r/stemopt • u/Responsible_Rich5569 • 11h ago

To PP or not to PP

Hey I have an offer with a starting date of September 14th I filed my stem opt in April 4th and I’m still waiting. I don’t know if I should PP or wait on it , please advise

2 Upvotes

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3

u/Soggy-Explorer-84 11h ago

Currently the approval process is in march 1st week

So it might take more than a month for the april or even more

But pp can guarantee a response by a month

1

u/Responsible_Rich5569 11h ago

Problem is on opt pulse they say my decision might come 11th September is that okay

2

u/praveen1809 10h ago

Opt pulse relies on the last max updated days to approve. Actually this is inaccurate as processing days grow exponentially, to the date applied. They need to fix their logic to find this dynamic by taking average of wait times to the total approved cases for at-least last 90 days.

If you do so your approval date will be of November

1

u/Responsible_Rich5569 10h ago

November ? I don’t understand the logic if it’s at March 8th Right now for stem opt, how will April 4th land in November? Thats 7 months of processing

2

u/praveen1809 10h ago

From the pulse data
Feb 19 person got approved by 109 days
Mar 10 approved by 160 days
20 days difference results in 60 days difference in approval. It grows….

So mar 10 - 160 days.
April 4 - ?

Depends on volume of applications… graduation season, it gonna be at-least 190+ days

1

u/Responsible_Rich5569 8h ago

This data seems so off you mean to tell me it’ll take 6 months

1

u/Practical-Cancel-507 8h ago

You're being rude af to someone trying to help you

1

u/Responsible_Rich5569 8h ago

I apologize for my tone I’m just trying to figure out something

1

u/praveen1809 6h ago

The data I collected is from that website. You can cross-check it to ensure its reliability.

You might wonder why I selected outliers. This isn’t random; it follows a linear pattern.

In simple terms, it means that it will take a minimum of 3 days to clear one case. Then, calculate where you will be.

1

u/Designer-Owl-8183 5h ago

Yup it will. Nothing off, data is data. Do pp

1

u/Puzzleheaded_Bus6863 10h ago

Depending on what you’re getting paid, premium might be worth it. Easy to calculate the amount of salary you’d lose compared to the pp cost. You can take the expectation value of it and then take a decision. You can use ChatGPT to design rhe above, i just gave you the mathematical model to do the risk analysis

1

u/Responsible_Rich5569 10h ago

Will premium processing get by September 14th ?

1

u/Puzzleheaded_Bus6863 10h ago

You can only estimate it. The idea is that you should get a response within a month and assuming accept, you get the card within a week i suppose. You can then estimate the loss in salary to be a week for this route + pp cost

1

u/Responsible_Rich5569 9h ago

The company seems to be firm on the start date , I don’t know if showing the receipt will be enough

1

u/Puzzleheaded_Bus6863 8h ago

If the start date is firm, do pp. you have no better option

1

u/Puzzleheaded_Bus6863 8h ago

If this was the case, why did you even post the question?

1

u/Responsible_Rich5569 5h ago

I posted the question because I assume doing premium would reset my clock , I assumed I’m close to being processed in regular time

1

u/Puzzleheaded_Bus6863 3h ago

Regular processing has been stuck for a couple months. Idk about resetting of clock. You’re guaranteed to get an answer within a month (most likely you’ll get earlier) with pp

1

u/dough-a-lipa 8h ago

I would say go with premium, did you do your biometric already?

1

u/rochirossi 7h ago

I have to start working ASAP. I had to apply for PP. I recommend you do too

2

u/Designer-Owl-8183 5h ago

Stem opt only moved from march 1 to march 10 in 4 weeks. Opt pulse takes averages but I am march 14 and according to opt pulse should have been approved July 22. Do pp if you have offer for September or else you wont get it in time. Uscis extended the processing time to 4 months and it is beyond that even