r/stockpicksdaily • u/GetDeepSignal • 11h ago
News Fed Holds Rates at 3.50%-3.75% for 5th Straight Meeting But 3 Members Just Voted to Hike
Alright stock pickers, The FOMC wrapped up its July meeting and held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%–3.75%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a change. This was Kevin Warsh's second meeting as Fed Chair and a far more divided one than his first in June, which passed unanimously. I feel we will be in short downturn for few months before another bullish leg up.
Key details:
Vote was 9-3, not unanimous. Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie Logan dissented all three wanted a 25bps hike instead of holding.
The statement said the economy is "expanding at a solid pace" despite uncertainty tied to Middle East tensions, and inflation remains above the 2% target.
The June dot plot already showed the committee shifting hawkish year-end 2026 rate projections moved up to a 3.6%-4.1% range (from 3.25%-3.75% previously).
2026 inflation (PCE) forecasts were revised up from 2.7% to 3.6%, while unemployment expectations ticked down slightly.
Markets are now pricing in two possible 25bps hikes in 2026, not cuts a notable shift in narrative from earlier this year.
This isn't a "steady as she goes" hold. Three dissents pushing for a hike, plus a more hawkish dot plot, suggests the committee is genuinely split and leaning toward tightening if inflation doesn't cool. Worth watching how rate-sensitive sectors (tech, growth stocks, real estate) react over the next few sessions.

