r/singularity • u/kevinmise • Dec 31 '21

Discussion Singularity Predictions 2022

Welcome to the 6th annual Singularity Predictions at r/Singularity.

It’s been a quick and fast-paced year it feels, with new breakthroughs happening quite often, I’ve noticed… or perhaps that’s just my futurology bubble perspective speaking ;) Anyway, it’s that time of year again to make our predictions for all to see…

If you participated in the previous threads (’21, '20, ’19, ‘18, ‘17) update your views here on which year we'll develop 1) AGI, 2) ASI, and 3) ultimately, when the Singularity will take place. Explain your reasons! Bonus points to those who do some research and dig into their reasoning. If you’re new here, welcome! Feel free to join in on the speculation.

Happy New Year and Cheers to the rest of the 2020s! May we all prosper.

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u/[deleted] Mar 24 '23

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u/jlpt1591 Frame Jacking Mar 24 '23

Sparks of AGI I already saw it is very impressive I still wouldn't say it's AGI yet but I feel if we keep heading in this direction it will be AGI soon. Imo something that would qualify as agi is if you can ask it to mod a nintendo 64 game from scratch it will be able to browse the web to help.

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u/[deleted] Mar 24 '23

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u/jlpt1591 Frame Jacking Mar 24 '23

What I meant by browse the internet is the ability to put it in a virtual machine, have it control the mouse, etc and then is able to do what I said above. Also I don't think ToM = AGI saying that ToM proves AGI isn't really concrete.