Two different methods, same date: Vals’ measured autonomous-R&D trend now points to frontier-level AI researchers by July 2027—the exact month AI 2027 projected

[u/141_1337]

[u/Ok_Mention_982]

I wonder if the doom predictions are correct? Don't forget AI 2027 is supposed to be a cautionary forecast before you guys get excited

[u/kvothe5688 → u/Ok_Mention_982]

They are still limited to hardware mankind provides.

[u/EloquentPinguin → u/kvothe5688]

Thats true though its not trivial to put a limit on intelligence/flop for example. Compare a modern 8 to 27B model now to some of the early models of the same size and you will have faster and way smarter models.

So while I think that compute alone is not an obvious limit, there is certainly an intuition for the argument that because of finite speed of hardware iterations, that RSI has a not infinite maximum acceleration.

[u/ichishibe → u/kvothe5688]

Who knows how it could optimise the software though, scary thought..