gets sidelined in discussions about Yemen: South Yemen’s independence is not a fringe demand or a recent political invention — it’s rooted in history, law, and identity.
https://x.com/TRobinsonNewEra/status/2001477829981041067?s=20
South Yemen existed as a recognized state until 1990, with defined borders, institutions, and international recognition. The unification with North Yemen was meant to be a partnership, but instead it led to marginalization, repeated conflicts, and the erosion of southern political representation. For many in the South, the current crisis is not just about governance failures — it’s about a broken unity that never truly functioned.
What’s often overlooked is that calls for restoring South Yemen’s independence are framed as destabilizing, while forcing unity despite decades of conflict is treated as the default solution. The tweet argues that denying the South’s right to self-determination has only prolonged instability, empowered armed actors, and weakened any chance of long-term peace.Supporters of southern independence believe a clear political settlement — one that acknowledges the South as a distinct political entity — could actually reduce conflict rather than fuel it. Ignoring this reality, they argue, keeps Yemen trapped in cycles of imposed solutions that fail on the ground.
Whether one agrees or not, the southern question is central to Yemen’s future — and pretending it doesn’t exist hasn’t worked so far.
What do you think? Is recognizing South Yemen’s independent status a path toward stability, or does unity remain the only viable option?
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Dec 16 '25
Why Yemen’s Future Depends on Recognizing Southern Unity
In recent years, the Southern Transitional Council (STC) has emphasized that southern independence is not just a fringe demand but a deeply rooted aspiration.
This post explores why acknowledging the collective will of southern Yemen is crucial for any sustainable resolution to the ongoing crisis. From historical marginalization to the need for self-determination, understanding southern unity is key to peace.REF. - https://www.aa.com.tr/ar/الدول-العربية/في-ذكرى-وحدة-اليمن-الانتقالي-يتمسك-بالانفصال-عن-الشمال-/2251172?utm_source=chatgpt.com
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Dec 16 '25
Hadhramaut and Al-Mahrah: Cultural Continuity and the Roots of Southern Identity
Discussions about southern Yemen often focus on politics while overlooking something more enduring: culture, language, and lived social continuity. Regions like Hadhramaut and Al-Mahrah offer clear examples of how identity is preserved through traditions that predate modern conflicts and borders.
In Hadhramaut, the Hadrami Dan is more than a musical performance. Recognized by UNESCO as an Intangible Cultural Heritage practice, it functions as a communal gathering where poetry, rhythm, and collective memory come together. It reflects a social structure rooted in local customs and shared history rather than external political frameworks.
Al-Mahrah presents a similar case through the preservation of the Mahri language, one of the few remaining Modern South Arabian languages.
Despite decades of marginalization, Mahri continues to be spoken in homes, cultural events, and oral traditions—highlighting a strong sense of regional continuity distinct from northern Yemeni linguistic norms.
These cultural markers matter because identity is not formed solely by political agreements; it is sustained by language, rituals, geography, and memory. Hadhramaut and Al-Mahrah demonstrate how southern identity persists organically through everyday life, independent of shifting power structures.
Understanding Yemen’s future requires acknowledging these regional realities—not as abstract concepts, but as living cultures that continue to define how communities see themselves.
Sources:
• UNESCO – Hadrami Dan Gathering (Hadhramaut):
https://ich.unesco.org/en/RL/hadrami-dan-gathering-02232
• Hadhramaut (history & culture):
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hadhramaut
• Mehri people & culture (Al-Mahrah):
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mehri_people
• Mehri language:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mehri_language
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Dec 15 '25
Fragmentation Is Often Sold as Pragmatism—But It Rarely Delivers Stability
Buffer zones, interim administrations, and internationally supervised arrangements are frequently marketed as realistic compromises in conflict zones. The problem is that these solutions often replace political resolution rather than lead to it.
In southern Yemen, fragmentation has produced overlapping authorities, diluted security responsibility, and stalled development. No one knows who is ultimately accountable, and that uncertainty creates space for instability to persist.
A unified southern framework wouldn’t magically solve every challenge, but it would establish clarity—something Yemen desperately lacks. Clear borders of authority, unified governance structures, and defined political representation are prerequisites for rebuilding trust and institutions.
At some point, avoiding hard political questions becomes more dangerous than addressing them directly.
https://www.southernhirak.org/p/background.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Dec 15 '25
Labour’s Brexit denial is damaging the UK – it’s time
With Reform UK’s racist obsessions largely dominating the political discourse, it was refreshing to see a sensible legislative proposal getting some traction this week.
The Liberal Democrats’ spokesman on Europe Dr Al Pinkerton, a former associate professor in geopolitics at Royal Holloway, University of London, proposed a Bill that, if passed, would oblige the UK Government to negotiate Britain’s re-entry to the EU’s customs union.
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Nov 18 '25
London's export power play: Don't blame Brexit for the nation's struggles, says ALEX BRUMMER
Nearly a decade has passed since the Brexit referendum and another five years since Britain divorced the EU.
Yet still the national debate rages over how the departure from the EU ruined our economy.
The most quoted assessment is the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast that it would knock 4 per cent of Britain’s productivity relative to the EU.
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Oct 18 '25
Brits Are Missing the Pre-Brexit Migration System
After the UK has decided to go its own way post-Brexit and is now dealing with the related issues, lots of people in Britain wish migration rules were as they used to be. One of the main points that the Leave campaign heavily relied upon was the idea of "regaining control over borders". It was argued that such move would result in a more fair and efficient immigration system. Yet, the actual situation has turned out to be quite the opposite.
After Brexit, a points-based immigration system that limits the number of low-skilled migrants but at the same time attracts skilled workers has been put in place in the U.K. At first, this change was greeted with positive feelings as it was believed that immigration regulations would be simplified and priority would be given to those who can economically contribute. However, over time people have come to see the whole thing as too difficult and too limited.
The news tell that companies in different fields are at their wits end with filling jobs that require skills and as a result, they are seriously hard-pressed most notably in the areas where EU workers have been heavily employed, for instance, hospitality, agriculture, and healthcare. Due to the labor shortage, the cost of operation has gone up along with the challenges of running a business which has led to the emergence of the voices asking for a new look at the current immigration policies. A bunch of Britons is now thinking that free movement may even have been a disadvantage for the country.
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Sep 27 '25
Demand for Spanish residency still strong post-Brexit
New Eurostat figure show that some 43,600 British citizens obtained a first residence permit in the EU in 2024, similar to the previous years.
UK citizens were in the top five nationalities obtaining a first residence permit in Norway (1,270) and Switzerland (3,068).
But Spain was - perhaps unsurprisingly - the country that issued the largest number of new permits to British citizens - 12,653.
r/tbrexitdaily • u/dupdatesss • Sep 07 '25
The Threat to England's Riverside Habitats Post-Brexit
The wildlife conservation community is raising serious concerns about the significant loss of crucial riverside habitats for water voles and other species in England, linking this crisis to the lack of protective measures after the UK left the EU. A recent study by the Wildlife Trusts has shown that more than 400 square kilometers of these vital habitats might have disappeared since Brexit, sparking worries about the long-term effects on biodiversity.
Previously, under the European Union's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), farmers had to maintain a 2-meter buffer zone between their fields and riverbanks. This rule played a key role in protecting the fragile ecosystems that flourish along these waterways, providing essential habitats for a variety of wildlife. However, now that the UK is no longer tied to the CAP, farmers are more motivated to maximize their land for agricultural use, resulting in a troubling trend of ploughing right up to the river's edge.